Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 180938
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
537 AM EDT TUE APR 18 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 18/1200 UTC THRU APR 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


UPDATE

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF FOR THE FINAL
ISSUANCE.

DAY 1

MID TO UPPER TX COAST

SLOW MOVING MID TO UPPER LEVEL VORTS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
IMPACT THE TX GULF COAST DAY 1.  CONFIDENCE ON THE EXACT HANDLING
OF THESE VORTS IS LOW AS IS THE RESULTANT CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION.
WITH PW VALUES REMAINING ABOVE AVERAGE FROM PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE WESTERN GULF AND THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
MID TO UPPER LEVEL VORTS---LOCALLY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. WHILE THE LATEST MODELS DIFFER ON MANY OF
THE SHORTER TERM DETAILS--THERE IS A CLEAR MODEL SIGNAL FOR THE
HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS.

TN VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHEAST

A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST TO LIE FROM THE UPPER TN
VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHEASTERN U.S. DAY 1.
 OVERRUNNING OF THIS BOUNDARY FROM SOUTH SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW
OVER THE TN VALLEY AND SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW INTO
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS FROM CENTRAL TO EASTERN TN INTO WESTERN
NC---NORTHEAST GA AND ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF SC.  SLOW MOVEMENT
OF CELLS WILL POSE THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED RUNOFF ISSUES ACROSS
THESE REGIONS WITH A MARGINAL EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT DEPICTED
IN THE LATEST EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL OUTLOOK.

UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE UPPER LAKES

THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE EASTWARD PUSH OF THE STRONG
VORT FROM THE ND/MN BORDER EARLY DAY 1---ACROSS NORTHERN MN AND
INTO THE U.P. OF MI DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.  STRONG ISENTROPIC
LIFT AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIP AMOUNTS FROM NORTHEAST
MN--NORTHWEST WI INTO THE WESTERN U.P. OF MI AND THEN EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ONTARIO.  THE EXPECTED FAST MOVEMENT
OF THE SYSTEM WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY
TOTALS.

NORTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY

THE TRAILING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE LOW MOVING INTO THE UPPER
MS VALLEY/UPPER LAKES REGION WILL BECOME ORIENTED WEST TO EAST
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY TUESDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT-EARLY WEDNESDAY.  CONVECTION SHOULD BECOME
INCREASINGLY ACTIVE ALONG THIS FRONT DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
DAY 1 PERIOD AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE BOUNDARY STRENGTHENS.
THERE IS THE USUAL AMOUNT OF WARM SEASON MODEL QPF DIFFERENCES
ALONG THE BOUNDARY---BUT A SIGNAL FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
TOTALS FROM NORTHEAST WY INTO SOUTHERN SD---MUCH OF NEBRASKA---IA
AND FAR NORTHERN MO.

CENTRAL CALIFORNIA---GREAT BASIN INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES

THE MEAN NORTHEAST PACIFIC UPPER VORTEX FORECAST TO MOVE ONLY
SLOWLY EASTWARD ALONG 40-43N BETWEEN APPROXIMATELY 145 AND 140W
THIS PERIOD.  A STREAM OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY IN THE SOUTHWEST MID TO
UPPER LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THIS CLOSED LOW WILL PUSH NORTHEAST
ACROSS CALIFORNIA---THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
PW ANOMALIES IN THIS SHORTWAVE STREAM EXPECTED TO BE MUCH ABOVE
AVERAGE---WITH VALUES 3 TO 4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN
EARLY DAY 1 FROM CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO THE GREAT
BASIN---DROPPING TO 2-3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR A BROAD STRIPE OF MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS IN THIS ANOMALOUS PW AXIS FROM THE
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST RANGE---INTO THE SOUTHERN SIERRA AND
ACROSS MOST OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES OF WY.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST

BY THE END OF THE DAY 1 TIME PERIOD---THE AFOREMENTIONED NORTHEAST
PACIFIC UPPER VORTEX WILL BE PUSHING ADDITIONAL HEIGHT FALLS
TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST.  THE ASSOCIATED PRECIP WITH
THESE HEIGHT FALLS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT COASTAL WA-OREGON TOWARD
THE END OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD---WITH MORE WIDESPREAD MODERATE PRECIP
EFFECTS EXPECTED DURING DAY 2.


DAYS 2 AND 3


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/ROCKIES...

A NEGATIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES ASHORE ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2...AND A CLOSED
LOW FORMS AT THE BASE OF THE TROF AS IT REACHES THE ROCKIES BY THE
END OF DAY 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF
THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
AS THE NEGATIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES ASHORE ACROSS
WA/OR/NORTHERN CA DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2...A 30 TO 40
KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST....FOCUSES ON NORTHWEST
CA/SOUTHWEST OR AND THE OLYMPIC RANGE IN WA. THERE WAS A MULTI
MODEL SIGNAL FOR 1.25 TO 1.75 INCHES OF QPF OVER SISKIYOU RANGE IN
CA...AND ABOUT 1.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS NORTHWEST WA. WHILE
ISOLATED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE (AS STEEPENING LAPSE RATES RESULT
IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY OVER THE TERRAIN)...AN ORGANIZED FLASH
FLOOD THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.

FURTHER EAST...A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF
SHORT WAVE ENERGY APPROACHING THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BECOMES FOCUSED
ON THE TERRAIN IN NORTHEAST WY AND THE BLACK HILLS OF SD. MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY IN THE MOISTURE PLUME...AND
ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS POSSIBLE TOWARD 20/12Z. THERE WAS A MODEL
CONSENSUS FOR NEAR AN INCH OF QPF IN THIS AREA...WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS FURTHER WEST INTO CENTRAL WY/CENTRAL CO.

DAY 3...
THE LONG WAVE TROUGH ELONGATES AS IT REACHES THE ROCKIES DURING
DAY 3...AND THERE ARE SIGNS THAT A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW FORMS AT
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL CO. AN INVERTED
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WY INTO EASTERN CO IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME THE FOCUS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ON
THE NOSE OF A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL EAST SOUTHEAST INFLOW
CROSSING THE CENTRAL PLAINS. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATED ELEVATED
INSTABILITY...AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION IS
POSSIBLE....MAINLY AFTER 21/00Z. THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL
FOR 1.00 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF CENTERED OVER NORTH CENTRAL CO AND
NEARBY SOUTHEAST WY.  THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES HERE
ARE AS LOW AS 1.50 INCHES...AND THE 00Z GFS SHOWED THE POTENTIAL
FOR MORE QPF THAN THIS IN THE LAST PART OF THE PERIOD. BECAUSE OF
THIS...A MARGINAL RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED HERE FOR DAY 3.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

A SHORT WAVE TRACKING FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MS
VALLEY ON DAY 2 SPINS UP LOW PRESSURE ON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.
AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BECOME FOCUSED
ON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SETTING THE STAGE FOR CONVECTION WITH
HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL NEAR THE FRONT. AS THE SHORT
WAVE AND SURFACE FRONT CROSSES WESTERN NY STATE AND WESTERN PA ON
DAY 3...THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL SHIFTS
EASTWARD. THERE WAS SOME SPREAD ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT AND
STRIPE OF MAXIMUM QPF...WITH A GENERAL NORTHWARD NUDGE. THE WPC
QPF WAS FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS WITH THE PLACEMENT
OF THE MAXIMUM QPF AXIS DURING DAY 2. THERE WAS BETTER AGREEMENT
DURING DAY 3 WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT AND QPF STRIPE...AND
THE WPC DAY 3 QPF WAS BASED MORE CLOSELY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
A COMPACT SHORT WAVE MOVES FROM SOUTHEAST WY TO A POSITION OVER
SOUTHERN MN DURING DAY 2...AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE
SPINS UP SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN KS...WHICH TRACKS INTO
SOUTHERN WI BY 20/12Z. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A 45 KNOT LOW
LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
(WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) ALONG A
FRONT BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS IA INTO SOUTHERNMOST WI AND THE LP
OF MI. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATED MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG AND
JUST SOUTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN IL/SOUTHERN WI INTO
SOUTHWEST MI...AND CONVECTION FORMING SOUTH OF THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH OF THE FRONT...CLOSEST TO THE BEST
INSTABILITY GRADIENT.

THERE IS SOME MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LIES DURING THE PERIOD OF THE BEST SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AND
INSTABILITY (GENERALLY BETWEEN 19/18Z AND 20/06Z). THE 00Z NAM
APPEARED TO BE TOO FAR NORTH WITH THE FRONT AND INSTABILITY INTO
WI AND NORTHERN...AND THE WPC QPF MAXIMUM QPF AXIS (GENERALLY 1.00
TO 1.50 INCHES) WAS PLACED CLOSER TO THE BEST
INSTABILITY...EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST IA INTO SOUTHERN WI AND A
PORTION OF THE LP OF MI. THE 00Z GEFS HAD MEMBERS WITH 2.00+ INCH
QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS EASTERN IA...AS DID THE LATEST ECMWF ENSEMBLE
OUTPUT. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE AS LOW AS 1.00
TO 1.50 INCHES ACROSS
SOUTHEAST WI...SO A MARGINAL RISK REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ON DAY 2.

DAY 3...
THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRACKS FROM SOUTHERN MN EARLY ON DAY 2
ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO INTO WESTERN NY STATE AND WESTERN PA
DURING DAY 3....JUST NORTH OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING
ACROSS MI INTO PA/NY STATE. A 35 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW CONTINUES TO TRANSPORT 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE AND SURFACE LOW.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTHERN NY STATE...WITH LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY
ACROSS WESTERN PA. THE RESULTING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
EASTWARD SOUTH OF THE FRONT...PRODUCING AN AXIS OF 1.00 TO 1.50
INCHES OF QPF ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN NY STATE...WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS INTO WESTERN PA.

LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...AS THE CORFIDI VECTORS
BECOME BETTER ALIGNED WITH THE 850-300 MB FLOW IN THE 20/18Z TO
21/00Z TIME FRAME...AND THE 00Z UKMET SHOWED THE POTENTIAL FOR
2.00+ INCHES OF QPF EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY BETWEEN 1.50 AND 2.00 INCHES...AND
THESE VALUES ARE ATTAINABLE WITH TRAINING CONVECTION. WITH THIS IN
MIND...A MARGINAL RISK WAS STRETCHED ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND
NORTHERN NY STATE FOR DAY 3.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE OH VALLEY...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM A CLOSING MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES EARLY ON DAY 3 PROVIDES SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT
OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING THE FROM THE OH VALLEY TO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE FRONT WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR DEEPENING
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...WHICH WILL FUEL CONVECTION THAT
PRODUCES HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE QPF AMOUNTS. WHILE THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE PLACEMENT OF THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURES...THERE WERE SOME LATITUDINAL DIFFERENCES
WITH RESPECT TO THE STRIPE OF MAXIMUM QPF. ION AN ATTEMPT TO
MITIGATE SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM WV/KY INTO SOUTHWEST OK AND A PORTION OF NORTH TX
DURING DAY 3. AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES...A 20 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25
INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ALONG THE FRONT...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOWED MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IN THE 21/06Z TO 21/12Z TIME
FRAME...WITH THE BEST INSTABILITY OVER NORTH TX/OK AND NORTHERN
AR. SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE SHOULD ALLOW THE
CONVECTION TO BECOME ORGANIZED...WITH CLUSTERS OF STORMS MOVE
ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH 21/12Z. AN AXIS OF 1.25 TO 1.75 INCHES OF
QPF WAS STRETCHED ALONG THE FRONT FROM CENTRAL OK ACROSS SOUTHWEST
MO INTO SOUTHERNMOST IL...LOOSELY ALIGNED WITH THE BEST
INSTABILITY.

WHILE THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINATELY OUTFLOW
DRIVEN...THERE IS A WINDOW (GENERALLY AFTER 21/00Z) WHERE THE
CORFIDI VECTORS BECOME BETTER ALIGNED WITH THE 850-300 MB
FLOW...WHICH COULD PROMOTE TRAINING. IN FACT...THE 00Z ECMWF HAS
LOCAL 3.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS OVER SOUTHWEST MO...AND MEMBERS OF
THE LATEST ECMWF ENSEMBLE OUTPUT SHOWED 2.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS
OVER NORTHEAST OK AND SOUTHWEST MO. WHILE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES ARE FAIRLY HIGH...THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING
NECESSITATED THE PLACEMENT OF A MARGINAL RISK AREA EXTENDING FROM
A PORTION OF NORTH TX ACROSS OK INTO SOUTHERN MO...AS WELL AS
NORTHERN AR AND A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHERN IL FOR DAY 3.

FURTHER EAST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY...MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND
DEEPENING MOISTURE WILL FEED CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
KY AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WI ON DAY 3. THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL
SIGNAL FOR 0.75 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
WV WITH THE CONVECTION. WHILE THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK
SLOWLY SOUTHEAST WITH TIME...THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
ACROSS MUCH OF WV IS AS LOW AS AN INCH. BECAUSE OF THIS...A
MARGINAL RISK WAS ASSIGNED TO WV FOR DAY 3.


...MID ATLANTIC...

A WEAKENING SHORT WAVE CROSSING A DISSIPATING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
OVER THE LOWER MID ATLANTIC STATES ON DAY 2 WILL MAKE THE MOST OF
THE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON
DAY 2. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR
1.25 INCHES WILL FEED SCATTERED CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE WEAKENING
SHORT WAVE...AND AN AREA OF 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NC TO ACCOUNT FOR THE CONVECTION. LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE AS STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...BUT AT
THIS POINT AN ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORAVEC/HAYES


24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 543187 546158 547148 547141 542132 536123 532114 527111
      524109 520112 515113 511112 510118 509125 509131 513139
      514143 516145 515148 512151 505149 500147 497143 486129
      479123 477117 478112 478106 478100 480096 484093 492090
      498085 502081 505074 507071 509063 511055 505050 503049
      499051 491055 483058 475053 472051 470048 464040 463034
      463026 460015 458010 458003 455990 448971 441964 442960
      444959 448956 455959 461963 467968 473975 477977 481977
      486975 489972 494967 499960 504949 508939 511926 512921
      512913 512904 511896 512890 514884 518873 520862 523839
      526813 528802 529796 531792 536782 541775 542772 542767
      541759 542753 540748 534739 529732 523725 520723 515724
      503727 499729 494733 489738 482743 477749 472758 468768
      464777 459798 454807 447814 444817 441822 436830 417866
      411885 404906 398924 395935 394939 394945 392968 389972
      387977 387990 388993 388997 391001 397007 403016 406027
      408038 411047 413054 414058 414061 412060 406059 402061
      392063 387063 386068 381074 387076 390080 393083 396087
      396094 397097 395100 393105 390107 383113 375121 370121
      365121 362123 366126 370128 373131 374135 374138 374149
      374157 373162 371173 364177 348182 344178 344172 343168
      337167 332166 334169 339171 342175 343178 342182 339187
      336189 333194 331207 332212 334216 339223 346229 349232
      354234 365237 376241 385246 392251 399253 404256 402259
      394264 387268 384272 386276 389278 394281 398284 404286
      414287 424285 438283 446281 450281 456282 459286 461291
      468297 470299 475302 478306 483308 488310 492310 499306
 0.01 499306 504300 509292 513282 518273 521261 521255 523251
      526239 530227 535217 538208 540202 541195 543187
 0.01 478185 477177 475176 473177 469180 465184 461188 458195
      455201 455206 457208 462207 467205 470198 474194 477187
      478185
 0.01 441178 442174 440172 435173 434174 431173 427171 423176
      419178 411181 407185 405189 401194 402201 403203 406203
      409201 414200 419201 426201 429199 435189 440179 441178
 0.01 414793 413784 411781 404780 401778 397774 392772 387774
      383778 374783 365787 350799 347800 345798 343791 342776
      342768 345764 351755 355748 358737 361726 362721 361713
      355705 351705 348707 345710 342715 340717 337716 332716
      329721 315759 311769 309774 309781 308786 309794 312795
      313798 315804 316812 318816 322825 326834 332843 335855
      336859 335862 333867 326891 317910 306911 302912 299915
      295914 293919 290924 285925 282925 277929 270935 242958
      235964 232967 233972 239995 244996 249997 257992 270980
      276978 280976 289972 294970 301969 306971 311970 316964
      319959 319955 319949 324948 327945 330939 332935 334930
      330928 327926 329924 337917 344909 354896 359893 362889
      365885 367880 375874 383867 387858 386854 386850 389846
      391841 391837 391834 392832 394830 395828 403809 412803
      414793
 0.01 278826 278821 277819 273815 269810 265807 260806 256807
      255810 255814 256818 258819 262823 267826 272827 278826
 0.01 261840 259833 257828 250818 243810 235804 230806 228811
      229819 231824 235836 237844 239848 243853 246857 251860
      256857 259846 261840
 0.25 532211 534205 535198 532189 528183 523177 517173 513171
      509172 510179 511183 512188 514197 517204 522210 525213
      529214 532211
 0.25 516264 516257 515250 511239 502217 499214 494211 484209
      479210 474212 471216 471219 473220 483222 487224 490228
      492234 493237 491239 487238 483241 480237 478234 475233
      474234 472239 473244 480253 481259 480264 477273 477277
      484284 489288 495290 500290 503288 507284 510278 512271
      515267 516264
 0.25 515759 514754 511750 507749 502751 497758 495761 492764
      486771 482781 479792 480804 476829 474853 469861 466871
      463883 460891 457901 453910 448918 447928 446932 446935
      449939 457943 463947 469952 473955 478956 482954 485950
      486945 489942 494935 496931 498926 500912 502901 504890
      505877 509866 510841 512829 513814 514801 515790 516783
      515772 515759
 0.25 466259 460257 453257 441257 428259 418263 407268 402272
      402275 405277 412277 418277 429274 441269 452267 463263
      466259
 0.25 478165 478162 476160 473158 463155 458154 454154 451158
      451162 451173 449185 451190 455189 461183 463178 463173
      461168 460163 463159 467162 471165 476164 478165
 0.25 451112 450106 446102 443098 437096 434094 431090 429085
      431080 438074 447074 446060 448046 450040 450032 447018
      444007 439998 433992 422988 420990 420994 421999 424008
      424017 423023 422031 425036 427040 427045 426050 423055
      419065 416069 411073 409076 408084 405095 404103 402108
      392111 388113 385117 380126 385134 383142 381147 380155
      381160 386168 390170 395169 403163 412161 418156 420148
      421140 422132 424126 429118 433114 436113 446116 451112
 0.25 432957 432947 428944 418947 416933 415928 413926 409924
      406929 405936 402952 401959 401968 403975 405979 410984
      414984 418979 421973 423967 428964 431960 432957
 0.25 395210 394204 392202 387196 381191 376187 372184 368183
      359182 356184 356187 359191 360194 362197 366198 372203
      379207 388209 395210
 0.25 376830 377818 375806 373803 371801 367800 363801 356805
      350810 348812 344811 340806 337799 335790 334784 332781
      333775 336767 338759 338753 336748 332744 329747 328751
      327761 325777 326782 328786 325794 323801 323810 325819
      329828 335841 343855 343865 345875 347882 350884 353883
      364875 370870 374863 375853 374844 376830
 0.25 359210 360206 359203 356201 353200 351199 350196 348194
      345193 344195 344198 345202 346205 348207 350208 353211
      355212 358212 359210
 0.25 310945 311939 310935 305928 290933 285937 279943 270955
      263959 259960 256962 251967 248976 249981 252984 256984
      259982 264977 270974 277970 281968 285967 293966 299962
      305956 309949 310945
 0.25 249843 249837 248831 247827 244821 241820 237823 236828
      238833 240837 242841 244845 248845 249843
 0.50 530205 530202 530200 530199 530197 529196 528194 528193
      526192 525191 523191 522192 522194 522197 522198 523200
      524201 525203 525204 526205 528206 530205 530205
 0.50 511254 510246 506237 503231 501222 499218 495216 492217
      491220 494229 496236 501243 504250 508256 511254
 0.50 505276 504270 502264 499258 495252 493247 488242 487246
      487251 488257 490264 493271 495275 500280 504279 505276
 0.50 507797 508791 507784 503775 501773 497776 494779 490787
      488796 486813 486826 487839 485847 480852 477858 474867
      472875 469880 468886 468892 467900 460915 458922 457926
      457932 461937 466940 479946 483940 486934 494919 495910
      496901 499860 502851 504841 505831 505823 505806 507797
 0.50 443041 443037 442035 438036 436040 437044 434049 428057
      422065 417073 413087 412093 415091 423086 429077 435069
      438063 440057 440048 442043 443041
 0.50 429092 428089 426087 425089 425091 426092 428093 429092
 0.50 414118 412110 413099 411095 408098 405106 404110 401111
      394112 388116 384122 385126 390127 393129 394132 394136
      392140 389146 387150 386155 391160 395159 397155 401148
      404141 401135 399134 401130 406126 411120 414118
 0.50 414963 415954 415945 414938 412933 410931 407933 407936
      406945 405952 403959 403968 405973 410977 413975 414970
      414963
 0.50 387203 386198 385196 381192 376189 370185 364183 361183
      359185 363191 367194 371198 376202 381204 387203
 0.50 370831 366822 364818 364813 363809 358809 352814 348816
      346821 344825 341825 334806 330803 327806 327812 328818
      331829 335836 341842 343845 345851 347863 350871 354874
      360873 363870 364867 366862 369857 368849 367843 368838
      370831
 0.50 349201 348198 346196 345198 345200 346200 347202 349201
      349201
 0.50 307943 307937 305933 302933 297934 290937 283943 279949
      275958 273962 276964 281966 286965 295962 300956 305947
      307943
 1.00 487891 486881 484876 481875 479877 477885 477895 476902
      475910 475915 474920 477920 480917 484911 486904 487894
      487891
 1.00 380199 379195 377193 375191 373190 370188 368187 365187
      365189 369192 370193 372195 375198 377199 380199
 1.00 361841 362834 360830 357826 356821 350820 348824 348831
      350835 350840 349846 351852 354854 357850 359847 361842
      361841
 1.00 302945 302941 299939 292940 288943 284947 281952 279959
      281962 288963 293960 296956 299950 302945
 1.50 298947 298943 296943 294944 290945 288946 287948 285950
      283954 284958 285960 288960 290960 292957 294954 296952
      297949 298947
 2.00 294949 294948 292948 290949 289949 288950 287952 287954
      287956 288957 289956 290955 291954 292953 293952 294950
      294949

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 534733 534725 532720 529706 526697 525689 523684 518678
      514668 510661 505656 491656 484653 481652 476651 440657
      436656 432657 427665 417679 412687 409690 406691 401686
      396688 393694 395707 398718 402728 406739 407746 406753
      407767 407778 390891 395897 402903 399913 401916 401923
      400929 395928 391928 388930 382935 377942 371947 364952
      355956 355960 359964 362967 364972 364978 365983 367992
      367999 365003 367005 371006 375005 378001 385997 391991
      400977 401974 403977 408984 412990 415996 420006 424013
      427022 428027 428034 428043 425047 413047 410044 407046
      400051 394056 387060 383066 383072 385075 388083 393090
      395088 400089 404090 405093 405099 402103 399106 396110
      387113 386118 386122 388123 393124 396122 405127 410121
      415121 418117 419115 422115 426116 431117 435120 435126
      435131 436136 437139 441137 442134 446125 447119 449117
      451117 455118 458116 459108 459101 461097 486069 488068
      490071 491075 496082 499085 501084 503081 505081 510081
      515077 518069 521059 521052 523046 525036 527031 530031
      531002 533990 533983 528978 520976 516977 512980 506983
      498987 493987 489989 484989 480988 477986 475986 474982
      473971 476949 476935 478923 477907 476901 475892 475877
      474864 471840 468830 467823 465818 463814 463811 465810
      467812 470815 474821 477825 480825 489824 497820 509808
      512805 514800 518788 524768 529750 534733
 0.01 519274 521266 521258 522245 518235 513226 509217 504210
      501205 503199 507190 511180 510175 507172 505172 500175
      495179 491183 487185 482190 475196 472198 467198 462197
      459196 458194 460189 462184 465173 464169 461165 433178
      429180 426182 422191 416200 414204 409201 400199 391197
      386196 382193 378191 374191 375196 377199 383206 381209
      378212 374216 373220 368229 367235 364239 359250 354256
      352260 352265 351273 351278 364289 371290 380292 394290
      408290 413291 415290 422292 438292 452293 466293 479292
      486291 493290 499292 505289 516282 517281
 0.01 442193 442190 441186 437185 434186 432186 430188 428189
      425191 426195 427197 430199 434198 436196 438194 440194
      442193
 0.01 430128 430123 429120 425122 417134 412137 409131 407130
      405132 404138 400139 396138 392137 391139 391144 392147
      394149 397150 407156 410154 413154 414162 417163 419161
      422155 421151 422147 425139 430128
 0.01 404003 405989 405984 401984 396991 394995 394002 393009
      390013 390018 388022 387036 389036 393032 397025 401016
      402012 403005 404003
 0.01 383818 381812 381805 379793 373783 371779 367775 363772
      363766 366755 365748 362740 360735 359732 357732 351733
      347733 345731 341720 337718 331719 326718 321719 316724
      315729 315742 317763 313774 312779 312786 318808 318812
      320813 327813 330814 328818 332820 334816 334812 341811
      343811 344815 344819 343822 335827 332828 327831 326836
      326844 327851 330855 338860 342863 346868 347884 345886
      345890 347895 348900 353901 358901 363897 367894 370889
      374879 377866 377850 378844 378837 383818
 0.01 337960 338955 336952 336947 334945 330941 325936 320931
      317925 316920 316914 317907 319903 317901 313898 307894
      300893 291893 289898 293914 297929 299932 297937 294937
      286948 282954 277958 270961 267961 263960 261958 257957
      255964 255968 257971 257974 260976 262980 264981 272982
      280983 284983 288985 301981 326971 331971 334967 337960
 0.01 287806 285802 281798 273793 267792 264787 263786 261788
      257791 253794 249793 244793 242797 232816 237820 241817
      247818 248816 248812 252809 256812 252817 250822 250828
      249833 253837 258836 260832 260825 262821 265823 269825
      270824 270821 268816 263814 260811 258807 259805 264805
      276806 279807 282807 287806
 0.25 515269 516261 515254 513243 510231 506221 499213 489209
      485207 480206 472209 455213 440224 432228 428228 422227
      419224 416219 415216 413215 407213 402211 397208 392208
      391213 393217 398219 402222 403226 401228 396229 390229
      387231 385235 385241 384248 381252 378258 377266 379272
      381276 385277 394276 403271 418266 429265 438265 457264
      461263 466264 471264 476265 485271 491278 496281 500282
      504281 508279 515269
 0.25 523723 522705 517694 515690 512688 504686 499686 495690
      488698 485700 479701 476699 472698 468699 464704 459713
      455721 453727 453732 451744 450750 451757 453760 455762
      456766 457774 457779 455780 449781 445784 443786 439782
      444762 443754 441749 436748 433751 431755 429762 426765
      423763 422760 420760 415763 415769 415777 416784 416791
      414802 410826 411833 412842 414856 414869 414878 412883
      410894 409900 409907 409915 408920 407928 407936 409948
      412954 416957 423979 427987 432996 436006 437013 438021
      435034 438045 442055 446059 450058 453056 455051 458038
      459032 462027 462019 461013 463981 463965 464951 465936
      467925 468908 467893 468878 466863 464849 461836 458825
      453817 452811 454806 458797 458782 467784 477782 486782
      489785 492788 494789 497785 502775 506766 517748 520742
      522736 523723
 0.25 521007 522002 521000 516996 508001 501008 498018 494018
      491015 487016 484020 486025 491026 496028 501031 506031
      511028 516020 519014 521008 521007
 0.25 493679 494675 492672 490667 488665 483664 479663 475667
      466671 460676 457681 457687 459692 462694 469688 472685
      476684 478683 482683 487683 491681 493679
 0.25 450078 450075 450074 449073 449070 448069 448068 447065
      445065 443066 443067 443070 443071 444072 445073 446075
      447075 448075 449078 450078
 0.25 407070 406069 406068 405067 403067 401067 399069 399070
      400071 401072 403073 405072 406070 407070
 0.25 391977 392972 392968 389962 386957 380956 377960 375965
      376972 377977 377983 381988 385988 389982 391977
 0.25 369808 369803 367798 364793 362789 360787 355788 354793
      353797 354804 357808 360809 363811 367811 369808
 0.25 352758 346752 341745 338742 335741 327736 323738 321743
      321754 323767 323773 324776 326776 335773 344769 347766
      349762 352758
 0.25 338801 339799 339797 337796 336797 336798 334799 334800
      332802 331805 333806 335805 336804 336803 338802 338801
 0.50 506274 506261 508257 507250 505236 504230 503224 500219
      496216 485214 480212 475214 467217 465222 469220 472219
      476218 481217 485217 489220 491224 496235 498239 499245
      496243 492238 483232 480229 476227 472227 468230 463230
      460232 450234 441235 433238 427236 422233 417232 414228
      397234 394237 392240 393244 398253 398260 400264 409263
      418260 427258 436257 444255 453252 461253 464258 470259
      479260 495274 501277 505276 506274
 0.50 513720 513713 512709 511706 508704 503705 499707 494713
      488716 480714 477714 474715 467720 463728 461737 461743
      462748 465750 469751 471762 472768 474771 481771 487766
      493761 497753 505738 510731 513721 513720
 0.50 462873 463865 462856 460843 458837 455831 451829 445831
      442834 439839 434848 432854 430859 425860 421858 419861
      419868 421872 425874 428878 429884 427889 424893 419896
      415900 412910 410917 410924 410932 411938 415942 418938
      421935 425936 433933 437936 437945 437947 434949 428948
      426949 425952 426960 433983 438993 441997 442004 441012
      441022 440030 438035 438040 440045 444048 447047 450041
      450036 450029 452022 450007 450003 451001 455999 457990
      456982 455973 456964 459949 460937 462920 462905 461888
      462873
 0.50 444812 445809 444807 442805 438804 434806 434798 433790
      431785 429783 426782 423780 421774 420777 421780 421790
      420799 419806 416814 414820 415828 417838 420841 424827
      426819 428815 429814 434818 437819 440818 444812
 0.50 342761 341755 338751 336748 332746 330744 327747 325751
      324756 325762 327768 331768 334767 339764 342761
 1.00 499263 499258 497253 494249 491245 486245 483246 480249
      477253 481255 485254 488257 492261 495264 499263
 1.00 481241 480240 480239 479237 477236 475236 474237 473239
      475241 476242 478242 480242 481241
 1.00 454860 454855 453850 453847 451845 449846 448849 446852
      445856 444858 443861 442865 443869 447870 449870 450868
      452866 453862 454860
 1.00 452913 450901 449896 447892 443890 439892 434901 431903
      426903 419909 419914 420919 422921 424921 429923 431923
      442923 450919 452913
 1.00 425249 427246 426242 423239 417238 414238 410241 410244
      413248 410252 409255 414256 418254 421252 424250 425249
 1.50 430916 429914 428913 426914 426915 426916 426917 428917
      429916 430916

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 546155 545141 542138 537136 532135 529137 527134 526127
      528121 529113 531107 531103 529102 526104 523104 520108
      516110 507114 504116 502123 500134 499138 497138 494135
      486128 484122 484113 486099 487095 484092 480089 474088
      471083 468080 457068 445054 439046 434039 428031 424022
      417005 414993 412988 412982 409969 407965 403967 403982
      403989 402997 399001 395001 388998 386993 385986 384980
      385973 387961 390951 396929 397897 404879 407870 409867
      414866 424869 428878 433887 436896 439909 443920 446929
      450937 461952 476949 481939 481924 480905 479892 479874
      479861 478856 478848 478838 480826 480811 479794 480781
      479767 478749 478735 475723 472710 468700 464690 462685
      466682 468682 469677 470671 472661 471655 468651 462650
      456652 453655 446663 443664 440662 433659 414655 409655
      406655 393659 390658 384659 385665 383671 378677 379682
      381686 387696 388711 389724 387732 382741 379746 379752
      378755 381761 385768 391773 394777 390780 383786 376789
      362790 364789 365785 365779 366767 368758 368753 366749
      363744 362741 364738 362734 359731 353731 350730 346729
      342726 339723 334721 330719 325720 321722 318725 317728
      313731 310734 309740 309747 310750 312749 317751 319752
      319755 317759 317763 316770 316777 321785 325788 328788
      331789 331793 328803 327807 332809 347801 351805 351810
      350813 349819 347822 342831 339838 334845 331853 331861
      333865 344866 339870 337874 334878 333883 331893 331897
      333901 333913 340913 344910 350910 353910 354913 353923
      352930 351935 349940 345940 339938 335941 332945 328947
      324953 317958 312968 317971 328971 334972 335975 334977
 0.01 334977 328990 329996 332997 341997 343000 343004 342010
      342022 343030 344040 346044 349048 348053 348057 354063
      361061 366061 369059 372058 376059 379061 378065 373071
      375079 378086 381094 384095 388093 390096 391103 389107
      384108 378110 376120 381134 382143 387149 395154 397158
      397164 395167 395172 394177 396180 411188 415196 414202
      411205 406207 401206 398203 394202 392199 388198 380197
      382202 384204 389209 394215 397219 399221 404227 404232
      403235 400237 400240 402244 405246 415249 423252 439252
      470252 475253 479256 484261 490267 494274 505287 510285
      513284 514277 516272 516268 519262 522256 522253 518244
      514238 508232 506229 505224 507217 510221 514223 519224
      525224 527226 530224 533222 535219 538207 536199 540190
      542179 544164 546155
 0.01 533981 533976 532973 531968 530964 526960 523960 522961
      516963 512967 506980 504983 502983 497980 492976 489972
      486964 482959 481957 477957 472957 469962 466969 465973
      462976 459981 448984 448993 450000 457011 461016 468016
      470019 473019 476019 479017 486018 491016 502022 508021
      513018 517014 520009 524003 527997 531989 533981
 0.01 476187 476179 471175 466176 462180 454189 454193 452195
      449200 448197 446199 440202 439199 439194 436192 432198
      433203 435205 440208 446210 457207 466202 470198 473193
      476187
 0.01 323913 322907 321902 319898 318894 314886 311882 309882
      307886 307892 306899 302901 297895 291899 291910 294915
      294919 292918 292923 293929 295933 299939 302941 301943
      299947 293952 293958 296960 303958 307955 310952 316945
      317941 318937 321915 323913
 0.01 317858 316849 314845 312841 310841 304838 302840 300846
      298851 298857 304861 308863 313864 315860 317858
 0.01 296815 295811 292807 285804 276802 268799 263798 261795
      258795 254797 253802 256805 263808 271811 279814 286817
      290819 294818 296815
 0.01 264825 263821 262819 261816 258814 257813 256816 254818
      254821 253824 253828 254831 256833 260832 262830 263827
      264825
 0.01 250804 251800 250796 248794 245794 242794 240796 238798
      236800 235802 236804 237808 240809 242810 245810 247808
      249806 250804
 0.25 535174 535164 534160 532158 527155 524154 522155 521159
      522162 523170 518172 510172 505172 502168 496165 488164
      484162 481160 476157 470153 466151 462149 461146 459140
      464136 466132 466127 465123 463121 459118 457117 455114
      457111 460111 460114 466113 470110 470105 467103 460104
      458105 454105 449104 442094 441090 441085 444080 446073
      445067 438055 432052 429053 430056 432061 431064 429070
      428074 427079 424084 424093 425098 433109 434115 438118
      445120 447126 447133 446138 445140 441144 440150 442158
      444162 449176 453177 456177 460172 465169 469167 477168
      481170 491180 500183 503183 505185 504195 504200 505203
      509207 515211 522211 527208 528201 530185 533180 535174
 0.25 493254 493251 492250 491248 491247 490247 491250 492251
      493254 493254
 0.25 493225 493218 494215 492212 489210 485209 479210 468213
      462215 456216 451218 444218 442221 450223 463226 472234
      477240 483243 485243 485238 484230 488231 492226 493225
 0.25 474788 474778 473771 471764 469760 466752 465746 464733
      463724 462717 457705 455700 451696 442694 440687 439683
      436684 432688 429686 419684 417684 415682 410683 406684
      400688 399693 400700 406726 407731 410733 410736 411750
      409758 407763 402771 400777 400784 398788 393791 389794
      386797 380806 369823 366828 366834 368846 367852 365856
      363862 363870 362875 360879 358884 358892 360908 360916
      359920 356934 353945 350959 346971 346976 348980 350985
      350991 350000 348005 347010 347015 348022 350028 354029
      356025 359011 360004 361000 367991 372981 376969 378963
      380960 384956 384951 383936 386911 387902 388896 391883
      396873 399863 403853 406841 408833 410828 413823 416819
      420818 423820 427831 431844 432850 434854 443859 448867
      450875 450885 449901 452912 460918 465918 468914 472903
      474873 474855 474838 474825 474809 474797 474788
 0.25 455238 455237 453237 451236 450235 448234 446234 445234
      443234 442235 441235 440236 440239 442240 444241 445242
      447242 449242 451241 452240 454239 455238
 0.25 430238 428237 427236 425236 423236 422236 421236 419237
      418237 417238 417239 417240 418242 419242 420243 422243
      424243 426242 427242 429240 430239 430238
 0.25 429049 428039 424033 419027 414023 399025 396027 396032
      397036 397041 392047 387052 386054 389056 393063 392073
      393079 395081 399083 402081 408076 410074 412068 412064
      419065 423058 427054 429049
 0.25 420737 419735 417734 415734 413734 415736 415737 416738
      418740 419739 420737
 0.25 410110 411108 411106 411103 411101 410098 408097 407098
      406100 405102 405105 405107 405109 405112 406114 408113
      409112 410111 410110
 0.25 409810 410808 408805 406807 406808 406810 407811 409811
      409810
 0.25 342741 342737 340735 335734 329735 324738 326747 326754
      324760 325766 331769 335765 337758 339753 341746 342741
 0.50 471793 471779 467769 453767 453755 456744 456739 456731
      452721 438717 432717 428720 424727 423733 424739 424746
      425753 420762 418764 413765 408767 406770 407777 409781
      410787 408790 406794 408799 417799 420804 424805 428807
      431810 436816 445834 449843 451852 455864 456869 456876
      455890 456897 458901 461900 464898 466888 469874 469863
      469836 470822 471809 471793
 0.50 446111 446109 445108 444107 442106 441105 440105 439107
      439108 438110 438111 440112 441113 442113 443113 445112
      446111
 0.50 425048 425041 424037 421032 417034 412036 409038 406040
      403042 400046 400049 402051 406052 411054 416054 421053
      423050 425048
 0.50 401074 402072 401071 400072 399073 399074 399076 401074
      401074
 0.50 398811 398804 397800 393797 391797 388799 387802 384806
      382810 380814 381819 384820 388818 391816 396814 398811
 0.50 390870 388867 385868 379871 376868 376862 379855 381850
      379847 375848 373852 369860 367867 369870 372871 370880
      363885 361887 361892 364912 364921 361929 359936 356946
      355957 354967 352988 353998 353009 353015 356016 357006
      359995 362989 366983 370975 374967 376958 379951 379945
      378942 378929 380922 382913 383901 384890 387884 386874
      390870
 1.00 465819 465809 464799 461795 458794 456796 455798 453798
      449798 447804 449814 450821 452828 455835 459838 462832
      463824 465819
 1.00 444752 441750 440750 436749 433750 430752 431757 432760
      434763 435768 436769 438767 439762 441760 442758 444754
      444752
 1.00 374940 374934 372932 370933 366935 363938 362943 363949
      363954 362958 357967 356978 357985 360985 362982 364977
      367967 370964 371958 373947 374940
 1.00 372900 372898 371896 370896 369895 368896 367897 367898
      367900 369901 371901 372900
 1.50 370943 371940 370940 368940 368941 366941 365943 366944
      367945 368946 369945 370943 370943

$$





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