Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXUS01 KWBC 012005
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
404 PM EDT WED OCT 01 2014

VALID 00Z THU OCT 02 2014 - 00Z SAT OCT 04 2014

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AND PARTS OF GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY...

A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SOUTHWARD TO
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE GREAT LAKES TO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY FRIDAY.  MOISTURE WILL POOL ALONG
THE BOUNDARY AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THAT WILL EXPAND
SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY MORNING.  THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO EXPAND NORTHWARD INTO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES BY THURSDAY EVENING, WITH HEAVY RAIN.  BY FRIDAY
MORNING THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXTEND FROM THE GREAT
LAKES SOUTHWARD TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF
COAST, WITH MODERATE RAIN.  IN ADDITION, RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY EVENING THAT WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTHERN CANADA BY FRIDAY MORNING.

MEANWHILE, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL AID IN PRODUCING MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY THURSDAY WHILE THE
INTENSITY WEAKENS TO LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN.  RAIN AND SNOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
ON WEDNESDAY EVENING.

ADDITIONAL UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL ENTER THE NORTHERN TIER STATE
AND MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/CENTRAL
PLAINS BY FRIDAY.  THE ENERGY WILL AID IN DEVELOPING RAIN AND SNOW
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS/NORTHERN ROCKIES ON
THURSDAY MORNING THAT WILL MOVE TO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY
FRIDAY.  FURTHERMORE, RAIN WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND MOVE EASTWARD TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY BY THURSDAY.  ELSEWHERE, LOW PRESSURE OFF NEW ENGLAND COAST
WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND
COAST ON WEDNESDAY EVENING THAT WILL SLOWLY WANE OVERNIGHT ENDING
ON THURSDAY.


ZIEGENFELDER


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
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