000
FXUS62 KTBW 230007
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
807 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 806 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Quiet conditions in place this evening as dry air continues to
advect into the area. Northerly winds will veer to the northeast
overnight as high pressure drifts across the Southeast with
cool overnight lows falling into the upper 40s and 50s across most
of the area, though low 60s will be possible for coastal areas.
The forecast remains in good shape with no changes planned this
evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A near-zonal flow aloft has taken hold over the region as troughing
passes to our north. At the surface, a cold front is moving over
south Florida, with some lingering cloudiness continuing to clear
out. High pressure will build over the southeast through the rest of
the day, ushering in a relatively cooler and drier air mass. This
high remains over the region through mid-week before shifting
eastward through the end of the week. The next several days will
feature warming temperatures but continued lower humidity and this
pattern really holds into the weekend, though moisture does increase
a bit during this time. Rain chances remain near zero with really no
impacts expected weather-wise during the next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 657 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Northerly winds this evening will become northeasterly overnight
into Tuesday morning, though winds will shift onshore by the
afternoon at coastal sites as the sea breeze moves inland.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will remain in place throughout the TAF
period as high pressure remains in control.

&&

.MARINE...
North to northeast winds around 15 to 20 knots will continue
through tonight before diminishing some tomorrow. Through the
rest of the week, we will see east to southeast winds each day
that turn onshore with the sea breeze. No further headlines are
expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
High pressure and drier air will remain in place through the next
several days, with critically low relative humidity values likely
for a large portion of the region each day. Lighter winds will
preclude the need for any Red Flag Warnings.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  60  82  63  83 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  62  84  63  86 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  57  81  58  85 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  59  85  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  50  82  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  64  82  67  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Giarratana
DECISION SUPPORT...Shiveley
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Shiveley