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000
FXUS65 KPIH 160850
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
250 AM MDT THU MAY 16 2013

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
A PACIFIC TROF IS MOVING ON SHORE TODAY AND MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST IDAHO ON SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. EXPECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DAILY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO COOL DOWN DAILY AS WELL BACK CLOSER TO
SEASONAL NORMALS BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE TROF DOESNT MOVE EAST
UNTIL SATURDAY. WETTEST PERIOD APPEARS TO BE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AND HAVE HIGHEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES THOSE PERIODS. HAVE
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOONS AND EARLY EVENING
WITH JUST RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. OVERALL SHOULD BE A MOIST PERIOD
WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
GK

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY,
SECOND TROF STILL IN REGION SUNDAY AND EXPECT CONTINUED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. EXPECT SOME DRIER CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS GFS SHOWS ANOTHER UPPER LOW MOVING INTO OREGON
WEDNESDAY BUT MOST OF THE MOISTURE STAYS TO THE WEST. EUROPEAN HAS
SIMILAR SOLUTION WITH UPPER LOW AS WELL KEEPING MOST MOISTURE AS
WELL TO THE WEST. ON GRIDS KEPT SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER HIGH
ELEVATIONS AND KEPT THE SNAKE PLAIN PREDOMINATELY DRY. HAVE SUNDAY
THE COLDEST DAY WITH UPPER TROF OVERHEAD THEN WARM CONSIDERABLY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
GK

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT
AS AN UPPER TROF MOVES INTO THE PAC NW. OVERALL CONDITIONS SHOULD
REMAIN VFR. HEDGES
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PAC NW TODAY WILL
SET OFF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS
TODAY...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ALONG WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES. HEDGES
&&


.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$