Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID
000
FXUS65 KPIH 151934
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
134 PM MDT SAT JUN 15 2013
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER RIDGING OVER THE PAC
NW TODAY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THRU SUNDAY. SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE
IS EXPECTED TO FLOW INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ON SUNDAY...
PROVIDING FUEL FOR A FEW TSTMS OVER THE NORTHERN MTNS SUN
AFTN/EVE. THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST ON MON AS A DEEP
UPPER LOW APPROACHES THE PAC NW COAST. THE INCREASING SW FLOW
ALOFT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW WILL PUSH MUCH OF THE MID LEVEL
MOISTURE EAST OF THE DIVIDE. MAY STILL SEE ISOLD AFTN/EVE TSTMS NEAR
THE DIVIDE DUE TO A LITTLE LINGERING MOISTURE. THE NAM MODEL SHOWS
A SMALL INFLUX OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE NORTHERN MTNS TUE
MORN...SO HAVE ADDED A CHC OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THAT AREA. BY AFTN
...COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE MAINLY NEAR THE DIVIDE.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THRU DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF THE UPPER RIDGE AND THE SW FLOW. HEDGES
.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
MODELS HAVE NEXT UPPER LOW OFF THE OREGON COAST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
PUSHING EAST THROUGH THURSDAY. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AS WELL
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT COOLER CONDITIONS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
BEHIND THE FRONT. GFS KEEPS IT DRY FOR THE MOST PART WITH MOISTURE
TO THE NORTH WHILE THE EUROPEAN DOES KEEP SOME MOISTURE OVER THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. HAVE HIGHEST POPS DAYTIME WEDNESDAY BUT OTHER
THAN THAT KEPT IT CONFINED TO HIGH ELEVATIONS. COULD HAVE WINDY
CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AS WELL BEHIND THE FRONT.
GK
&&
.AVIATION...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.
GK
&&
.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$