Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXUS01 KWBC 050759
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
358 AM EDT SUN JUL 5 2015

VALID 12Z SUN JUL 5 2015 - 12Z TUE JUL 7 2015

***STORMY WEATHER FOR THE UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN PLAINS***

***COLD FRONT CROSSES THE CENTRAL U.S. BY MONDAY***

***HOT CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE WESTERN U.S.***

THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE NATION THROUGH MONDAY WILL FEATURE A
COLD FRONT SINKING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS, AND A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE EASTERN U.S.
THAT WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS.  GIVEN RECENT
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN U.S., ANY
ADDITIONAL RAIN MAY CONTRIBUTE TO MORE FLOODING AND RUN-OFF
ISSUES.  BY MONDAY, THERE WILL BE LESS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR
HEAVY RAIN FROM THE DEEP SOUTH TO THE MID-ATLANTIC, LEADING TO
LESS WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF CONVECTION.

AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S., SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM COLORADO TO MINNESOTA ON
SUNDAY.  HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS.  COOLER
WEATHER WILL ARRIVE IN TIME FOR THE START OF THE WEEK FROM MONTANA
TO THE UPPER MIDWEST.  THIS SAME FRONT WILL ALSO TAKE THE EDGE OFF
THE RECENT HEAT OVER WASHINGTON, IDAHO, AND MONTANA WITH MORE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.  SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE
INTERIOR NORTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN, HOT WEATHER IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 90S AND
LOWER 100S EXPECTED.  THIS IS WHERE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
PREVAIL.  MONSOONAL MOISTURE IN PLACE OVER THE INTERIOR WEST WILL
ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH
AFTERNOON.

HAMRICK


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
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