Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
438 FNUS55 KPSR 031051 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 351 AM MST Fri May 3 2024 .DISCUSSION... Warm and dry weather will persist into this weekend, with light and diurnal winds expected today. Afternoon highs will be slightly above normal today and tomorrow in the low to mid 90s across the lower deserts. A dry weather system will pass to the north of the region this weekend, leading to widespread gusty winds. Winds could gust in excess of 40 mph across parts of SE California Saturday afternoon and evening. Elsewhere, afternoon breeziness can be expected, but with southwesterly gusts generally peaking around 20-25 mph. Afternoon min RHs will bottom out around 10-20% over the next few days, while overnight recoveries remain in the poor to fair category between 30-60% for most areas. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-032300- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 351 AM MST Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................86-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................59-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................36-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................87-94. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows 50-63. Highs 76-86. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 80-86. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 85-91. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 57-67. Highs 86-93. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-68. Highs 87-93. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-032300- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 351 AM MST Fri May 3 2024 /351 AM PDT Fri May 3 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-94. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........9800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................60-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-64 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................90-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 16 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Not as warm. Breezy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows 52-62. Highs 77-82. West winds 20 to 30 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 52-59. Highs 82-87. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 55-61. Highs 87-92. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 58-63. Highs 89-94. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-63. Highs 89-94. $$ AZZ133-032300- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 351 AM MST Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................74-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................47-61. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................74-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Lows 43-61. Highs 71-84. Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 43-57. Highs 69-83. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 43-59. Highs 72-86. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 45-60. Highs 73-87. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-60. Highs 74-88. $$ CAZ232-032300- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 351 AM PDT Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................85-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................60-66. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................38-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................85-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Not as warm. Windy. Mostly clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows 51-64. Highs 71-80. West winds 25 to 35 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 51-61. Highs 78-87. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 56-64. Highs 83-92. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-65. Highs 85-94. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-66. Highs 85-94. $$ CAZ230-032300- Joshua Tree National Park- 351 AM PDT Fri May 3 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................75-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................50-62. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................37-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................72-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Cooler, breezy. Mostly clear. Lows 40-61. Highs 58-76. West winds 20 to 30 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 40-58. Highs 68-81. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 47-60. Highs 73-87. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 50-61. Highs 74-88. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-61. Highs 73-87. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday May 10th through Sunday May 12th: Below normal temperatures and near median precipitation.