Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXUS01 KWBC 180831
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
430 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

VALID 12Z THU SEP 18 2014 - 12Z SAT SEP 20 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCHES FOR PORTIONS OF ARIZONA, NEW MEXICO AND
TEXAS...

...FROST ADVISORIES AND FREEZE WARNINGS FOR THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

EARLY THIS MORNING, REMNANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AND ENERGY FROM
`ODILE` WAS SLOWLY MIGRATING AWAY FROM SOUTHEAST ARIZONA AND
SPREADING EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWESTERN
TEXAS---WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALLS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD DOWNSTREAM INTO EAST
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO, THE TEXAS PANHANDLE, AND CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS---WITH WIDESPREAD 1-2 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT 24
TO 48 HOURS. ISOLATED 3-4 INCH RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WPC
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT AREAS...EXTENDING FROM TUCSON AZ TO
SILVER CITY NM AND GENERALLY ARCING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS A
SIZABLE PORTION OF CENTRAL TEXAS---FROM ABILENE TO AUSTIN AND THE
HOUSTON METRO AREA. EVEN THOUGH `ODILE` WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN 24
HOURS, ITS MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

IN NORTHEAST MINNESOTA, NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND THE ENTIRE UPPER
PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN---FROST AND/OR A HARD FREEZE IS LIKELY
BEFORE SUNRISE. THE COLD TEMPERATURES MOVE DOWNSTREAM INTO
SOUTHEAST CANADA AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT---WITH FROST
AND/OR A HARD FREEZE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING FOR
MUCH OF UPSTATE NEW YORK, NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE, AND ALL OF
VERMONT.

VOJTESAK

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$





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