Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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AXUS74 KSJT 101707 CCA
DGTSJT

TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-327-353-399-41
1-413-417-431-435-441-447-451-102315-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 10 2015

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

DROUGHT CONDITIONS CHANGED VERY LITTLE IN JANUARY ACCORDING TO
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR. EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE SHOWN
ACROSS MAINLY WESTERN SHACKELFORD AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES.
IMPACTS OF EXTREME DROUGHT INCLUDE MAJOR CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES
AND WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES OR RESTRICTIONS. MODERATE TO SEVERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BIG COUNTRY.
IMPACTS FROM SEVERE DROUGHT INCLUDE: 1) CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES
LIKELY...2) WATER SHORTAGES COMMON...AND 3) WATER RESTRICTIONS
IMPOSED. THE REMAINING WEST CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES ARE
EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS...WITH
CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES AND WATER SHORTAGES.


HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

DROUGHT OUTLOOK - FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS

AS OF FEBRUARY 10TH, THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HAVE A BURN BAN IN
EFFECT...COKE...COLEMAN...CROCKETT...NOLAN...AND SHACKELFORD.

THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX IS USED BY THE TEXAS FOREST
SERVICE TO GAUGE CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER TO THE POTENTIAL OR
EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR. IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX CALCULATED ON A
DAILY BASIS...RANGING FROM 0 TO 800. A VALUE OF 800 INDICATES A
COMPLETELY DRY SOIL...WHILE A 0 REPRESENTS A COMPLETELY SATURATED
SOIL. CURRENTLY...MOST OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS IS AVERAGING BETWEEN 0
AND 200 ON THE KBDI...REFLECTING GOOD SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
CROCKETT..MENARD...MCCULLOCH...NOLAN...TAYLOR AND SAN SABA COUNTIES
ARE ALL AVERAGING BETWEEN 200 AND 300...WHILE SONORA...KIMBLE...AND
MASON ARE AVERAGING BETWEEN 300 AND 400. ERC VALUES RANGE FROM
30-40 CURRENTLY...SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE FOR FEBRUARY. NOTE THAT
FIRE DANGER CAN CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY. IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...THE TEXAS FOREST
SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF 20 FOOT
WINDS ABOVE 20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT.
WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE EXCEEDED...EXPECT THE FIRE DANGER TO BE
ELEVATE

HTTP://TICC.TAMU.EDU/PREDICTIVESERVICES/DROUGHT.HTM

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

THE REGION HAD MILD DAYS WITH ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EARLY IN
THE WEEK...BUT TURNING COLDER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK WITH GOOD
RAINS AND SOME SNOW. ALL AREAS CONTINUED TO NEED MORE RAIN TO FILL
VERY LOW STOCK TANKS. FARMERS WERE GENERALLY UNABLE TO WORK FIELDS
BECAUSE OF WET CONDITIONS. COTTON HARVESTING WAS NEARLY
COMPLETED...WITH JUST A FEW FIELDS LEFT TO BE HARVESTED. WINTER
WHEAT WAS IN GOOD CONDITION. RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN STABLE
CONDITION FOR THE WINTER. LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN FAIR TO GOOD
CONDITION WITH SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING ONGOING. YEARLING CATTLE WERE
DOING VERY WELL WITH LITTLE REPORTED SICKNESS. THE PECAN HARVEST
WAS MOSTLY COMPLETED.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

COOL AND WET WET CONDITIONS WERE EXPERIENCED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS IN JANUARY. TEMPERATURES WERE BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE
AREA. MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVED 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY
RECEIVED LESS THAN HALF AN INCH OF RAINFALL. THE OVERALL TREND
WAS ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

AS OF FEBRUARY 10...

                      YTD     YTD NORMAL
                   PRECIP         PRECIP    PERCENT OF
STATION           (INCHES)       (INCHES)       NORMAL
------------------------------------------------------
ABILENE              2.03           1.30            156
SAN ANGELO           1.77           1.41            126
JUNCTION             1.41           1.38            102

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...CPC... INDICATES THAT THERE IS AN
APPROXIMATELY 50-60 PERCENT CHANCE OF EL NIO WITHIN THE LATE
NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING...WITH ENSO-NEUTRAL
SLIGHTLY FAVORED THEREAFTER.

THE CPC RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD FEBRUARY THROUGH MARCH
PREDICTS BETTER CHANCES FOR NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

THE CPC TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY THROUGH MARCH INDICATES
BETTER CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS

THE LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FROM CPC INDICATES NO
CHANGE IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF APRIL ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS.

HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...
THE USGS WATERWATCH INDICATES THAT CURRENT STREAMFLOWS ARE NEAR
TO BELOW NORMAL ACROSS MOST WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF FEBRUARY 10...


/                    CURRENT   CONSERVATION     CURRENT             %
/                  ELEVATION       CAPACITY    CAPACITY  CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR               (FT)        (AC-FT)     (AC-FT)      CAPACITY

ABILENE              1988.24           7900         268            3
BROWNWOOD            1412.15         128839       69692           49
COLEMAN              1698.17          38075       11963           31
E.V. SPENCE          1824.39         517272       10760            2
FORT PHANTOM HILL    1618.57          70030       21799           31
HORDS CREEK          1886.07           8443        3464           41
HUBBARD CREEK        1153.25         318067       42834           14
O.C. FISHER          1852.48        119200        1356            1
O.H. IVIE            1507.87         554340       79097           14
OAK CREEK            1974.47          39210        5936           15
STAMFORD             1399.56          51570        5188           10
SWEETWATER           2088.28          12267        1639           13
TWIN BUTTES          1892.68         186200        6285           3
NASWORTHY            1870.42         10108         7762         77

HTTP://WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
 AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJT/?N=DROUGHT
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
7654 KNICKERBOCKER ROAD
SAN ANGELO TEXAS  76904
PHONE: 325-944-9445
NWS.SANANGELO@NOAA.GOV

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