National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 160833
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
333 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

.SHORT TERM (SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT)...

WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER THE BIG COUNTRY. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND FAR WEST
TEXAS TODAY. ALTHOUGH WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...THE
LOWER HEIGHTS SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES IN CHECK SOMEWHAT...WITH
HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 90S SOUTH...TO THE UPPER 90S ACROSS
THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THIS WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
THESE MAY DRIFT EAST SOUTHEAST INTO PARTS OF THE BIG COUNTRY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND I CONTINUED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
POPS ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND
HEATING MAY LEAD TO AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHWEST
HILL COUNTRY AND HEARTLAND TODAY...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN LOW
ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A MENTION IN THE GRIDS AT THIS TIME. LOW
TEMPERATURES MONDAY MORNING WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL
NORMALS...IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE LONGER TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST...WITH
THE MODELS REMAINING FAIRLY CONSISTENT. IN SHORT...THIS MEANS AN
INCREASING CHANCE OF RAIN FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY.

WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW AIDS A COLD FRONT IS SLIDING SOUTH INTO THE
BIG COUNTRYBYMONDAY AFTERNOON...THEN STALLING AND DISSIPATING NEAR
THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. CONVECTION
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY MAY GIVE IT A LITTLE BETTER PUSH
AND ALLOW THE FRONT A LITTLE MORE SOUTHERLY PROGRES...BUT BULK OF
CONVECTION LOOKS TO REMAIN ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY. HAVE BOOSTED
POPS JUST A TAD.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO TAKE OVER BY MID WEEK...WITH THE
RIDGE WELL INTRENCHED BY THE END OF THE WEEK. HOT AN DRY
CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE  94  73  96  74  90 /  10  10  20  30  30
SAN ANGELO  94  72  95  73  95 /  10  10  10  20  20
JUNCTION  92  73  92  71  93 /  10   5   5  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

CRD/07

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