Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000 FNUS72 KRAH 271305 FWSRAH SPOT FORECAST FOR WEWO 4D...NC STATE PARKS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 905 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CAROLINAS TODAY AND WILL BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE AREA THROUGH LATE IN THE WORK WEEK, BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH THE PERIOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............79 79 72 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................78 81 81 RH..................74 67 67 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 S 2 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........2000 2900 3400 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7 W 7 SW 6 LVORI...............3 3 3 ADI.................17 21 21 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............72 77 75 75 72 66 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................80 76 74 72 72 71 RH..................69 79 82 84 84 87 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 2 S 1 S 1 S 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........3400 300 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 3 S 2 S 3 SW 5 LVORI...............3 5 5 5 6 6 ADI.................12 2 2 1 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............67 76 70 68 68 70 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................70 70 75 78 80 80 RH..................90 90 79 74 69 67 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 S 2 SW 3 SW 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........300 300 1300 2400 3500 4000 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 3 S 6 SW 8 SW 13 SW 16 SW 15 LVORI...............7 5 5 3 1 1 ADI.................2 5 5 26 42 42 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...THOMAS CRATE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20160927.WEWO4.01/RAH

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