Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
AXUS74 KSJT 032017
DGTSJT
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-327-353-
399-411-413-417-431-435-441-447-451-040230-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
217 PM CST WED DEC 3 2014

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVED SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE WESTERN BIG
COUNTRY AND PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY ACCORDING TO THE
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR. EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE SHOWN ACROSS
MAINLY SHACKELFORD COUNTY. IMPACTS OF EXTREME DROUGHT INCLUDE
MAJOR CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES...WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES OR
RESTRICTIONS. MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REST OF THE BIG COUNTRY. IMPACTS FROM SEVERE DROUGHT
INCLUDE: 1. CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY...2. WATER SHORTAGES
COMMON... AND 3. WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. THE REMAINING WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES ARE EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS?WITH CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES AND WATER
SHORTAGES.

HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

AS OF OCTOBER 15TH...THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HAVE A BURN BAN IN
EFFECT...CROCKETT...COLEMAN...BROWN...NOLAN...SHACKELFORD.

THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX IS USED BY THE TEXAS FOREST SRVICE
TO GAUGE CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER TO THE POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED
FIRE BEHAVIOR. IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX CALCULATED ON A DAILY
BASIS, RANGING FROM 0 TO 800. A VALUE OF 800 INDICATES A
COMPLETELY DRY SOIL..WHILE A 0 REPRESENTS A COMPLETELY SATURATED
SOIL. CURRENTLY...KBDI VALUES ACROSS ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ARE
500 OR LESS. ALTHOUGH THESE VALUES ARE AN INDICATION OF INCREASING
FIRE INTENSITY AND LONGEVITY...THEY ARE ALSO BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. ERC VALUES RANGE FROM 25-40 CURRENTLY..SLIGHTLY
ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE FALL. NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN CHANGE
QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY. THE
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY WEATHER
THRESHOLDS OF 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT. WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE EXCEEDED...
EXPECT THE FIRE DANGER TO BE ELEVATED.

HTTP://TICC.TAMU.EDU/PREDICTIVESERVICES/DROUGHT.HTM

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS AGRILIFE CROP REPORT ISSUED NOVEMBER
25...TEMPERATURES VARIED WIDELY THROUGHOUT THE WEEK?WITH COLD
WEATHER AND A HARD FREEZE EARLY?THEN DAYS WARMED UP?AND THERE WAS
RAIN BY LATE IN THE WEEK. THE COTTON HARVEST CONTINUED WHERE FIELD
CONDITIONS ALLOWED...BUT MOST COTTON HARVESTING WAS PUT ON HOLD BY
THE RAINS. IRRIGATED COTTON YIELDS WERE FAIR; DRYLAND YIELDS WERE
FAIR TO POOR. WHEAT GROWERS WERE PLANTING BEHIND HARVESTED COTTON.
ALREADY PLANTED WINTER WHEAT IMPROVED?WITH THE EARLIER PLANTED
FIELDS NEARLY READY TO BE GRAZED. RANGELAND AND PASTURE CONDITIONS
DECLINED DUE TO THE HARD FREEZE THAT SENT WARM-SEASON GRASSES INTO
DORMANCY. STOCK-TANK WATER LEVELS CONTINUED TO DROP...WITH SOME AT
CRITICAL LEVELS. WINTER SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF LIVESTOCK
CONTINUED TO INCREASE. LIVESTOCK WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION AS
PRODUCERS FINISHED FALL CATTLE WORK. PRICES REMAINED STRONG AS DID
DEMAND. THE PECAN HARVEST WAS WELL UNDERWAY...WITH QUALITY RANGING
FROM VERY GOOD TO LESS THAN IDEAL.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

COOL AND GENERALLY WET CONDITIONS WERE EXPERIENCED ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS IN NOVEMBER. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN BELOW NORMAL FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA. MOST OF THE AREA RECEIVED 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...MAINLY ACROSS THE CONCHO
VALLEY AND HEARTLAND. THE OVERALL TREND WAS ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

AS OF NOVEMBER 03...

                      YTD     YTD NORMAL
                   PRECIP         PRECIP    PERCENT OF
STATION           (INCHES)       (INCHES)       NORMAL
------------------------------------------------------
ABILENE             14.49          23.59            61
SAN ANGELO          16.35          20.43            80
JUNCTION            17.75          25.76            69

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...


THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...CPC...INDICATES THAT THE CHANCES
OF EL NINO ARE 58 PERCENT DURING THE WINTER MONTHS.

THE CPC RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD DECEMBER THROUGH FEBRUARY
PREDICTS BETTER CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS.

THE CPC TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER THROUGH FEBRUARY
INDICATES BETTER CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS

THE LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FROM CPC...INDICATES
DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVING THROUGH THE END OF FEBRUARY ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...
THE USGS WATERWATCH INDICATES THAT CURRENT STREAMFLOWS ARE NEAR
TO BELOW NORMAL ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF NOVEMBER 3...


/                    CURRENT   CONSERVATION     CURRENT             %
/                  ELEVATION       CAPACITY    CAPACITY  CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR               (FT)        (AC-FT)     (AC-FT)      CAPACITY

ABILENE              1988.24           7900         268            3
BROWNWOOD            1412.32         128839       63405           49
COLEMAN              1698.55          38075       12283           32
E.V. SPENCE          1825.49         517272       12134            2
FORT PHANTOM HILL    1618.56          70030       21780           31
HORDS CREEK          1886.04           8443        3467           41
HUBBARD CREEK        1153.96         318067       45830           14
O.C. FISHER          1852.91        119200        1454            1
O.H. IVIE            1509.19         554340       84881           15
OAK CREEK            1974.71          39210        6069           16
STAMFORD             1399.81          51570        5442           11
SWEETWATER           2088.33          12267        1647           13
TWIN BUTTES          1892.35         186200        5972           3
NASWORTHY            1870.48           7832        10108          77

HTTP://WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
 AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJT/?N=DROUGHT
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
7654 KNICKERBOCKER ROAD
SAN ANGELO TEXAS  76904
PHONE: 325-944-9445
NWS.SANANGELO@NOAA.GOV


$$








USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.