Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000 FNUS72 KRAH 221128 FWSRAH Spot Forecast for Party for the Pines Rx Burn...NC State Parks National Weather Service Raleigh NC 728 AM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Warm, with a breezy southwest wind today, and an isolated thunderstorm or two after 1 pm. A cold front will settle south through VA this morning and into central NC this afternoon through tonight. The front will stall over southeastern NC by Sunday, in advance of a slow-moving area of low pressure that will track along the coast of the Carolinas through Mon night. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 87. Min humidity........37 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Mixing height.......Between 500 ft and 1000 ft AGL at ignition time... increasing to between 1500 ft and 2000 ft by noon... then peaking around 7000 ft AGL by 4 pm. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph...increasing to 21 to 25 mph late in the morning. LVORI...............3. ADI.................6...increasing to 26 early in the morning...then increasing to 62 late in the morning...increasing to 84 early in the afternoon...decreasing to 59. Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches. Visibility..........6. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........31 32 25 34 44 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 20 Temp............67 75 80 84 86 RH..............78 62 51 41 37 20 ft wind......SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 20 ft wind gust.20 20 15 20 20 Mix hgt (ft)....300 2200 4200 6200 7200 Transport wind..SW 14 SW 18 SW 22 SW 23 SW 25 LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 ADI.............26 26 62 84 84 Visibility (sm).7 7 7 6 6 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent)...then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely after midnight. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....Around 57. Max humidity........86 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 9 mph...becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph in the late evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL...decreasing to 500-1800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph...becoming south around 8 mph late in the evening...then becoming northeast in the late evening and early morning...increasing to 13 to 14 mph after midnight. LVORI...............3. ADI.................59...decreasing to 9 early in the evening. Pcpn amount.........0.07 inches. Visibility..........6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........42 36 54 64 72 80 Weather cov.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 30 50 50 50 Temp............85 79 74 66 61 59 RH..............37 44 53 70 81 83 20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 6 E 5 NE 6 NE 7 NE 7 20 ft wind gust.15 10 10 10 15 15 Mix hgt (ft)....4200 500 500 500 700 700 Transport wind..SW 21 SW 12 E 5 NE 6 NE 13 NE 14 LVORI...........1 2 2 3 4 4 ADI.............59 4 4 4 12 12 Visibility (sm).6 6 6 6 6 6 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........75 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......600-2200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 18 mph. LVORI...............4. ADI.................15...increasing to 38. Pcpn amount.........0.28 inches. Visibility..........6...decreasing to 3 early in the morning. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........94 100 100 100 100 100 Weather cov.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).60 80 80 80 80 80 Temp............58 57 62 64 66 66 RH..............86 93 81 78 75 75 20 ft wind......NE 7 NE 8 NE 8 NE 8 NE 9 NE 9 20 ft wind gust.15 15 15 15 15 15 Mix hgt (ft)....600 700 1000 1400 1900 2200 Transport wind..NE 14 NE 15 NE 16 NE 16 E 17 NE 18 LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3 ADI.............13 17 17 26 35 35 Visibility (sm).6 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...STRICKLER Requested by...Thomas Crate Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1707463.0/RAH .EMAIL Thomas.crate@ncparks.gov

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