Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
AXUS74 KSJT 310229
DGTSJT
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-327-353-
399-411-413-417-431-435-441-447-451-310830-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
929 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2014

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED THROUGH THE NATIONAL DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER ON MAY 27...SHOWS A GENERAL IMPROVEMENT IN
DROUGHT CONDITIONS COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW WEEKS. EXCEPTIONAL
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE SHOWN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SUTTON
AND KIMBLE COUNTIES. IMPACTS FROM EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS
INCLUDE WIDESPREAD CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES AND SHORTAGES OF WATER
IN RESERVOIRS...STREAMS AND WELLS CREATING WATER EMERGENCIES.
EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF CROCKETT...
SCHLEICHER...MENARD...MASON...SAN SABA...MCCULLOCH...CONCHO...
BROWN...HASKELL...FISHER...COLEMAN...AND PARTS OF TOM GREEN...
IRION...CALLAHAN...SHACKELFORD...JONES...AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES.
IMPACTS OF EXTREME DROUGHT INCLUDE MAJOR CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES...
WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES OR RESTRICTIONS. THE REMAINING WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES ARE EXPERIENCING SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
WHERE CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES ARE LIKELY AND WATER SHORTAGES ARE
COMMON.

HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

WITH RECENT RAINFALL...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE MINIMAL.
COUNTIES HAVE BEEN LIFTING BURN BANS AND FOR THE LATEST BANS VISIT
HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG OR CONTACT YOUR COUNTY.

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI)
AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR. IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX
CALCULATED DAILY FOR EACH COUNTY. EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE
AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING
THE SOIL BACK TO SATURATION. THE INDEX RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0
REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND 800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL. AS OF
MAY 30...THE AREA WAS IN THE RANGE 0 TO 300...WHICH MEANS SOIL
MOISTURE AND LARGE CLASS FUEL MOISTURES ARE HIGH AND WILL NOT
CONTRIBUTE TO FIRE INTENSITY.
HTTP://TICC.TAMU.EDU/PREDICTIVESERVICES/DROUGHT.HTM

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS CROP WEATHER REPORT ISSUED MAY 30 BY THE
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURE PROGRAM...THE REGION REMAINED WARM WITH MILD
NIGHTS. DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTED MOST OF THE WEEK. WEEKEND RAINS
HELPED REPLENISH SOIL MOISTURE AND FILL STOCK-WATER TANKS. THE
HARVEST OF WHEAT AND OATS NEARED...BUT MOST WHEAT WAS BEING GRAZED
OUT DUE TO DROUGHT. LOW YIELDS WERE EXPECTED FOR WHEAT HARVESTED FOR
GRAIN. THE RAINS DELAYED PLANTING OF COTTON...SUNFLOWERS AND FORAGE
SORGHUMS. RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION DUE
TO RECENT RAINS. PECANS WERE OFF TO A PROMISING START AS GROWERS
WERE TREATING FOR FIRST GENERATION CASE BEARERS.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

AFTER WEEKS OF DRY WEATHER...HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND IMPROVED DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY WHICH HAD SOME
OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL INCLUDE 10.05 INCHES AT WALL...3.80 INCHES
AT STERLING CITY...6.31 INCHES AT MILLERSVIEW. THE HEARTLAND ALSO
SAW HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS INCLUDING 7.59 INCHES AT BROWNWOOD...5.72
INCHES AT SAN SABA...AND 5.46 INCHES AT BRADY. THE NORTHWEST HILL
COUNTRY TOTALS INCLUDE 5.88 INCHES AT MASON...4.82 INCHES AT
MENARD...AND 3.93 INCHES AT JUNCTION. THE NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU
SAW TOTALS LIKE 3.47 INCHES AT SONORA...3.5 INCHES AT ELDORADO...AND
3.05 INCHES AT OZONA. THE BIG COUNTRY HAD LOWER RAINFALL
TOTALS...INCLUDING 1.35 INCHES A ABILENE...1.41 INCHES AT
ANSON...AND 1.66 INCHES AT WOODSON.

AS OF MAY 29...

                      YTD     YTD NORMAL
                   PRECIP         PRECIP    PERCENT OF
STATION           (INCHES)       (INCHES)       NORMAL
------------------------------------------------------
ABILENE              3.99           8.68            46
SAN ANGELO           8.27           7.86           106
JUNCTION             4.88           9.76            50

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...CPC...INDICATES THAT THE CHANCES OF
EL NINO INCREASE DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE YEAR...EXCEEDING 65
PERCENT DURING THE SUMMER. EL NINO IS FAVORED TO DEVELOP DURING THE
SUMMER MONTHS.

THE CPC OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD JUNE THROUGH AUGUST PREDICTS EQUAL
CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL...NORMAL...AND ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

THE CPC TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JUNE THROUGH AUGUST INDICATES
INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA.

THE LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FROM CPC...CONTINUES TO
INDICATE DROUGHT PERSISTING OR INTENSIFYING THROUGH THE END OF AUGUST
ACROSS WEST TEXAS.

HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...
THE USGS WATERWATCH INDICATES THAT CURRENT STREAMFLOWS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 ARE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
HOWEVER...THE MONTHLY AVERAGE CONTINUES TO INDICATE BELOW NORMAL
STREAMFLOWS. ABOVE NORMAL STREAMFLOWS WILL LIKELY DIMINISH AS THE
FLOW FROM RECENT RAINFALLS MOVE THROUGH THE BASINS.

HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF MAY 29...


/                    CURRENT   CONSERVATION     CURRENT             %
/                  ELEVATION       CAPACITY    CAPACITY  CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR               (FT)        (AC-FT)     (AC-FT)      CAPACITY

ABILENE              1988.23           7900         267            3
BROWNWOOD            1414.00         128839       70674           55
COLEMAN              1700.46          38075       14007           37
E.V. SPENCE          1824.38         517272       10748            2
FORT PHANTOM HILL    1621.63          70030       27828           40
HORDS CREEK          1882.66           8443        2702           32
HUBBARD CREEK        1157.62         318067       63278           20
O.C. FISHER          1857.54         119200        2551            2
O.H. IVIE            1514.69         554340      113900           21
OAK CREEK            1977.86          39210        8012           20
STAMFORD             1400.19          51570        5843           11
SWEETWATER           2091.31          12267        2213           18
TWIN BUTTES          1898.23         186200       16045            9
NASWORTHY            1871.99          10108        9700           96

HTTP://WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
 AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJT/?N=DROUGHT
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
7654 KNICKERBOCKER ROAD
SAN ANGELO TEXAS  76904
PHONE: 325-944-9445
NWS.SANANGELO@NOAA.GOV

$$






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.