Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4

000
FXUS01 KWBC 060806
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
405 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

VALID 12Z MON JUL 6 2015 - 12Z WED JUL 8 2015

***STORMY WEATHER FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES***

***HEAVY RAIN EVENT FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS***

***HOT CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE WESTERN U.S.***

THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE NATION THROUGH TUESDAY WILL FEATURE A
COLD FRONT SINKING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS AND MIDWEST
STATES, AND A WEAKENING WARM FRONT OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION.
THE COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. IS CONSIDERED A STRONG ONE BY
JULY STANDARDS, AND WILL HAVE ENOUGH FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH IT TO
RESULT IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXTENDING FROM TEXAS TO THE
GREAT LAKES.  PLEASANTLY COOL WEATHER WILL SETTLE IN BEHIND THIS
BOUNDARY AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP.

THIS COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY HAVE THE GREATEST IMPACTS OVER PARTS
OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS AS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THIS
FRONT STALLS OVER THAT REGION.  A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS FORECAST
TO MATERIALIZE BY MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY AS
DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO GETS LIFTED UPWARD BY THE
FRONT.  SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY AND AN
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK HAS BEEN POSTED BY WPC.

THE SAME FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL ALSO TAKE THE EDGE
OFF THE RECENT HEAT OVER MONTANA, WYOMING, AND PARTS OF UTAH AND
IDAHO, WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.  SOUTHWEST OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST AND
GREAT BASIN, HOT WEATHER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTO THE
BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 90S AND LOWER 100S EXPECTED.
 THIS IS WHERE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PREVAIL.  MONSOONAL
MOISTURE IN PLACE OVER THE INTERIOR WEST WILL ALLOW FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH AFTERNOON.

D. HAMRICK


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.