Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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Spot Forecast for Laughlin RX...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
314 PM MDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

An overall wet and cool pattern is expected into the start of the
weekend, as an upper level system moving overhead provides
periods of rain and snow to the area. This will begin this
afternoon, with coverage of showers increasing this evening into
the overnight hours. Will likely see a diminishing trend by Friday
morning, though scattered showers return in the afternoon.
Through this period, snow water equivalent amounts will range from
one half inch to one inch, with snowfall ranging from 1 to 5
inches with the higher amounts expected at the higher elevations.

For Saturday into early next week, scattered to numerous showers
are anticipated over the entire district. Temperatures will remain
cooler than normal through this period.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Snow showers likely.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
LAL.................4 until 2100, then 2.
Min temperature.....28F.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms until
                    2100Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 2100.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........96  98  97  98  97  97  96  98  98  98  98  97
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RS  RS  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............38  37  36  35  34  33  32  32  31  30  30  30
RH..............73  79  79  85  85  85  88  88  92  96  96  96
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  12  12  12  13  13  13  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  18  18  18  18  18  18  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.18  16  13  13  13  14  14  15  15  14  15  14
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100028  19  11  14  7   7   11  11  8   9   8   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy until 1400, then mostly cloudy. Snow
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200, then chance of rain
                    showers, thunderstorms and snow showers.
LAL.................1 until 0900, then 2 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....44F.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 0900
                    until 1200Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........98  99  98  91  91  92  86  79  63  79  72  81
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  RS  RS  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............29  28  30  33  35  37  38  41  42  42  44  43
RH..............100 100 100 89  82  79  73  67  65  67  60  62
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  14  14  14  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  10  10  12  12  13  12  12  12  10
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10006   7   8   12  12  17  20  26  23  23  21  16

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers,
                    thunderstorms and snow showers until 2400, then
                    slight chance of rain showers, thunderstorms
                    and snow showers.
LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 2400, then 2.
Min temperature.....30F.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph until 2100, then
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms until 2100Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 2100.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph until 2200. Southeast around
                    5 mph after 2400.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  73  72  71  75  78  81  79  77  75  75  75
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............43  42  39  37  36  35  35  34  34  33  31  30
RH..............65  67  76  82  82  85  82  85  85  89  96  100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
Transp wind spd.12  9   8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100017  8   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers, snow
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....50F.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........light until 0900, then south around 10 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 0900.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph until 1200, then around 10
                    mph until 1400, then south around 9 mph until
                    1700, then southwest around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  75  75  75  77  80  82  82  82  82  82  82
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RS  RS  RS  RS  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............1   1   1   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............30  32  36  39  42  44  46  47  48  49  50  50
RH..............100 96  85  79  70  65  60  58  54  52  50  48
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   13  13  13  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   SE  E   NE  E   SE  SE  S   SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  12
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10003   4   6   7   11  19  25  26  27  27  24  23

$$
Forecaster...Rodriguez
Requested by...Joshua Jordan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413637.0/PUB
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0