Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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AXUS74 KSJT 020213
DGTSJT
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-327-353-
399-411-413-417-431-435-441-447-451-020815-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
912 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED THROUGH THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER ON JULY 29...SHOWS CONDITIONS CONTINUING
TO IMPROVE. EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE SHOWN ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SHACKELFORD AND HASKELL COUNTIES. IMPACTS OF EXTREME DROUGHT
INCLUDE MAJOR CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES...WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES
OR RESTRICTIONS. SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.
IMPACTS FROM SEVERE DROUGHT INCLUDE...CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES
LIKELY...WATER SHORTAGES COMMON...AND WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED.
THE REMAINING WEST CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES ARE EXPERIENCING
ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WHERE CROP AND
PASTURE LOSSES ARE LIKELY AND WATER SHORTAGES ARE COMMON.

HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE GENERALLY MINIMAL...BUT
HOT AND DRY DAYS ARE BEGINNING TO DRY FUELS OUT.

FOR THE LATEST BANS VISIT
HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG OR CONTACT YOUR
COUNTY.

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX
(KBDI) AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR. IT IS A
NUMERICAL INDEX CALCULATED DAILY FOR EACH COUNTY. EACH NUMBER IS
AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN
INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE SOIL BACK TO SATURATION. THE INDEX
RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0 REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND
800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL. AS OF JULY 31...WEST CENTRAL TEXAS WAS
IN THE RANGE 0 TO 400...WHICH MEANS SOIL MOISTURE AND LARGE CLASS
FUEL MOISTURES ARE HIGH AND WILL NOT CONTRIBUTE TO FIRE INTENSITY,
BUT SOME SMALLER FUEL CLASSES ARE BEGINNING TO CURE AND WILL BEGIN
TO CONTRIBUTE TO FIRE INTENSITY.

HTTP://TICC.TAMU.EDU/PREDICTIVESERVICES/DROUGHT.HTM

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO TEXAS AGRILIFE CROP REPORT...DAYS WERE HOT AND
HUMID. TRIPLE-DIGIT TEMPERATURES CONTINUED TO DEPLETE SOIL
MOISTURE. COTTON WAS PROGRESSING WELL AND NEARING SQUARING.
PRODUCERS CONTINUED CUTTING AND BALING HAY. ALL SUMMER FORAGES AND
CROPS WERE SHOWING STRESS FROM HEAT AND LACK OF MOISTURE. PASTURES
AND HAYFIELDS NEEDED RAIN SOON TO MAINTAIN YIELDS. SOME LIMITED
GRAZING OF HAYFIELDS WAS UNDERWAY AFTER A GOOD HARVEST OF
BERMUDAGRASS HAY. ROW CROPS WERE PROGRESSING WELL WITH A FEW
INSECT ISSUES, SUCH AS ARMYWORMS AND HEAD WORMS. GRASSHOPPER
NUMBERS CONTINUED TO INCREASE, WITH SOME PRODUCERS SPRAYING TO
CONTROL THE PEST. LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN GOOD CONDITION. SOME
PRODUCERS WERE RESTOCKING AT THIS TIME. WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO
DECLINE IN STOCK TANKS AND PONDS. PECAN GROWERS WERE SPRAYING
ORCHARDS AND EXPECTING GOOD YIELDS.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

HOT SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS IN
JULY. TEMPERATURES WERE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE AREAS EAST OF
A LINE FROM SWEETWATER...TO EDEN...TO JUNCTION HAD ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL. SOME AREAS OF RUNNELS AND SAN SABA COUNTIES HAD RAINFALL
TOTALS FOR THE MONTH WELL ABOVE NORMAL. FOR THE REST OF THE AREA
RAINFALL WAS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

AS OF JULY 31...

                      YTD     YTD NORMAL
                   PRECIP         PRECIP    PERCENT OF
STATION           (INCHES)       (INCHES)       NORMAL
------------------------------------------------------
ABILENE             10.20          14.37            71
SAN ANGELO          11.33          11.81            96
JUNCTION            10.03          14.57            69



PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...CPC...INDICATES THAT THE CHANCES
OF EL NINO INCREASE DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE YEAR...EXCEEDING
70 PERCENT DURING THE SUMMER. EL NINO IS FAVORED TO DEVELOP OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS.

THE CPC RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD AUGUST THROUGH OCTOBER
PREDICTS BETTER CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS.

THE CPC TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR AUGUST THROUGH OCTOBER INDICATES
EQUAL CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL...NEAR NORMAL...AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

THE LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FROM CPC...CONTINUES TO
INDICATE DROUGHT PERSISTING OR INTENSIFYING THROUGH THE END OF
OCTOBER ACROSS WEST TEXAS.

HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...
THE USGS WATERWATCH INDICATES THAT CURRENT STREAMFLOWS NORTHWEST
OF A LINE FROM BALLINGER TO THROCKMORTON ARE BELOW NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH STREAMFLOWS ELSEWHERE NEAR TO ABOVE
NORMAL.

HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF AUGUST 1...


/                    CURRENT   CONSERVATION     CURRENT             %
/                  ELEVATION       CAPACITY    CAPACITY  CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR               (FT)        (AC-FT)     (AC-FT)      CAPACITY

ABILENE              1988.22           7900         266            3
BROWNWOOD            1412.68         128839       64928           50
COLEMAN              1700.12          38075       13703           36
E.V. SPENCE          1823.25         517272        9440            2
FORT PHANTOM HILL    1621.18          70030       26897           38
HORDS CREEK          1883.93           8443        3065           36
HUBBARD CREEK        1156.22         318067       63119           20
O.C. FISHER          1855.90         119200        1879            2
O.H. IVIE            1512.65         554340      101900           18
OAK CREEK            1976.59          39210        7340           19
STAMFORD             1401.16          51570        6954           13
SWEETWATER           2090.25          12267        2000           16
TWIN BUTTES          1926.87         186200       21198           11
NASWORTHY            1870.60          10108        7975           79

HTTP://WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
 AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJT/?N=DROUGHT
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
7654 KNICKERBOCKER ROAD
SAN ANGELO TEXAS  76904
PHONE: 325-944-9445
NWS.SANANGELO@NOAA.GOV


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