Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 270914
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
513 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 27/1200 UTC THRU SEP 30/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

NEW ENGLAND---MID ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEAST

MODEL ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH THE TIMING OF THE SURFACE
FRONT---INITIALLY STRETCHING FROM INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND INTO THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN GA---AS IT EVENTUALLY PUSHES OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST...WHILE STALLING ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST. FAVORABLE UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND WELL DEFINED FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE IN AN AXIS OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES WILL SUPPORT AN
ORGANIZED AREA OF FRONTAL AND PRE-FRONTAL PRECIP---WITH AREAL
AVERAGE MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE. HIGHEST
AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS AROUND 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN MA.


COASTAL CAROLINAS

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG
THE SOUTHEAST AND NC COAST AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPSTREAM
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS WAVE TO REMAIN OFFSHORE.  HOWEVER---THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE ANTICIPATED PRECIPITATION SHIELD MAY AFFECT
THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SC AND PARTICULARLY NC WITH
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS.


UPPER LAKES

LATEST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE NEARLY STATIONARY
CLOSED LOW IN THE VICINITY OF LAKE SUPERIOR TODAY...WHICH WILL
DROP SOUTH ACROSS LAKE MI OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WED. THE WESTERN
END OF THE ASSOCIATED COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION BAND
WILL PUSH ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES REGION FROM NORTHEAST MN---ACROSS
NORTHERN WI--THE U.P. OF MI...AND WESTERN LOWER MI. A 90-100 KT
250 MB JET STREAK ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW (AND RESULTANT
VORT LOBE) WILL ENHANCE THE LIFT ON THE WEST AND EVENTUALLY SOUTH
SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW. CYCLONIC FLOW OFF OF THE RELATIVELY WARMER
WATERS OF LAKE SUPERIOR AND NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WILL ENHANCE
PRECIP TOTALS OVER THE U.P. AND NORTHWEST L.P.  WIDESPREAD
MODERATE TOTALS IN THE .25-.50" RANGE DEPICTED WITH HEAVIER TOTALS
IN AREAS OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT TO THE PRECIPITATION.


SOUTH TX

A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE
LOWER TX COAST TODAY. DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY (AT LEAST 500-1000
J/KG) AND DEEP MOISTURE (PWS 2-2.25 INCHES) WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT
FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LOWER TX
COAST...ALTHOUGH THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL INFLOW (AROUND 10 KTS) AS
WELL AS BULK SHEAR (<20 KTS BETWEEN 0-6 KM) WILL KEEP THE ACTIVITY
FROM BECOMING ORGANIZED. GIVEN THE PERSISTENT FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICAL SETUP (INSTABILITY ADVECTING IN OFF THE
GOMEX)...EVEN WITH PULSE TYPE ACTIVITY EXPECT AREAL-AVERAGE TOTALS
OF 1-2" PER A MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS(HIGHEST AROUND
BROWNSVILLE-PORT MANSFIELD EAST TO SOUTH PADRE ISLAND)...WHILE PER
THE HIGH-RES CAMS EXPECT ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3-6" IN THIS
ENVIRONMENT.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION...

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF FROM THE
MEAN FLOW AND DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THE EXACT EVOLUTION AND LOCATION OF THIS UPPER LOW WILL
PLAY A SIGNIFICANT FACTOR IN THE MAGNITUDE AND LOCATION OF HEAVY
RAINFALL THIS PERIOD ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND
MID-ATLANTIC REGION. AS THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH EXPECT
THE EASTWARD PROGRESSING COLD FRONT TO STALL ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
INTO THE EASTERN MID ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP ALONG IT IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING
HEIGHT FALLS. THIS WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO HELP
CONCENTRATE AN AXIS OF LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE CAROLINAS...WITH THE ACTIVITY
LIFTING NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VA BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING AS THE LOW AND MID LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO BACK AROUND AND
STRENGTHEN AROUND THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE UPPER LOW.

INCREASINGLY STRONG AND BACKING LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED
OVER THE CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
RESULT IN A RATHER QUICK RESURGENCE OF DEEPER MOISTURE UP NORTH
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN AND ADJACENT PIEDMONT REGION. THIS
COUPLED WITH INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH 250
MB RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS AROUND THE EASTERN SIDE OF
THE UPPER LOW WILL FACILITATE THE EXPANSION OF A NORTH/SOUTH
ORIENTED BANDS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A CONSENSUS OF
THE GUIDANCE LED BY THE GFS/UKMET AND ECMWF ALL SUGGEST HEAVY
RAINS WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG AN AXIS FROM CENTRAL VA
TO SOUTHERN PA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL LIKELY PROMOTE
A THREAT FOR SOME RUNOFF PROBLEMS AND/OR FLASH FLOODING...AND AS
SUCH...A SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN ISSUED TO ADDRESS THIS.

THE DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL BACK AROUND FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS ON THURSDAY AS THE UPPER LOW DROPS SOUTH OF THE OH
RIVER AND DOWN INTO KY. THIS IS WHEN SOME OF THE BIGGER MODEL
DISAGREEMENTS SHOW UP AS THE ECMWF INSISTS ON THE UPPER LOW
FOCUSING FARTHER WEST THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS. THE GFS/NAM/UKMET
AND CMC ARE FARTHER EAST. THE ECMWF POSITION WOULD ALLOW FOR
SUFFICIENT BACKING OF THE FLOW FOR THERE TO BE A SIGNIFICANT
UPSLOPE FLOW RAINFALL EVENT FOR THE SPINE OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...INCLUDING SOUTHWEST PA...WESTERN MD...CENTRAL WV
AND FAR WESTERN VA. THE REMAINING MODELS SUGGEST THE FOCUS OF THE
STRONGER UPSLOPE FLOW OCCURRING A BIT FARTHER EAST WITH AN
EMPHASIS ON THE PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS REGION OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
BUT INCLUDING THE BLUE RIDGE FROM NORTHERN VA INTO CENTRAL PA. THE
GFS SUGGESTS 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES REACHING OVER 3
STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE NORMAL OVER CENTRAL PA BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE ECMWF FOCUSES THESE ANOMALIES FARTHER BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST. WPC AT THIS TIME HAS DECIDED TO LEAN GENERALLY AWAY
FROM THE ECMWF IN FAVOR OF A CONSENSUS THAT IS CLOSE TO A
GFS/UKMET COMPROMISE. STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT WITH ENHANCED ATLANTIC INFLOW WILL SUPPORT HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE BLUE RIDGE
AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. THE SET-UP FOR THIS EVENT BASICALLY IS
CONSISTENT WITH THAT OF AN EAST COAST ATMOSPHERIC RIVER GIVEN THE
LONG-FETCH ATLANTIC TRAJECTORY THAT WILL BE IN PLACE. A MODERATE
RISK IS BEING INTRODUCED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AT THIS
TIME FROM CENTRAL/NORTHERN MD INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL PA. LATER MODEL
RUNS WILL ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL FINE-TUNING OF THIS OUTLOOK...BUT
CONDITIONS WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR LOCALLY SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF AND
FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS.


...LOWER GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY...

DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW AND MOISTURE ADVECTION COMING IN FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION WILL FOCUS MODERATE RAINS OVER THE LOWER LAKES
REGION AND THE OH VALLEY THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. SOME OF THE
RAINS WILL TEND TO BE CONCENTRATED IN PARTICULAR WITHIN THE MID
LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE WHICH WILL BE ACROSS IN/OH AND LOWER MI.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AS MUCH AS A 0.50 TO 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED.


...SOUTHEAST/FL PENINSULA...

THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN AHEAD OF
THE DEEP UPPER LOW ADVANCING SOUTH INTO THE OH VALLEY WILL FOCUS
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF SC
DOWN INTO GA AND ULTIMATELY THE FL PANHANDLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND
THEN DOWN THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH THURSDAY. DESPITE RATHER HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...THE STRONGER FORCING WILL BE MUCH
FARTHER NORTH AND SO THE CONVECTION WILL BE RATHER DISORGANIZED
WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT AREAL AVERAGE TOTALS.


...FAR SOUTHERN TX...

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPRESSED WITH TIME AS HIGH PRESSURE
NOSES SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ALONG WITH DRIER AIR.
HOWEVER THE GUIDANCE HANGS ON TO A NORTH/SOUTH AXIS OF STRONGER
SURFACE CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LOWER TX COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE COLD FRONT SETTLING FARTHER SOUTH. SOME ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS
ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD NEAR THE IMMEDIATE SOUTH
TX COAST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
THEREAFTER.


...SOUTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA IS FORECAST
TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTH INTO TE GREAT BASIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST.
INCREASED MOISTURE TRANSPORT AROUND THE NORTHEAST FLANK OF THE
UPPER LOW...COMBINED WITH SOME INCREASED SYNOPTIC SUPPORT FOR
ASCENT...SHOULD LEAD TO INCREASED SHOWER COVERAGE ACROSS THE WEST
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH THE THREAT SHIFTING NORTH WITH
TIME. THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL THREAT FOR SOME FLASH FLOODING
GIVEN THE INFLUX MOISTURE IN CONJUNCTION WITH OROGRAPHICS.
WIDESPREAD PROBLEMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AS AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL
TOTALS SHOULD BE RATHER LIGHT.

HURLEY/ORRISON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 458624 460627 462634 466638 470640 472651 473657 470661
      468663 467668 467674 466679 474681 481683 486686 491691
      495696 499703 502711 511721 514729 515740 515743 513743
      508739 503733 497729 493721 489714 485710 479706 472706
      465708 455711 446712 442711 441708 439708 437712 436722
      432725 426729 423731 421734 412746 402760 394770 389778
      386784 379795 373800 371806 365821 359833 355840 351846
      347854 344864 342867 341865 340862 340860 337860 332865
      328870 318881 316886 313890 306895 303901 300903 298904
      293909 292913 292919 292929 292942 291951 290956 289959
      286963 281975 275980 273986 268994 270997 274999 286005
      291009 295010 295014 297017 296022 293028 290031 288036
      289042 291045 296052 301057 304064 305074 308079 308083
      312081 315084 321087 323090 326092 328092 327088 329080
      334076 336073 338074 342076 343079 346084 350086 351088
      351093 349097 350101 354107 360098 368101 370104 370110
      369117 368127 365135 362139 360139 356144 353146 349146
      347143 344142 333145 330138 332134 336128 337121 334116
      330115 327116 326120 325127 323131 320134 324149 325156
      325162 323166 319167 313165 309163 297154 288145 284141
      281136 278132 278129 286131 289127 292119 293116 292112
      290109 286108 280106 279103 280101 282099 285097 287095
      289092 288089 283084 281080 278076 273072 267073 255068
      249065 244061 237057 234049 234044 231037 228027 229922
      231911 233905 237907 242907 248909 251911 253917 257927
      259928 261926 262921 262906 262899 263894 263880 266878
      269880 269887 271893 271906 273921 275933 278935 281932
      284928 284920 284914 286911 286907 280898 278894 277887
      275883 274875 274869 275862 276851 277848
 0.01 277848 277837 279831 278828 274828 271830 268835 266836
      263837 259838 254837 251835 250829 245827 241825 239824
      236826 233829 231834 229838 227838 225833 226827 223817
      222803 221797 223793 226781 239771 251769 258768 263766
      275763 280763 284763 290763 294765 299764 303761 306759
      304757 301755 302753 304748 307744 310741 317734 325728
      334724 353714 360707 366700 377683 383675 386672 392670
      396667 401666 405663 408660 410658 416651 419647 423645
      437640 441638 442636 444629
 0.01 540170 539163 536158 531158 527155 524154 522156 518161
      515166 511170 506166 503165 501168 500175 502181 510191
      519199 526196 531193 534187 537181 539172 540170
 0.01 501227 501223 499219 498214 496211 488209 481210 475213
      471213 469215 470219 473219 480217 488220 492226 496232
      501227
 0.01 512918 510913 507908 503905 499899 500894 500891 498890
      493886 488886 485886 482882 483874 485866 487862 489856
      487848 485841 486834 486826 484819 483811 484806 484798
      481793 478790 466790 458792 453795 445802 441805 438810
      437815 438820 439823 443824 445825 444828 451838 444844
      441844 439841 435837 432840 428840 424842 421846 418851
      415854 411859 410862 409867 409873 410880 412886 415889
      420898 422902 425904 428903 441921 447929 455938 463943
      468945 474945 482945 489947 494947 502940 508931 511924
      512918
 0.01 450746 449736 445734 442738 442743 441745 436751 435756
      432771 430786 425798 424804 424806 427805 435797 441786
      444773 448761 450746
 0.01 337806 336801 332801 328802 327806 324812 321815 320819
      321830 321840 322843 324843 327841 328836 326833 326829
      327827 332820 335813 337806
 0.01 319847 318830 317821 312822 308824 305821 310811 309808
      305808 302808 299811 296815 292819 285825 289825 290829
      291832 289835 290839 292841 296836 301836 300842 309848
      315851 319847
 0.01 293872 293868 291864 291862 291858 289854 288858 288862
      288866 288870 288873 288877 288881 290881 290878 292874
      293872
 0.01 264029 262025 261021 257018 252017 249015 246015 245018
      247022 248026 250030 253034 257032 261030 264029
 0.25 460651 460645 458642 453640 443644 437646 424651 418655
      414661 407672 403680 401683 398684 394682 390681 387683
      382689 377695 369705 357715 353719 347722 333730 321736
      315741 311747 318772 320775 320779 322782 325782 328789
      331789 335787 343776 350764 353759 358755 362755 364758
      366763 364768 361774 357780 350791 347797 346805 345814
      345818 346821 351826 355819 362809 369797 377783 390760
      405734 421711 436686 443673 447668 451664 455662 458658
      460651
 0.25 475852 476844 474837 470835 467829 463827 461826 459827
      457833 456839 441853 437855 430855 425855 420859 418863
      417868 419871 422871 428871 439871 449869 458864 461866
      461871 461876 459883 459889 460893 459901 459906 461908
      469914 472911 474904 476890 475872 475855 475852
 0.25 461807 460802 458801 455802 453804 451806 449809 447812
      449816 451817 454816 456815 459813 460810 461807
 0.25 353128 353126 352124 352123 350122 348123 347125 346127
      347129 347131 349132 351132 352130 353129 353128
 0.25 349114 347113 346112 346114 347115 349115 349114
 0.25 289806 289801 288796 286790 283784 277781 269783 261783
      252784 247788 244794 243801 242808 244815 245819 248822
      254822 260820 264816 269804 272801 275801 280802 282809
      282812 284813 288810 289806
 0.25 231987 232997 236002 245005 253006 257006 259003 259998
      258994 259990 261987 266982 277970 281964 283958 284952
      283947 281945 276945 273945 269944 265937 258935 254935
      250937 241938 235939 232945 230951
 0.50 455650 454648 451647 445649 438649 431651 424654 419658
      413667 408677 401689 395697 391699 389691 387688 385689
      382693 374704 366710 361715 357719 352722 347725 334732
      324737 315744 313749 315754 323765 329775 333777 339774
      346766 353755 359747 367739 371739 372745 375745 376748
      374755 371768 367780 366782 369784 373779 379768 385759
      392748 418709 424700 430687 434677 436671 441665 450657
      454654 455650
 0.50 472885 472879 471874 470869 470863 470853 470848 467848
      465852 464856 464862 465868 466872 464874 464880 463886
      464892 463896 463902 465904 468898 471888 472885
 0.50 458844 456844 454845 451847 449848 448853 447855 445857
      443860 443861 447861 450860 451858 453856 455853 456850
      457847 458844
 0.50 437866 437863 436862 434862 433861 431861 429861 427861
      426860 424861 423862 422863 421865 421867 423868 424869
      426869 428869 430869 431869 433868 435868 436867 437866
 0.50 362801 362798 361797 361796 359795 357795 355796 354797
      352799 352800 351802 351803 350804 350806 351809 353808
      355808 356807 358805 360803 361801 362801
 0.50 231981 235986 235993 237997 239999 244002 247003 252003
      254001 254996 253989 257986 262981 266978 271973 275968
      279963 280958 279954 276952 270951 263948 259944 252942
      248945 237952 231959
 0.50 261795 260790 255791 253792 249794 248796 246801 246807
      247809 249809 252806 253802 255799 259797 261795
 1.00 434659 432657 427658 421662 416668 412674 405687 397700
      394707 391716 391725 393729 397730 403725 407719 415707
      422694 425686 427677 430670 433662 434659
 1.00 384708 383701 380700 374707 366713 359720 356723 352726
      344730 335736 326740 322742 319746 319751 322755 327763
      333771 338769 341766 347758 353751 358743 365736 371729
      379725 382723 381720 384708
 1.00 272966 272961 268958 259957 253956 248956 239959 235961
      233963 232968 231973 236979 241981 246980 255978 263976
      267974 270971 272966
 1.50 421682 421675 417674 414676 412680 407688 403696 399704
      396712 397718 401720 405717 407714 413706 416698 420688
      421682
 1.50 378709 372711 366715 356726 343735 338739 331742 327743
      324745 322748 324754 328759 332765 334767 338767 340765
      342761 346755 351750 354743 359738 365733 369727 373722
      376714 378709
 1.50 267970 267966 266964 259962 254961 246961 241962 235965
      233971 235975 239977 244978 252976 257975 263974 267970
 2.00 416688 417685 416681 413682 411687 409691 407696 405699
      403704 403706 404709 406708 409704 411702 413696 415692
      416688
 2.00 372718 371714 368716 364719 360725 357728 352731 347736
      348741 350744 352742 356738 361734 365730 369725 371720
      372718
 2.00 341759 340757 338753 337751 334750 332748 331748 333750
      334754 333758 334761 334763 338764 340762 341759
 2.00 264970 261967 257965 252965 246965 241965 237967 236971
      239975 242976 246975 252974 255973 261972 264970

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 231990 236988 240990 242990 243986 248984 259983 264981
      266977 271974 273970 271964 273960 274952 273949 271944
      268941 261941 257941 252945 250948 247953 243954 236955
      232956 231957
 0.01 476882 476879 473877 468876 466872 464869 464863 465860
      465855 466850 464847 463844 459839 453840 448838 445838
      444836 445834 453830 448797 444777 443759 441751 438745
      431733 429726 429719 430709 432705 437696 439689 439682
      438677 439673 442669 442664 446649 444642 442639 439640
      432642 428646 424651 420656 416667 412677 406686 401703
      397716 391727 388732 382735 367738 361740 354740 349740
      345743 336749 323758 319761 316763 312764 286772 262780
      256789 255793 257797 258799 254801 246804 245807 245811
      247817 251821 256823 261827 262833 260838 262845 266855
      269859 273861 277873 278895 281898 284898 286895 290891
      292885 296882 299876 327842 330837 336831 346824 353822
      355824 354826 351832 354835 355839 350844 347853 342858
      340862 342867 346871 357861 360857 365852 370856 373857
      379854 380863 384866 389870 395871 397873 397876 393879
      393883 396889 395894 397901 399906 404906 415905 420907
      423905 426906 429912 433916 453911 458908 461907 461911
      464911 465908 468903 472890 476882
 0.01 445839 443837 442838 441839 442841 444841 445839
 0.01 442844 442841 440840 439842 439843 438844 437845 437847
      436849 437851 439849 440846 441846 442844
 0.01 434121 435116 433112 429112 427113 422114 418115 415114
      409105 405106 402106 399104 396103 393105 388104 384101
      378102 358100 353087 350083 344080 340076 337075 333073
      329074 323078 319081 315085 310087 306089 302093 299098
      299103 304110 308113 313116 319115 323114 331115 335118
      337121 336130 338136 343140 344145 347148 347151 348152
      350156 348163 347166 345164 341163 338165 336168 336172
      340175 342182 343189 344195 346199 349199 350197 385189
      385185 387181 391177 395175 399170 399166 398164 397161
      399159 401154 401150 400148 395142 396138 398135 400133
      400129 400122 404124 407124 409122 419127 424132 426132
      428128 434121
 0.01 380076 379076 378073 376073 376076 377078 378078 379076
      380076
 0.01 298073 297067 293062 281057 270058 260049 253047 249044
      245044 242046 242054 247066 260071 265075 271075 277076
      281077 283079 290079 296076 298073
 0.25 231978 237977 239979 242979 250979 257979 263976 266972
      267966 265961 261958 254957 248958 243960 236961 231963
 0.25 437760 436755 433751 427747 421743 418741 417738 415734
      412734 409732 405734 391740 366760 351769 337777 324787
      319793 318799 322801 322806 320814 322818 325818 330815
      339811 347808 356808 363804 366800 370797 374796 377794
      390786 394784 398786 403791 408796 415799 419800 423798
      425796 427791 430783 432776 436767 437760
 0.25 432843 432836 432831 430824 429819 427816 421813 418812
      414813 409815 399823 394828 391835 391843 393847 395848
      403846 405841 410835 414835 416836 417841 417846 415852
      413855 414858 416859 419858 425854 429850 432843
 0.25 350114 349114 348112 347112 346111 345109 344108 344107
      343106 341106 340107 341108 341109 342109 344111 346113
      346114 347114 349116 350114
 0.25 299832 295826 289822 285822 281822 272824 270826 269831
      270836 270841 272846 274848 277849 280848 287844 294841
      298836 299832
 0.25 263062 262060 261058 260057 259056 257055 256055 254054
      252053 250053 249054 249056 250058 251059 252059 253060
      255061 257061 259062 260063 262063 263062
 0.50 432764 431758 429756 423754 418753 415750 408748 403746
      399745 394745 387748 382752 375758 365766 355772 343778
      339782 336786 331797 331804 336804 360799 380786 386783
      393780 399781 403784 409786 415783 425779 428774 429769
      432764
 0.50 424827 422822 418821 416821 411822 409824 406826 404827
      404829 407829 410829 415830 419832 422833 424828 424827
 0.50 290831 289827 287826 283825 280826 276827 274828 273832
      274836 275840 277840 279840 282838 284837 287835 289833
      290831
 0.50 232975 236974 238975 244976 248976 255978 261975 264970
      265967 261962 255960 248961 244964 239967 233968 232968
 1.00 421766 419761 415760 410756 402753 394753 386756 379761
      367771 364774 360776 353780 345784 342790 343795 348794
      355791 371784 386777 395774 402776 406777 411775 417771
      420768 421766
 1.00 261968 261967 259966 257965 255965 254964 252964 250965
      249966 248967 247968 246968 245970 246972 248973 250973
      252973 254972 255971 257971 259970 260970 261969 261968
 1.50 412767 411762 408759 404757 400756 391757 384761 378767
      371774 369777 368780 374779 377777 386773 391772 396771
      405772 410770 412767
 2.00 408763 406761 402759 397758 393759 390760 385763 383766
      382770 385771 391770 396769 401769 405769 408766 408763

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 516169 516161 515154 512149 505147 502144 497142 489136
      477129 473131 474136 476138 479138 482140 486145 489152
      484155 478153 473151 469145 464137 464131 461126 458124
      456120 456115 456110 454103 454098 453096 452088 451083
      449077 446072 443072 446077 449084 448089 447093 442093
      440091 435090 431091 427087 422086 416089 411086 408083
      409080 414075 416064 411063 406064 405062 406060 403056
      386062 382062 380064 374062 371062 365064 359065 355070
      347067 340069 335070 329070 323070 319071 317069 308065
      299061 292057 288053 281052 275053 267053 262054 255056
      254063 256069 258073 267080 272083 277085 288085 293084
      297088 300091 303093 304096 308102 308106 309109 309113
      311115 315116 318115 321115 323117 327120 333124 336128
      340131 343134 352139 357139 362141 366142 368141 374146
      376148 379149 384147 384143 383140 385134 389129 393128
      405124 412126 413127 413131 411138 407140 404142 400147
      395150 391156 389162 388169 390172 393172 397167 400162
      404158 408154 414154 417163 421162 423155 427149 430152
      432155 441163 445167 447172 453185 460186 463182 463177
      462174 457170 456166 459161 462161 464164 467167 485179
      491178 497180 501181 504180 507174 510172 512173 516169
 0.01 451185 450183 450182 448182 446183 445183 443183 442183
      441185 440185 441186 442188 442189 443188 444187 445186
      446185 448186 449186 451185 451185
 0.01 449816 449809 447805 445800 442796 443787 443783 443776
      443767 442758 437748 434744 430744 426742 423742 422739
      424734 424732 421725 421718 425710 425705 424698 423694
      421692 417689 414686 409687 405689 403693 396701 391708
      387711 383713 378715 375714 371715 368717 363720 359724
      352731 347738 344741 342743 339742 335743 335745 336750
      332753 319763 313768 305773 293776 287778 281779 277782
      272782 261784 254789 249794 246795 245800 243809 244814
      242819 242825 243833 249838 251841 258840 263840 265837
      271837 278832 284831 287829 287823 290818 297809 303805
      314806 323805 331801 334800 337798 341799 343803 348806
      350809 355811 360810 364807 366808 367811 364814 360817
      359822 363827 366829 371830 380831 384834 385837 383840
      374839 368837 366840 363845 362849 356857 357862 358866
      361872 368876 374882 382889 387891 394891 397888 402888
      414887 420883 427879 432874 432867 433861 434853 436847
      438842 442837 445834 447829 449816
 0.01 383195 381192 378189 375186 370184 364183 359183 359186
      364188 367189 372192 375194 381196 383195
 0.01 345182 345177 345171 343168 341166 336167 330165 328168
      332170 335172 339171 341175 341180 344183 345182
 0.01 231988 246988 253980 257977 259972 261966 262958 263954
      263945 260933 258928 255921 252919 246919 241923 238928
      237933 236942 236949 235955 234960 231963
 0.25 435775 436770 436766 432761 428757 423757 419756 413754
      409748 409744 411742 413736 414727 413720 414713 413706
      412704 408705 402715 394722 388724 382725 376725 371727
      366731 363738 361744 358750 357754 354758 343766 333772
      324780 322785 325789 332790 337788 344785 351783 372787
      377789 379791 380795 381806 379814 377818 381822 388828
      391830 392828 392819 393816 395818 401820 404826 403834
      397843 396852 394858 391863 390872 393876 400876 409873
      414868 416863 420858 425853 428848 431843 434831 435822
      436815 435806 433797 431791 430783 434780 435775
 0.25 434112 433110 432109 432108 430108 429108 428109 426110
      426113 428112 428113 429114 431114 431113 433112 434112
 0.25 398111 394105 391106 388103 383102 383099 387095 391097
      395096 397092 396087 396080 394077 390075 385077 382075
      379071 377068 373068 370077 366084 363086 357085 353086
      353091 356099 357103 359105 361105 361108 364109 371112
      376113 380112 383110 387109 391109 396110 398111
 0.25 360123 361119 360116 358111 357108 355107 350104 347101
      345096 341086 339081 336080 330081 329088 334097 336100
      339106 340111 342116 345120 348124 354126 359124 360123
 0.25 287074 286069 282066 279064 275063 270060 266060 262061
      261066 264070 266072 271074 274075 279077 283076 287074
 0.25 266812 264811 262811 258811 257813 254814 254818 256820
      259821 262821 264821 264818 265815 266812
 0.25 247978 247976 246975 245974 244973 243973 241974 239974
      237975 236975 235976 233977 232979 233981 233982 235983
      237983 239982 240982 241981 242981 244980 245980 246978
      247978
 0.50 428772 427767 425764 419763 411760 405755 403752 402748
      403744 405742 410735 410730 409723 407721 404722 399727
      397731 393733 385732 377735 373740 373745 374751 372761
      367767 366772 368776 374780 381784 386788 390793 395799
      398802 399809 407820 410823 411828 412835 411842 409851
      405856 403859 403864 408860 417849 423844 426836 430819
      431813 430807 428795 423782 425776 428772
 0.50 364097 363095 362094 361094 361096 361098 361099 362098
      363098 364097
 0.50 355120 355117 354116 354115 353113 352113 351112 349111
      348110 346109 345109 344111 344112 344114 345116 347117
      349118 349119 350120 352121 354121 355120
 1.00 422801 421793 417784 416780 417777 419773 417768 404762
      400758 395752 390747 388746 383747 380753 378762 376768
      377773 379776 390784 394790 396793 400794 405798 410803
      415807 418810 421808 422801
 1.50 416771 413768 408767 400763 392757 387756 384758 383761
      381766 381768 382772 388778 392782 395787 398790 403792
      411798 415799 417797 416792 415788 413779 416771
 2.00 412788 410779 411776 411770 405768 399765 392762 386764
      385767 385772 390777 395782 399788 406789 411791 412788
 3.00 408782 407780 407775 405773 403771 400769 398768 396768
      392768 391771 393775 394777 396779 398781 400783 403784
      406785 408782
 4.00 404778 404776 404775 402774 402773 400772 399772 398772
      396772 395773 395775 397777 399779 401780 402780 404779
      404778

$$





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