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785
FNUS72 KTAE 011856
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for ANF BU305...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
256 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

The sea breeze boundary is very near the burn site and will pass
through the site in the next 30-60 minutes. Winds will become
southerly once this boundary passes. Isolated showers have
developed along the boundary to the south of the burn site, and an
isolated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out during the next 1-3
hours. Rain chances will decrease during the evening hours, though
patchy fog will likely develop again late tonight and early
Thursday morning with winds become calm to light and variable.

Thursday will feature generally light east to southeast winds
through much of the day. High mixing heights peaking near 6,000
feet will lead to good dispersions in the late morning and
afternoon. Any showers or storms will likely remain well to the
east of the burn site tomorrow afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  51  52
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............30  30  30
LAL.............3   3   3
Temp............85  86  82
RH..............56  56  64
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 3.6 3.2
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   7
Dispersion......22  24  23
LVORI...........2   2   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52  52  32  24  14  11  8   8   27  52  65  69
Weather cov.....CHC CHC                                     PTY
Weather type....RW  RW                                      FOG
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
CWR.............30  30  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  80  78  74  72  71  69  68  67  68  66  66
RH..............65  69  75  84  93  97  100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   N   N   SW  N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   3   3   2   3   0   0   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion......19  12  4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   6   7   7   8   8   8   9   8

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  67  69  65  50  28  16  32  41  13  7   5
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  66  67  69  75  80  83  86  88  88  89  90
RH..............100 100 100 98  84  69  61  53  48  43  43  41
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.        6   3   7   7   9   9   10  13  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.8 4.8 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9
Transp wind dir.N   NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9
Dispersion......2   2   4   8   15  24  38  51  60  60  62  61
LVORI...........10  10  9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Young
Requested by...Ryan Regelin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412952.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.regelin@usda.gov,james.norvell@usda.gov