Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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830
FXUS01 KWBC 290716
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
315 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

VALID 12Z SUN MAY 29 2016 - 12Z TUE MAY 31 2016

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEAST, MID-ATLANTIC, AND NORTHEAST...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE IS FORECAST BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST TODAY, BEFORE
WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH MIDWEEK. BONNIE WILL
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS AREAS
FROM THE CAROLINAS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC TODAY, SPREADING INTO THE
NORTHEAST BY LATE AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE FORECAST, AND FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THESE AREAS INTO MONDAY, BEFORE
A COLD FRONT SWEEPS IN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY, ENDING
PRECIPITATION ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC.
BONNIE MAY CONTINUE TO BRING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE CAROLINAS INTO
TUESDAY.

FARTHER WEST, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
TODAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. STORMS MAY BE MORE
NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF A DRY LINE ACROSS
WESTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IS
FORECASTING A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ADDITIONALLY,
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE. A PACIFIC COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TODAY, BRINGING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH OF THE INTERIOR
WESTERN U.S. ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE PLAINS, WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.


RYAN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_WBG.PHP
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