Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
740 AM MST MON FEB 9 2015

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-111445-
740 AM MST MON FEB 9 2015

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO...

SYNOPSIS...

JANUARY OF 2015 WAS A GENERALLY WARM AND DRY MONTH ACROSS THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO WHICH SAW WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION
FOR THE MONTH AS A WHOLE. PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO STARTED
JANUARY OUT COOL AND UNSETTLED WITH A YEAR ENDING ARCTIC
BLAST...BUT QUICKLY WARMED AND DRIED OUT AFTER THE FIRST FEW DAYS
OF THE MONTH. A FEW MINOR ARCTIC INTRUSIONS BROUGHT BRIEF COOL
DOWNS AND SOME BENEFICIAL PRECIPITATION AND SNOWFALL TO EASTERN
COLORADO THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE OF THE MONTH...ESPECIALLY THE PIKES
PEAK REGION AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...BEFORE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL AND RECORD WARMTH WAS AGAIN EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THE LATER DAYS OF THE MONTH.

WITH THAT SAID...THE CURRENT US DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWS LITTLE
CHANGE IN THE DROUGHT ACROSS THE AREA...WITH SEVERE DROUGHT (D2)
CONDITIONS REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF CROWLEY
COUNTY...EASTERN OTERO COUNTY...THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF LAS ANIMAS
COUNTY...AND ALL OF KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE DEPICTED ACROSS WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...AND THE REST OF OTERO
AND CROWLEY COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS ARE ALSO INDICATED
ACROSS SOUTHERN SAGUACHE COUNTY...EASTERN MINERAL COUNTY...RIO GRANDE
COUNTY...CONEJOS COUNTY...MOST OF ALAMOSA COUNTY AND EXTREME WESTERN
COSTILLA COUNTY.

ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE INDICATED ACROSS
EXTREME WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...MOST OF HUERFANO COUNTY...CENTRAL
PUEBLO COUNTY AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY. ABNORMALLY
DRY (D0) CONDITIONS ARE ALSO DEPICTED ACROSS MOST OF THE REST OF
SAGUACHE COUNTY...THE REST OF MINERAL COUNTY...AS WELL AS EASTERN
ALAMOSA COUNTY AND THE REST OF COSTILLA COUNTY.

DROUGHT FREE CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THIS INCLUDES THE REST OF EL PASO...PUEBLO
...HUERFANO...SAGUACHE AND MINERAL COUNTIES...AS WELL AS ALL OF
LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...TELLER AND CUSTER COUNTIES.

MORE INFORMATION ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATION SCHEME CAN
BE FOUND AT:

WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ABOUTUS/CLASSIFICATIONSCHEME.ASPX

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

FIRE DANGER RATINGS REMAIN MODERATE TO HIGH FOR AREAS WITHOUT SNOW
COVER...WITH CURED FUELS AND OCCASIONAL WINDY WEATHER ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WINTER SEASON. A FEW...GENERALLY SMALL...GRASS FIRES
HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL WEEKS.

THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FIRE BANS AND RESTRICTIONS CAN BE FOUND
AT:

WWW.COEMERGENCY.COM/P/FIRE-BANS-DANGER.HTML

AGRICULTURAL...

CPC AND VIC SOIL MOISTURE CALCULATIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE NEAR
NORMAL CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS STILL BEING INDICATED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS.

HYDROLOGIC...

THE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE MONTH
OF JANUARY TOOK ITS TOLL ON COLORADOS SNOWPACK. THE FEBRUARY 1ST
STATEWIDE SNOWPACK FELL TO 83 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...DOWN FROM
THE STATEWIDE AVERAGE OF 99 PERCENT REPORTED JUST ONE MONTH AGO.

THE FEBRUARY 1ST SNOWPACK REPORT FOR THE ARKANSAS BASIN REMAINED
ONE OF THE HIGHEST IN THE STATE...RUNNING AT 94 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
OVERALL...DOWN FROM THE 114 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL REPORTED
JUST LAST MONTH. THIS...HOWEVER...REMAINS ABOVE THE 87 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE SNOWPACK REPORTED AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

THE FEBRUARY 1ST SNOWPACK REPORT FOR THE RIO GRANDE BASIN REMAINED
THE LOWEST IN THE STATE...RUNNING AT JUST 61 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
OVERALL...WHICH IS DOWN FROM THE 71 PERCENT OF AVERAGE SNOWPACK
REPORTED JUST LAST MONTH. THIS IS ALSO DOWN FROM THE 76 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE SNOWPACK REPORTED AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

STATEWIDE RESERVOIR STORAGE LEVELS...HOWEVER...ONLY FELL SLIGHTLY
(1 PERCENTAGE POINT) OVER THE PAST MONTH...WITH STORAGE TOTALS
RUNNING AT 104 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL AT THE END OF JANUARY.

IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN...STORAGE LEVELS ON FEBRUARY 1ST ROSE SLIGHTLY
TO 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...COMPARED TO 79 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
LAST MONTH AND TO 59 PERCENT OF AVERAGE AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...STORAGE LEVELS ON FEBRUARY 1ST ROSE
SLIGHTLY TO 69 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...COMPARED TO 67 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE LAST MONTH AND TO THE 65 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL AT
THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR. HOWEVER...STORAGE LEVELS IN THE RIO GRANDE
BASIN REMAIN THE LOWEST IN THE STATE.

CURRENT LATE SPRING AND EARLY SUMMER STREAMFLOW RUNOFF FORECASTS
ACROSS THE ARKANSAS BASIN RANGE FROM 102 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FOR
THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT SALIDA...TO 62 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FOR THE
CUCHARAS RIVER NEAR LA VETA. IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...CURRENT
STREAMFLOW RUNOFF FORECASTS RANGE FROM 97 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FOR
SAGUACHE CREEK NEAR SAGUACHE...TO 49 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FOR THE
SAN ANTONIO RIVER AT ORITZ.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS
6.3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING JANUARY OF 2015 THE 13TH WARMEST
JANUARY ON RECORD IN ALAMOSA. ALAMOSA RECEIVED 0.33 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION AND 3.3 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH OUT JANUARY...WHICH
IS 0.07 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL AND 0.7 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY
WAS 2.3 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. COLORADO SPRINGS RECEIVED 0.87 INCHES
OF PRECIPITATION AND 13.5 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH OUT JANUARY...WHICH
IS 0.55 INCHES AND 7.9 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY. THIS
ALSO MAKES JANUARY OF 2015 THE 4TH WETTEST AND 4TH SNOWIEST JANUARY
ON RECORD.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS 3.0
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PUEBLO RECEIVED 0.25 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
AND 4.5 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH OUT JANUARY...WHICH IS 0.10 INCHES
AND 2.0 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

HERE ARE A FEW OTHER STATISTICS FOR SELECT SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO LOCATIONS...INDICATING OBSERVED PRECIPITATION TOTALS AND
DEPARTURE FROM NORMALS:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS AIRPORT    0.33/+0.07  0.88/-0.15  2.52/-1.37   5.80/-1.51
COS AIRPORT    0.87/+0.55  1.29/+0.23  7.20/+0.79  17.24/+0.70
PUB AIRPORT    0.25/-0.10  0.95/-0.25  3.74/-1.27  11.63/-0.94

EADS           0.17/-0.17  1.53/+0.35  6.63/+0.65  19.54/+3.86
LAMAR          0.32/+0.02  1.07/-0.01  6.91/+1.50  16.31/+1.11
WALSH 1W       1.30/+0.82  3.30/+1.67  8.65/+0.98  17.08/-2.08
CAMPO 7S       0.79/+0.44  1.69/+0.43  8.23/+1.23  14.61/-2.35
ORDWAY 21N     0.24/-0.02  0.32/-0.56  3.13/-1.73   7.79/-4.76
LAS ANIMAS     0.35/-0.03  0.64/-0.53  3.18/-1.92  10.90/-2.83
KIM 15NNE      0.70/+0.16  2.65/+0.73 10.78/+3.99  20.07/+3.23
FLORISSANT     0.49/+0.01  1.21/-0.42  6.12/-1.15  16.81/-0.07
CANON CITY     0.69/+0.20  1.48/-0.20  4.13/-1.71  11.39/-2.08
RYE 1SW        1.33/-0.02  3.70/-0.12  9.62/-0.34  28.66/+3.55
WESTCLIFFE     0.38/-0.24  1.19/-1.00  4.90/-1.47  15.91/+1.36
WALSENBURG 1NW 0.54/-0.30  2.51/-0.65  7.63/-0.63  19.41/+1.41
TRINIDAD       0.50/-0.02  1.82/-0.09  5.67/-1.51  14.33/-1.98
CRESTONE 2SE   0.77/+0.18  2.85/+1.07  7.42/+1.13  14.85/+1.59
DEL NORTE 2E   0.44/_0.05  1.07/-0.44  3.86/-1.54   7.37/-3.19
BUENA VISTA 2S 0.66/+0.36  1.74/+0.64  5.94/+0.97   9.31/-1.28
CLIMAX         1.01/-0.90  8.25/+2.39 14.95/+3.16  29.86/+5.88

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS (CPC) OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS INDICATE BETTER
CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT NOD TO ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE OUTLOOK FOR REST OF FEBRUARY...MARCH AND
APRIL INCLUDE A SLIGHT TILT TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO.

THE CPC SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH APRIL 30TH...INDICATES
SOME PROBABLE IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY THURSDAY MARCH 12TH 2015...OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO PRECIPITATION AND DROUGHT
MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUB/?N=NEW_LOCAL_DROUGHT_PAGE.PHP

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING
NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER
CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
3 EATON WAY
PUEBLO CO 81007
PHONE: 719-948-9429
W-PUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$


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