Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4

000
AXUS75 KPUB 121615
DGTPUB

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1015 AM MDT THU MAR 12 2015

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-141615-
1015 AM MDT THU MAR 12 2015

...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
COLORADO...

SYNOPSIS...

FEBRUARY OF 2015 WAS A TALE OF TWO SEASONS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THE FIRST HALF OF THE MONTH WAS VERY WARM
WITH AVERAGE TEMPERATURES RUNNING 10 DEGREES OR MORE ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH THE FIRST 20 DAYS OF THE MONTH. THE FIRST HALF OF THE MONTH
ALSO SAW MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH TWO WEATHER
SYSTEMS BRINGING SOME SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG WITH RAIN
AND SNOW TO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS BETWEEN FEBRUARY 9TH AND 16TH. A
COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPED AROUND FEBRUARY 20TH
AND PERSISTED THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH...BRINGING ABUNDANT
AND MUCH NEEDED PRECIPITATION TO THE STATE...ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

DESPITE ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
COLORADO OVER THE PAST SEVERAL MONTHS...MORE PRECIPITATION WILL
BE NEEDED TO OVERCOME THE DEFICITS EXPERIENCED THROUGHOUT THE PAST
SEVERAL YEARS OF EXTREME TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT.

WITH THAT SAID...THE CURRENT US DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE
IN THE DROUGHT ACROSS THE AREA...WITH SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS
REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF CROWLEY COUNTY...EASTERN
OTERO COUNTY...THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...AND ALL OF
KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE DEPICTED ACROSS WESTERN
PORTIONS OF LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...EASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...AND THE REST
OF OTERO AND CROWLEY COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS ARE
ALSO INDICATED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHWESTERN SAGUACHE
COUNTY...MINERAL COUNTY...RIO GRANDE COUNTY...CONEJOS COUNTY...MOST
OF ALAMOSA COUNTY AND EXTREME WESTERN COSTILLA COUNTY.

ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE INDICATED ACROSS EXTREME
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...MOST OF HUERFANO COUNTY...CENTRAL PUEBLO
COUNTY...MOST OF THE REST OF SAGUACHE COUNTY...AND THE REST OF ALAMOSA
AND COSTILLA COUNTIES.

DROUGHT FREE CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THIS INCLUDES THE REST OF PUEBLO...HUERFANO AND
SAGUACHE COUNTIES...AS WELL AS ALL OF LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...TELLER
EL PASO AND CUSTER COUNTIES.

MORE INFORMATION ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATION SCHEME CAN
BE FOUND AT:

WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ABOUTUS/CLASSIFICATIONSCHEME.ASPX

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

A COOL AND WET END TO FEBRUARY HAS HELPED TO QUASH THE FIRE DANGER
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. HOWEVER...WITH WARM
AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK...FIRE DANGER COULD BE
ON THE INCREASE AGAIN...AS CURED FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY OUT.

THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FIRE BANS AND RESTRICTIONS CAN BE FOUND
AT:

WWW.COEMERGENCY.COM/P/FIRE-BANS-DANGER.HTML

AGRICULTURAL...

CPC AND VIC SOIL MOISTURE CALCULATIONS INDICATE NEAR NORMAL CONDITIONS
ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...WITH SOME
IMPROVEMENTS NOTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND THE
FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS OVER THE PAST MONTH.

HYDROLOGIC...

TWO WEEKS OF WET WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF FEBRUARY AND THE
BEGINNING OF MARCH PROVIDED A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN SNOWPACK
STATEWIDE...WHICH HAD BEEN REELING AFTER A VERY WARM FIRST HALF
OF THE MONTH ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE SUBSTANTIAL ACCUMULATIONS
OVER THE LAST NINE DAY OF THE MONTH...181 PERCENT OF NORMAL
PRECIPITATION...STATEWIDE SNOWPACK FAILED TO GET BACK TO NORMAL
LEVELS COMING IN AT ONLY 87 PERCENT OF NORMAL OVERALL ON MARCH
1ST. THIS IS A SLIGHT INCREASE FROM THE 83 PERCENT OF NORMAL
SNOWPACK REPORTED LAST MONTH...BUT IS ONLY 75 PERCENT OF THE
STATEWIDE SNOWPACK REPORTED AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...WHICH RECEIVED 300 PERCENT OF NORMAL
SNOWFALL OVER THE LAST NINE DAYS OF FEBRUARY...SAW THE GREATEST
IMPROVEMENTS IN SNOWPACK ACROSS THE STATE COMING IN AT 74 PERCENT
OF NORMAL ON MARCH 1ST. THIS IS UP FROM THE 61 PERCENT OF NORMAL
SNOWPACK REPORTED LAST MONTH AND IS AROUND 95 PERCENT OF SNOWPACK
REPORTED AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

THE MARCH 1ST SNOWPACK REPORT FOR THE ARKANSAS BASIN REMAINED ONE
OF THE HIGHEST IN THE STATE...RUNNING AT 101 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
OVERALL...UP FROM THE 91 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL REPORTED LAST
MONTH. THIS...HOWEVER...IS ONLY 91 PERCENT OF THE SNOWPACK REPORTED
AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR. ON A POSITIVE NOTE...SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE BASIN SAW MARKED IMPROVEMENT IN SNOWPACK OVER THE PAST MONTH.

STATEWIDE RESERVOIR STORAGE LEVELS AT THE END OF FEBRUARY CAME IN
AT 105 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...WHICH IS AROUND 90 PERCENT OF
THE STORAGE AVAILABLE AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...STORAGE LEVELS ON MARCH 1ST ROSE SLIGHTLY
TO 72 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...COMPARED TO 69 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
REPORTED LAST MONTH AND TO THE 68 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL AT
THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR. HOWEVER...STORAGE LEVELS IN THE RIO GRANDE
BASIN CONTINUE TO BE THE LOWEST IN THE STATE.

IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN...STORAGE LEVELS ON MARCH 1ST REMAINED AROUND
THE 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL REPORTED LAST MONTH...AND
REMAINS ABOVE THE 60 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORAGE LEVELS REPORTED AT
THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

THE STORMY END OF FEBRUARY ALLOWED FOR SOME IMPROVEMENTS IN LATE
SPRING AND EARLY SUMMER STREAMFLOW RUNOFF FORECASTS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. THE CURRENT FORECASTS IN
THE RIO GRANDE BASIN RANGE FROM AROUND 105 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FOR
UTE CREEK NEAR FORT GARLAND AND FOR SAGUACHE CREEK NEAR
SAGUACHE...TO 58 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR THE SAN ANTONIO
RIVER AT ORITZ. IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN...LATEST STREAM FLOW
FORECASTS RANGE FROM 98 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR THE
ARKANSAS RIVER AT SALIDA...TO AROUND 85 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL
FOR THE CUCHARAS RIVER NEAR LA VETA AND THE PURGATOIRE RIVER NEAR
TRINIDAD.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA THROUGHOUT THE PAST MONTH OF
FEBRUARY WAS 5.2 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MAKING FEBRUARY OF 2015
THE 16TH WARMEST FEBRUARY ON RECORD IN ALAMOSA. ALAMOSA RECEIVED
1.01 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION AND 15.9 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT
FEBRUARY...WHICH IS 0.75 INCHES AND 12.1 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL
RESPECTIVELY...AND MAKES FEBRUARY OF 2015 THE 3RD WETTEST AND 2ND
SNOWIEST FEBRUARY ON RECORD IN ALAMOSA. OF NOTE...NEARLY ALL (87
PERCENT) OF THE MONTHLY PRECIPITATION AND SNOWFALL WAS RECORDED
WITHIN THE LAST 7 DAYS OF THE MONTH.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS THROUGHOUT THE PAST MONTH
OF FEBRUARY WAS 1.4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. COLORADO SPRINGS RECEIVED
1.45 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION AND 16.6 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT
FEBRUARY. THIS IS 1.11 INCHES AND 11.7 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL
RESPECTIVELY...AND MAKES FEBRUARY OF 2015 THE 4TH WETTEST AND 5TH
SNOWIEST FEBRUARY ON RECORD IN COLORADO SPRINGS. OF NOTE...JUST
OVER HALF (56 PERCENT) OF THE MONTHLY PRECIPITATION AND 75 PERCENT
OF THE SNOWFALL WAS RECORDED WITHIN THE LAST 8 DAYS OF THE MONTH.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO THROUGHOUT THE PAST MONTH OF
FEBRUARY WAS 1.4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PUEBLO RECEIVED 1.13 INCHES
OF PRECIPITATION AND 23.5 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT FEBRUARY. THIS
IS 0.83 INCHES AND 19.7 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL RESPECTIVELY...AND
MAKES FEBRUARY OF 2015 THE 7TH WETTEST AND THE SNOWIEST FEBRUARY
ON RECORD IN PUEBLO. OF NOTE...WELL OVER HALF (68 PERCENT) OF THE
MONTHLY PRECIPITATION AND NEARLY ALL (87 PERCENT) OF THE MONTHLY
SNOWFALL WAS RECORDED WITHIN THE LAST 8 DAYS OF THE MONTH.

HERE ARE A FEW OTHER STATISTICS FOR SELECT SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO LOCATIONS...INDICATING OBSERVED PRECIPITATION TOTALS AND
DEPARTURE FROM NORMALS:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS AIRPORT    1.01/+0.75  1.55/+0.68  3.00/+0.12   6.76/-0.55
COS AIRPORT    1.45/+1.11  2.48/+1.48  6.31/+2.90  18.47/+1.93
PUB AIRPORT    1.13/+0.83  1.62/+0.59  3.61/+0.62  12.48/-0.09

EADS           0.88/+0.43  2.20/+1.03  5.44/+1.58  19.84/+4.16
LAMAR          1.37/+1.00  2.12/+1.05  4.29/+0.79  16.91/+1.71
WALSH 1W       1.10/+0.65  3.89/+2.40  7.77/+2.66  17.84/-1.32
CAMPO 7S       0.91/+0.53  2.45/+1.25  7.24/+2.84  15.40/-1.56
ORDWAY 21N     0.34/+0.05  0.64/-0.16  1.93/-0.93   7.81/-4.74
LAS ANIMAS     0.97/+0.56  1.50/+0.34  3.32/-0.50  11.43/-2.30
KIM 15NNE      1.21/+0.72  3.34/+1.68  8.73/+3.91  20.65/+3.81
FLORISSANT     0.81/+0.34  1.85/+0.39  4.72/+0.36  17.39/+0.51
CANON CITY     2.12/+1.66  3.25/+1.76  5.05/+0.98  13.07/-0.40
RYE 1SW        3.93/+2.80  6.25/+2.50 11.49/+3.28  31.90/+6.79
WESTCLIFFE     1.05/+0.48  1.90/+0.13  4.39/-0.24  16.63/+2.08
WALSENBURG 1NW 3.16/+2.25  4.65/+1.78  7.55/+1.36  22.15/+4.11
TRINIDAD       1.60/+1.02  2.94/+1.27  6.30/+1.22  15.61/-0.70
CRESTONE 2SE   1.15/+0.72  3.41/+1.86  5.99/+1.47  15.61/+2.35
DEL NORTE 2E   1.29/+0.93  1.98/+0.68  3.73/-0.15   8.31/-2.25
BUENA VISTA 2S 0.77/+0.36  2.01/+0.90  5.08/+1.71   9.76/-0.83
CLIMAX         2.17/+0.39  6.10/+0.39 14.80/+3.74  28.86/+4.88

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS (CPC) OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS INDICATE BETTER
CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT NOD TO ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE OUTLOOK FOR REST OF MARCH...APRIL AND
MAY INDICATE EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT TILT TO ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

THE CPC SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH MAY 31ST...INDICATES
PROBABLE IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY THURSDAY APRIL 9TH 2015...OR
SOONER IF NECESSARY...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO PRECIPITATION AND DROUGHT
MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUB/?N=NEW_LOCAL_DROUGHT_PAGE.PHP

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING
NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER
CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
3 EATON WAY
PUEBLO CO 81007
PHONE: 719-948-9429
W-PUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.