Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXUS01 KWBC 010729
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
328 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

VALID 12Z SAT AUG 1 2015 - 12Z MON AUG 3 2015

***STORMY WEATHER FOR THE GULF COAST AND FLORIDA***

***WARM AND DRY FOR NEW ENGLAND AND MID-ATLANTIC***

***SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES***

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AS A
WEAK STATIONARY FRONT AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE REMAIN OVER THAT
REGION.  PARTS OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA COULD
SEE A COUPLE INCHES OF RAINFALL BY SATURDAY EVENING WITH MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  FARTHER TO THE NORTH, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACCOMPANYING A SECONDARY SHOT OF
COOLER AIR PUSHING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY, WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FROM THE DEEP SOUTH TO THE
NORTHEAST COAST.

FOR THE WESTERN U.S., SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION IN
RESPONSE TO DAYTIME HEATING WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE IN PLACE.
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS,
RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE RUNOFF AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING ISSUES.
SOME OF THIS MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND EASTWARD OVER PARTS OF
NORTHERN TEXAS AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA, WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY.  HEAT AND DRY WEATHER WILL ALSO BE
MAKING WEATHER HEADLINES FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, OREGON,
AND WASHINGTON, WITH HEAT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR SOME AREAS AS
HIGHS REACH WELL INTO THE 90S ALONG WITH AN ELEVATED RISK OF
WILDFIRES.

D. HAMRICK


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
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