Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXUS01 KWBC 310722
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
321 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

VALID 12Z TUE MAY 31 2016 - 12Z THU JUN 02 2016

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST...

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE TO LINGER ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COASTLINE...

...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO EXPAND ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
TODAY WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AHEAD AHEAD OF THIS FRONT TODAY FROM TEXAS TO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING ARE
POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AS WELL AS THE UPPER MIDWEST. ON WEDNESDAY, THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THIS SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE GREAT LAKES AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES
INTO ONTARIO. THE TRAILING END OF THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE MORE SLOWLY ACROSS TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, KEEPING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE PICTURE.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY ALONG
THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. AS A
RESULT, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY MORNING, THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF BONNIE WILL
BECOME ABSORBED INTO A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH.

HIGH PRESSURE AT THE MID AND UPPER-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
EXPAND ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS,
KEEPING GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE WITH ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE FORECAST TO BE
10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS THE WEST COAST STATES. ON
WEDNESDAY, THE WARM TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO EXPAND INTO THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN REGION, WITH TEMPERATURES AS MUCH AS
15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CENTRAL VALLEY
IN CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST MAY SURPASS 100 DEGREES.


RYAN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_WBG.PHP
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