Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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AXUS71 KPHI 161933
DGTPHI
DEC001-003-005-MDC011-015-029-035-041-NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-
019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037-041-PAC011-017-025-029-045-
077-089-091-095-101-181945-

Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
333 PM EDT Thu Mar 16 2017

...AS OF MARCH 16TH, A SMALL PORTION OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY WAS
DEFINED AS D2 (SEVERE DROUGHT) BY THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...

...AS OF MARCH 16TH, EAST-CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY WERE DEFINED AS D1 (MODERATE DROUGHT) BY THE
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...

...AS OF MARCH 16TH, SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA, SOUTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, AND THE DELMARVA WERE DEFINED AS D0
(ABNORMALLY DRY) BY THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...

...THE STATE OF NEW JERSEY HAS ISSUED A DROUGHT WARNING FOR NINE
COUNTIES WITHIN OUR HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA (HSA) AND A DROUGHT
WATCH FOR FOUR ADDITIONAL COUNTIES WITHIN OUR HSA...

...THE STATE OF PENNSYLVANIA HAS ISSUED A DROUGHT WATCH FOR ALL
COUNTIES WITHIN OUR HSA...

SYNOPSIS:

For east-central and southeastern Pennsylvania; northwest,
central and southern New Jersey; Delaware; and the Eastern Shore
of Maryland...

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

State and Local Actions:
The National Weather Service does not declare Drought Watches or
Warnings.

A Drought Warning has been issued for 14 New Jersey counties.
Five of the counties are located in the New York City/Upton
Service Area. Nine are located in the Mount Holly Service Area
including Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean,
Somerset, Sussex, and Warren. A Drought Watch also remains in
effect for Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Salem.

Helpful conservation tips from the state of New Jersey are
available at http://njdrought.org/ideas.html

In Pennsylvania, a Drought Watch is in effect for all counties
within our HSA. The Watch includes Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester,
Delaware, Lehigh, Monroe, Montgomery, Northampton, and
Philadelphia.

The state of Pennsylvania encourages you to view their website for
conservation recommendations. These recommendations can be found
at http://dep.pa.gov/drought

Soil Moisture Conditions (Ending 3/11):
Soil moisture, as measured by the Palmer Drought Severity Index,
ranged from -2.28 to -2.01 in Maryland, -1.86 to -0.17 in
Pennsylvania, -1.84 to -1.10 in Delaware, and -1.85 to -1.08 in
New Jersey.

What do the numbers mean?

-4.0 or less: Extreme Drought
-3.0 to -3.9: Severe Drought
-2.0 to -2.9: Moderate Drought
-1.9 to +1.9: Near Normal
+2.0 to +2.9: Unusual Moist Spell
+3.0 to +3.9: Very Moist
+4.0 and Above: Extremely Moist

Groundwater Conditions (Ending 3/16):
Regional groundwater levels varied widely and were running much
below normal to above normal.

River and Streamflow Conditions (Ending 3/16):
Regional streamflow conditions varied widely and were running much
below normal to above normal.

Delaware River Salt Line (Ending 3/8):
The salt line in the Delaware River Estuary was estimated at river
mile marker 71. The normal location for this time of year is
river mile marker 70.

Reservoirs/Water Supply (Ending 3/16):
Most reservoir pools were below normal to normal.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

During the last 30 days (Ending 3/15), mean areal precipitation
totals were mainly between 2.5 and 4.5 inches across the entire
HSA. Departures varied between below normal and above normal.

During the last 60 days (Ending 3/15), mean areal precipitation
totals were mainly between 4.0 and 7.5 inches across the entire
HSA. Departures varied between much below normal and above normal.

The following precipitation statistics (Ending 3/15) for New
Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware and Maryland are countywide
averages.

                    Month      Last         Last
                      so     90 days      180 days     Last 365 days
                     far    Total/Dep.   Total/Dep.   Total/Dep./   %


Berks           PA    2.8    8.4  -1.2   18.5  -2.7   37.6  -8.3  -17
Bucks           PA    2.3    8.8  -1.6   18.0  -4.2   37.2 -10.9  -22
Carbon          PA    3.4   10.0  -0.5   19.4  -4.3   42.5  -8.2  -15
Chester         PA    2.4    8.6  -1.6   19.0  -3.1   37.9  -9.2  -19
Delaware        PA    2.5    8.5  -1.7   18.2  -3.0   37.2  -8.5  -18
Lehigh          PA    2.9    8.8  -1.1   18.1  -3.5   39.5  -7.4  -15
Monroe          PA    3.2    9.8  -1.1   19.0  -5.4   39.7 -11.7  -22
Montgomery      PA    2.2    7.9  -2.1   17.3  -4.2   35.2 -11.6  -24
Northampton     PA    2.8    9.5  -0.3   18.4  -3.4   36.9 -10.4  -21
Philadelphia    PA    2.6    8.1  -2.2   17.3  -4.1   36.4 -10.4  -21

Burlington      NJ    2.4    9.2  -1.3   18.9  -2.5   38.7  -7.6  -15
Camden          NJ    2.9    9.5  -1.1   19.0  -2.5   40.5  -6.1  -12
Gloucester      NJ    2.6    8.8  -1.5   18.2  -2.8   37.7  -7.8  -16
Hunterdon       NJ    2.7    9.6  -0.9   17.6  -5.1   39.3  -9.8  -19
Mercer          NJ    2.1    8.6  -1.8   17.6  -4.2   38.4  -9.6  -19
Salem           NJ    2.7    8.9  -0.9   18.9  -1.1   40.7  -3.0   -6
Sussex          NJ    3.1    9.9  -0.1   18.7  -3.3   37.3 -10.4  -21
Warren          NJ    2.8    9.4  -0.6   18.1  -4.0   36.8 -11.5  -23

Atlantic        NJ    3.4   10.5  -0.1   21.3  -0.1   42.7  -1.9   -3
Cape May        NJ    3.1    9.5  -0.8   22.9   2.1   46.3   2.7    6
Cumberland      NJ    3.0    9.0  -0.9   19.5  -0.7   42.0  -1.4   -2
Middlesex       NJ    2.1    9.3  -1.0   18.8  -3.2   38.4  -9.0  -18
Monmouth        NJ    2.5   10.8   0.1   22.7   0.8   41.6  -5.1  -10
Morris          NJ    2.7    9.8  -0.9   18.9  -4.5   38.3 -12.2  -23
Ocean           NJ    2.8   10.9   0.2   21.7   0.2   42.2  -3.3   -6
Somerset        NJ    2.2    9.6  -0.7   18.0  -4.2   38.0 -10.1  -20

Kent            DE    3.1    9.1  -1.0   23.0   2.7   48.1   4.1    9
New Castle      DE    2.8    8.9  -1.0   19.7  -0.6   43.9  -0.2    0
Sussex          DE    2.7    8.6  -2.0   27.4   6.3   51.4   6.5   14

Cecil           MD    2.6    8.6  -1.5   18.7  -2.4   41.7  -3.3   -6
Caroline        MD    2.8    8.3  -1.6   23.7   3.6   48.2   4.7   11
Kent            MD    2.5    7.9  -1.9   19.1  -1.3   45.1   1.6    4
Queen Annes     MD    2.7    8.0  -1.8   19.8  -0.5   47.5   4.2   10
Talbot          MD    2.5    7.2  -2.9   19.3  -1.1   43.4  -0.6    0

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

High pressure will remain anchored just off the East Coast through
midweek. A cold front approaching from the northwest will likely
dissipate as it moves into the region late Thursday. Low pressure
organizing over the Southern Great Plains is forecast to
strengthen while it tracks northeastward across the Midwest and
Great Lakes region late in the week. Meanwhile, a warm front ahead
of this low will lift northward through the Mid Atlantic on
Friday. This system is expected to bring a strong cold front
through the area on Saturday. High pressure builds in from the
west late in the weekend before eventually moving offshore early
next week.

The 8 to 14 day outlook calls for above normal temperatures and
precipitation.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

Soil Moisture...Below normal to normal
Ground Water...Below normal to above normal
Streamflow...Much below normal to above normal
Delaware River Salt Line...Further upstream compared to normal
Reservoirs/Water Supply...Below normal to normal
30 Day Rainfall...Below normal to above normal
60 Day Rainfall...Much below normal to above normal

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

This product will be updated on March 30th.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

Additional information on current drought conditions may be found
at the following web addresses:

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu

US Drought Information System:
http://www.drought.gov

NOAA Drought Page:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought
NWS Climate Prediction Center (CPC): www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
NWS WFP Mount Holly: www.weather.gov/phi
NWS MARFC: www.weather.gov/marfc
NWS AHPS: www.weather.gov/ahps/
NIDIS Drought Page: www.drought.gov
USGS: waterwatch.usgs.gov
USACE: www.usace.army.mil
NJ DEP: njdrought.org
PA DEP:
www.dep.pa.gov/business/water/planningconservation/drought/
MD DEP: mde.maryland.gov/programs/water/droughtInformation
DE DNREC: dgs.udel.edu/projects/drought-conditions-indicators-
delaware

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...

National Weather Service:
http://water.weather.gov

US Geological Survey:
http://water.usgs.gov

US Army Corps of Engineers:
http://www.usace.army.mil

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

The Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the
National Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental
Information, the USDA, state and regional center climatologists
and the National Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this
statement has been gathered from NWS and FAA observation sites,
state cooperative extension services, the USDA, USACE and USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

If you have questions or comments about this Drought Information
Statement, please contact:

National Weather Service
732 Woodlane Rd
Mount Holly, NJ 08060
Phone...609-261-6615
wfophi.webmaster@noaa.gov

$$

Kruzdlo


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