Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1145 PM MST FRI DEC 9 2016

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-120645-
1145 PM MST FRI DEC 9 2016

...A VERY WARM AND DRY FALL SEASON HELPED DEVELOP MODERATE TO
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...

SYNOPSIS...

THE FALL OF 2016 (SEPTEMBER...OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER) WAS VERY WARM
AND DRY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING DOMINATED THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH OUT MUCH OF
THE SEASON. GENERALLY MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND WELL
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION WAS RECORDED ACROSS THE REGION...WITH
THE FALL SEASON ENDING UP AS THE WARMEST AND DRIEST ON RECORD IN
COLORADO SPRINGS...THE WARMEST FALL SEASON ON RECORD IN
PUEBLO...AND THE 4TH WARMEST AND 8TH DRIEST ON RECORD IN ALAMOSA.

WITH THAT SAID...ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO HAS SEEN
RAPID DETERIORATION INTO DROUGHT OVER THE PAST FEW MONTHS...WITH THE
LATEST US DROUGHT MONITOR...ISSUED THURSDAY DECEMBER 8TH...INDICATING
SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF KIOWA
COUNTY.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS ARE INDICATED ACROSS TELLER AND
EL PASO COUNTIES...EASTERN FREMONT AND CUSTER COUNTIES...PUEBLO
COUNTY...HUERFANO COUNTY AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY. MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE ALSO DEPICTED
ACROSS CROWLEY AND OTERO COUNTIES...THE REST OF KIOWA COUNTY...MOST
OF BENT AND PROWERS COUNTIES AND EASTERN BACA COUNTY.

ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS ARE DEPICTED ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...NAMELY...LAKE...CHAFFEE...SAGUACHE
...MINERAL...RIO GRANDE...CONEJOS...ALAMOSA AND COSTILLA COUNTIES...AS
WELL AS THE REST OF FREMONT...CUSTER...LAS ANIMAS...BENT...PROWERS AND
BACA COUNTIES.

MORE INFORMATION ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATION SCHEME
CAN BE FOUND AT:

WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ABOUTUS/CLASSIFICATIONSCHEME.ASPX

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

THE WARM AND DRY WEATHER OVER THE LAST FEW MONTHS HELPED TO DRY
AND CURE FUELS ACROSS THE REGION...WITH 2 LARGE WILDFIRES AND
SEVERAL SMALLER BURNS STARTED OVER THE PAST FEW MONTHS. HIGH FIRE
DANGER WILL LIKELY PERSIST ACROSS AREAS THAT ARE NOT COVERED BY
SNOW THROUGH OUT THE WINTER MONTHS.

THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FIRE BANS AND RESTRICTIONS CAN BE FOUND
AT: WWW.COEMERGENCY.COM/P/FIRE-BANS-DANGER.HTML

AGRICULTURAL...

THE VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST FEW MONTHS HAVE
ALSO HELP TO DETERIORATE SOIL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH
THE VIC SOIL MOISTURE MODEL INDICATING THE WORST SOIL MOISTURE
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

HYDROLOGIC...

THE WARM AND DRY FALL ALSO CAUSED A VERY SLOW START TO THE WATER
YEAR SNOWFALL...WITH THE DECEMBER 1ST STATE WIDE PRECIPIATION COMING
IN AT 77 PERCENT OF AVERAGE...AS COMPARED TO 113 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR. DECEMBER 1ST SNOWPACK SHOWED
A SIMILAR TREND...COMING IN AT 63 PERCENT OF MEDIAN...AS COMPARED
TO 107 PERCENT OF MEDIAN LAST YEAR.

RESERVOIR STORAGE ACROSS THE STATE AT THE END OF NOVEMBER WAS 104
PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...COMPARED TO THE 110 PRECENT OF
AVERAGE STORAGE AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN...DECEMBER 1ST STORAGE WAS AT 108 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE OVERALL...AS COMPARED TO THE 138 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
STORAGE AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME LAST YEAR.

IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...DECEMBER 1ST STORAGE WAS AT 85 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE OVERALL...AS COMPARED TO 86 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORAGE AVAILABLE
AT THIS TIME LAST YEAR.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER
WAS 3.9 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING NOVEMBER OF 2016 TIED AS THE
11TH WARMEST ON RECORD. ALAMOSA RECORDED 0.44 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
AND 1 INCH OF SNOW THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER...WHICH IS IS
0.02 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL AND 2.7 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

FOR THE FALL SEASON (SEPTEMBER...OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER) AS A WHOLE...THE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA WAS 3.4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING THE
FALL OF 2016 THE 4TH WARMEST SUMMER ON RECORD. ALAMOSA RECORDED 0.74 INCHES
OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH OUT THE FALL. THIS IS 1.27 INCHES BELOW NORMAL AND
MAKES THE FALL OF 2016 THE 8TH DRIEST ON RECORD IN ALAMOSA.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER
WAS 6.6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING IT THE 4TH WARMEST NOVEMBER ON RECORD.
COLORADO SPRINGS RECORDED 0.07 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION AND A TRACE OF SNOW
THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER...WHICH IS 0.33 INCHES AND 4.7 INCHES
BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

FOR THE FALL SEASON (SEPTEMBER...OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER) AS A WHOLE...THE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS WAS 6.5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING
THE FALL OF 2016 THE WARMEST FALL ON RECORD. COLORADO SPRINGS RECORDED 0.23
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH OUT THE FALL. THIS IS 2.18 INCHES BELOW
NORMAL AND MAKES THE FALL OF 2016 THE DRIEST FALL ON RECORD IN
COLORADO SPRINGS.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER WAS 6.5
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING NOVEMBER OF 2016 TIED AS THE 4TH
WARMEST ON RECORD. PUEBLO RECORDED 0.78 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER...WHICH IS 0.31 INCHES ABOVE
NORMAL.

FOR THE FALL SEASON (SEPTEMBER...OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER) AS A WHOLE...THE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO WAS 6.4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING THE
FALL OF 2016 THE WARMEST FALL ON RECORD. PUEBLO RECORDED 0.83 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION THROUGH OUT THE FALL...WHICH IS 1.13 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

HERE ARE A FEW OTHER STATISTICS FOR SELECT SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO LOCATIONS...INDICATING OBSERVED PRECIPITATION
TOTALS AND DEPARTURE FROM NORMALS:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS AIRPORT    0.44/+0.02  0.74/-1.27  4.40/-1.02   8.34/+1.03
COS AIRPORT    0.07/-0.33  2.59/-2.76  6.74/-4.35  13.92/-2.62
PUB AIRPORT    0.78/+0.31  0.63/-1.13  3.98/-3.72  11.55/-1.02

EADS           0.24/-0.22  1.21/-1.48  7.35/-2.53  14.28/-1.40
LAMAR          0.24/-0.14  1.48/-0.95 11.48/+1.53  17.14/+1.94
CAMPO 7S       0.48/+0.04  2.51/-0.69 12.84/+1.51  17.28/+0.32
WALSH 1W       0.37/-0.22  0.55/-3.07 11.19/-1.58  18.89/-0.21
KIM 15NNE      0.68/-0.07  1.23/-1.93  8.47/-1.86  14.38/-2.46
FLORISSANT FB  0.44/-0.20  0.87/-2.03  7.89/-3.14  15.01/-1.87
CANON CITY       T /-0.57  0.67/-1.91  6.08/-1.82  11.81/-1.66
RYE 1SW        0.28/-0.92  1.15/-3.31  8.45/-5.22  20.83/-4.28
WESTCLIFFE       T /-0.99  0.12/-2.74  5.06/-3.55  11.17/-3.38
WALSENBURG 1NW 0.14/-1.06  0.54/-2.78  5.67/-3.54  12.51/-5.53
TRINIDAD       0.16/-0.66  1.48/-1.93  7.41/-3.07  14.33/-1.98
CRESTONE 2SE   0.88/+0.22  2.07/-0.90  6.80/-1.65  13.15/-0.11
DEL NORTE 2E   0.48/-0.09  1.11/-1.47  4.62/-2.15   9.36/-1.20
BUENA VISTA 2S 0.07/-0.33  0.82/-1.44  4.52/-2.19   9.16/-1.43
CLIMAX         1.46/-0.51  2.92/-2.47  9.17/-2.48  22.98/-1.00

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEKS INDICATES BETTER CHANCES
OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE
OUTLOOK FOR THE REST OF SEPTEMBER...OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER INDICATE A
BETTER CHANCE FOR WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL CHANCES
OF ABOVE...BELOW AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY FRIDAY JANUARY 13TH 2017...OR
SOONER IF NECESSARY...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO PRECIPITATION AND DROUGHT
MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUB/?N=NEW_LOCAL_DROUGHT_PAGE.PHP

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...NOAAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND
NATIONAL CENTER FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION...THE USDA AND STATE
AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT
HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
3 EATON WAY
PUEBLO CO 81007
PHONE: 719-948-9429
W-PUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

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