Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
543 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

DROUGHT CONDITIONS WORSENED SOMEWHAT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
ACCORDING TO THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR. EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ARE SHOWN ACROSS MAINLY NORTHEAST SHACKELFORD...EASTERN HASKELL AND
ALL OF THROCKMORTON COUNTIES. EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE ALSO
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KIMBLE AND MASON COUNTIES.
IMPACTS OF EXTREME DROUGHT INCLUDE MAJOR CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES
AND WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES OR RESTRICTIONS. MODERATE TO SEVERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BIG COUNTRY,
MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND THE HEARTLAND. IMPACTS FROM
SEVERE DROUGHT INCLUDE: 1) CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY... 2)
WATER SHORTAGES COMMON...AND 3) WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. THE
REMAINING WEST CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES ARE EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY
DRY TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS...WITH CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES
AND WATER SHORTAGES.


HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

DROUGHT OUTLOOK - FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS

AS OF MARCH 29TH...THE ONLY COUNTY WITH A BURN BAN IN EFFECT IS
CROCKETT.

THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX IS USED BY THE TEXAS FOREST
SERVICE TO GAUGE CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER TO THE POTENTIAL OR
EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR. IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX CALCULATED ON A
DAILY BASIS...RANGING FROM 0-800. EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE
AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING
THE SOIL BACK TO SATURATION. A VALUE OF 800 INDICATES A COMPLETELY
DRY SOIL...WHILE A 0 REPRESENTS A COMPLETELY SATURATED SOIL.
CURRENTLY...NEARLY ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS IS AVERAGING BETWEEN 0
AND 200 ON THE KBDI...REFLECTING GOOD SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS. ONLY
FISHER COUNTY IS AVERAGING BETWEEN 200 AND 300. ERC VALUES
CURRENTLY RANGE FROM 10 TO 20...WHICH ARE WELL BELOW THE CURRENT
AVERAGE, AND NEAR ALL-TIME MINIMUM VALUES.

NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY WIDELY ON A DAILY BASIS. IN WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY
WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 20 MPH AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT. WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE
EXCEEDED...EXPECT THE FIRE DANGER TO BE ELEVATED.
HTTP://TICC.TAMU.EDU/PREDICTIVESERVICES/DROUGHT.HTM

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

THE REGION HAD WARMER WEATHER...WITH RAIN SHOWERS IN MOST AREAS.
DAYS WERE MILD WITH COOL NIGHTS. SOIL MOISTURE CONTINUED TO
IMPROVE DUE TO RECENT RAINS...AND WINTER WHEAT FOLLOWED SUIT.
PRODUCERS WERE SPRAYING FOR APHIDS IN THE WHEAT. THERE WERE ALSO
SOME REPORTS OF RUST AND INSECTS IN WHEAT FIELDS. SMALL-GRAIN
FIELDS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE AND WERE IN VERY GOOD SHAPE. PRODUCERS
WERE WAITING ON DRIER WEATHER TO CONTINUE SPRAYING FOR WEEDS.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES CONTINUED TO IMPROVE. WARMER WEATHER
PROMOTED SPRING GREEN-UP AND GAVE SPRING FORAGES A BOOST. WINTER
WEEDS AND COOL-SEASON GRASSES PROVIDED ADEQUATE GRAZING. LIVESTOCK
WERE IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION AND CONTINUED TO IMPROVE.
SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING OF LIVESTOCK WAS ONGOING...BUT WAS BEGINNING TO
SLOW DOWN. PREDATORS CONTINUED TO PLAGUE RANCHERS. FRUIT TREES
BEGAN TO BLOOM.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

COOL AND WET WET CONDITIONS WERE EXPERIENCED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS SO FAR IN MARCH. TEMPERATURES WERE BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF
THE AREA. MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVED 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS SO FAR IN MARCH.

AS OF MARCH 29...

                      YTD     YTD NORMAL
                   PRECIP         PRECIP    PERCENT OF
STATION           (INCHES)       (INCHES)       NORMAL
------------------------------------------------------
ABILENE              5.11           3.96            129
SAN ANGELO           3.93           3.64            108
JUNCTION             3.89           4.68            83

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...CPC...INDICATES THAT EL NINO
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING.

THE CPC RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD APRIL THROUGH JUNE
PREDICTS BETTER CHANCES FOR NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

THE CPC TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR APRIL THROUGH JUNE INDICATES
BETTER CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS

THE LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FROM CPC...INDICATES SOME
IMPROVEMENT IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF MAY ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...
THE USGS WATERWATCH INDICATES THAT CURRENT STREAMFLOWS ARE NEAR
TO BELOW NORMAL ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF MARCH 29...


/                    CURRENT   CONSERVATION     CURRENT             %
/                  ELEVATION       CAPACITY    CAPACITY  CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR               (FT)        (AC-FT)     (AC-FT)      CAPACITY

ABILENE              1988.23           7900         267            3
BROWNWOOD            1412.01         128839       62107           48
COLEMAN              1698.04          38075       11855           31
E.V. SPENCE          1823.46         517272        9673            2
FORT PHANTOM HILL    1619.15          70030       22882           33
HORDS CREEK          1886.13           8443        3478           41
HUBBARD CREEK        1152.65         318067       40390           13
O.C. FISHER          1852.22        119200         1297            1
O.H. IVIE            1507.11         554340       75949           14
OAK CREEK            1974.36          39210        5876           15
STAMFORD             1399.72          51570        5350           10
SWEETWATER           2088.15          12267        1617           13
TWIN BUTTES          1892.80         186200        6299           4
NASWORTHY            1870.60          10108        7975          79

HTTP://WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
 AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJT/?N=DROUGHT
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
7654 KNICKERBOCKER ROAD
SAN ANGELO TEXAS  76904
PHONE: 325-944-9445
NWS.SANANGELO@NOAA.GOV

$$








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