Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXUS01 KWBC 060737
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
236 AM EST SAT FEB 06 2016

VALID 12Z SAT FEB 06 2016 - 12Z MON FEB 08 2016

...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY FOR THE NORTHERN
PLAINS...

...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BRING RAIN, SNOW, AND HIGH WINDS FROM
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS...

...RAIN AND SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
SOUTHEASTERN U.S...

A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY. THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS, AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS TO THE
REGION. HIGH WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS, WHERE
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND SUNDAY.
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT, WARM DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL RESULT IN ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TODAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS, WHERE
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY RISE TO 15 TO 25 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING, SNOW MAY COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
50 MPH TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR SOME AREAS. SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST FROM THIS SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY EAST, SPREADING AREAS OF SNOW ACROSS
MUCH OF THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY,
APPALACHIANS, AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP TODAY ALONG A STALLED COLD
FRONT OVER THE BAHAMAS. THIS SURFACE LOW WILL GRADUALLY DEEPEN
THROUGH TONIGHT AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD. ON SUNDAY, THE SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO UNDERGO A PERIOD OF MORE RAPID DEEPENING OFF THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COASTLINE. WHILE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
REMAIN OFFSHORE, IT IS FORECAST TO BRING SOME PRECIPITATION TO THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COASTAL REGION. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY.
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY  SUNDAY MORNING, A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS. RAIN
WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY SUNDAY NIGHT, BRINGING AN END TO
PRECIPITATION.


RYAN


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
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