Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
AXUS74 KSJT 020040
DGTSJT
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-327-353-
399-411-413-417-431-435-441-447-451-020645-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
740 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED THROUGH THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER ON JULY 29...SHOWS DEGRADATION NORTH OF
A LINE FROM STERLING CITY...TO BALLINGER...TO BROWNWOOD. EXTREME
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE SHOWN ACROSS
SHACKELFORD...HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...JONES...AND FISHER
COUNTIES. IMPACTS OF EXTREME DROUGHT INCLUDE MAJOR CROP AND
PASTURE LOSSES...WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES OR RESTRICTIONS.
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM STERLING CITY...TO
BALLINGER...TO BROWNWOOD. IMPACTS FROM SEVERE DROUGHT
INCLUDE...CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY...WATER SHORTAGES
COMMON...AND WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. THE REMAINING WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES ARE EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WHERE CROP AND PASTURE LOSSES ARE LIKELY AND
WATER SHORTAGES ARE COMMON.

HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

AS OF AUGUST 30TH, THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HAVE A BURN BAN IN
EFFECT...CROCKETT...COKE...SAN SABA...COLEMAN...BROWN...
CALLAHAN...NOLAN...SHACKELFORD.

FOR THE LATEST BANS VISIT
HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG OR CONTACT YOUR COUNTY.

THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX /KBDI/ IS USED BY THE TEXAS FOREST
SERVICE TO GAUGE CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER TO THE POTENTIAL OR
EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR. IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX CALCULATED ON A
DAILY BASIS, RANGING FROM 0 TO 800. A VALUE OF 800 INDICATES A
COMPLETELY DRY SOIL, WHILE A 0 REPRESENTS A COMPLETELY SATURATED
SOIL. CURRENTLY, KBDI VALUES ACROSS ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ARE
LESS THAN 500. ALTHOUGH THESE VALUES ARE AN INDICATION OF
INCREASING FIRE INTENSITY AND LONGEVITY, THEY ARE ALSO BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT /ERC/
VALUES RANGE FROM 40-50 CURRENTLY, ALSO BELOW THE AVERAGE FOR LATE
SUMMER. NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY
AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARIES. THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF 20 FOOT WINDS
ABOVE 20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT. WHEN
THESE THRESHOLDS ARE EXCEEDED...EXPECT THE FIRE DANGER TO BE
ELEVATED.

HTTP://TICC.TAMU.EDU/PREDICTIVESERVICES/DROUGHT.HTM

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO TEXAS AGRILIFE CROP REPORT ISSUED AUG 26TH...
EXTREMELY HOT AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUED, AND SOIL MOISTURE FURTHER
DECLINED. PREPARATIONS FOR WHEAT PLANTING, INCLUDING PRE-
APPLICATION OF FERTILIZERS, CONTINUED. CUTTING AND BALING HAY
CONTINUED IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED RAIN. MOST HAY FIELDS WILL NEED
RAIN SOON TO PRODUCE ANOTHER CUTTING. THE CORN HARVEST WAS
UNDERWAY, WITH FAIR YIELDS BEING REPORTED. SUNFLOWERS AND EARLY
PLANTED GRAIN SORGHUM WERE BEING HARVESTED. FORAGE CROPS WERE
SHOWING DROUGHT STRESS. COTTON WAS PROGRESSING VERY WELL, WITH
BOLL SET IN FULL SWING. MOST RANGELAND AND PASTURES LOOKED GOOD
DUE TO RECENT RAINS. PECAN CONDITIONS VARIED DEPENDING UPON
LOCATION. HUNTING SEASON IS RIGHT AROUND THE CORNER, AND WILDLIFE
WAS IN MUCH BETTER CONDITION THAN THIS TIME LAST YEAR.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

HOT SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS CONTINUED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
DURING AUGUST. TEMPERATURES WERE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CROSS PLAINS...TO WALL...TO SONORA
HAD ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL. ELSEWHERE...RAINFALL WAS NEAR NORMAL TO
BELOW NORMAL...WITH PART OF TAYLOR...CALLAHAN...AND JONES COUNTIES
SEEING SEVERAL INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

AS OF AUGUST 31...

                      YTD     YTD NORMAL
                   PRECIP         PRECIP    PERCENT OF
STATION           (INCHES)       (INCHES)       NORMAL
------------------------------------------------------
ABILENE             10.50          16.96            62
SAN ANGELO          11.98          14.07            85
JUNCTION            13.94          18.15            77

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...CPC...INDICATES  THAT THE CHANCE
OF EL NINO DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE YEAR HAS DECREASED TO 65
PERCENT. EL NINO IS FAVORED TO DEVELOP DURING FALL INTO EARLY
WINTER.

THE CPC RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD SEPTEMBER THROUGH
NOVEMBER PREDICTS BETTER CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

THE CPC TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR SEPTEMBER THROUGH NOVEMBER
INDICATES EQUAL CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL...NEAR NORMAL...AND ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THE LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FROM CPC...INDICATES DROUGHT
IMPROVEMENT THROUGH THE END OF NOVEMBER ACROSS WEST TEXAS.

HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS...
THE USGS WATERWATCH INDICATES THAT CURRENT STREAMFLOWS SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM SILVER...TO BALLINGER...TO JUNCTION ARE NEAR NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH STREAMFLOWS ELSEWHERE BELOW NORMAL.

HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF AUGUST 1...


/                    CURRENT   CONSERVATION     CURRENT             %
/                  ELEVATION       CAPACITY    CAPACITY  CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR               (FT)        (AC-FT)     (AC-FT)      CAPACITY

ABILENE              1988.23           7900         267             3
BROWNWOOD            1412.53         128839       64291            50
COLEMAN              1699.42          38075       13042            34
E.V. SPENCE          1821.62         517272        7724             1
FORT PHANTOM HILL    1620.25          70030       25017            36
HORDS CREEK          1885.54           8443        3457            41
HUBBARD CREEK        1155.31         318067       51871            16
O.C. FISHER          1854.15         119200        1899             2
O.H. IVIE            1511.21         554340       95280            17
OAK CREEK            1975.79          39210        6726            17
STAMFORD             1400.42          51570        6095            12
SWEETWATER           2089.42          12267        1839            15
TWIN BUTTES          1926.46         186200       18687            10
NASWORTHY            1870.58          10108        7951            79

HTTP://WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/RESERVOIRS/STATEWIDE

NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
 AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJT/?N=DROUGHT
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST...HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USACE...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
7654 KNICKERBOCKER ROAD
SAN ANGELO TEXAS  76904
PHONE: 325-944-9445
NWS.SANANGELO@NOAA.GOV

$$

REIMER




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