National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 171718
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1218 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LEFT FROM OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
WILL SLOWLY DRIFT OVER NE OKLAHOMA AND NW ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. IN
GENERAL...VFR CONDITIONS WILL BECOME PREVALENT DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH SOME POSSIBLE BRIEF LOCALIZED MVFR IN SHOWERS.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES APPEAR LOWER OVERNIGHT WITH POSSIBLE
EXCEPTION OF SOUTHERN AREAS. MOIST AIRMASS WITH LIGHT WINDS COULD
LEAD TO FOG DEVELOPMENT IN MANY AREAS DEPENDING ON AMOUNT OF
CLEARING OBSERVED. LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST OVERALL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1046 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
OVERNIGHT MCS HAS MOVED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING
AND HAS LARGELY STABILIZED THE ATMOSPHERE OVER ALL OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS FOR THE TIME BEING. PROFILER
NETWORK ANALYZED AN MCV OVER SE KANSAS WHICH SHOWS UP IN REGIONAL
RADAR LOOP...AND SHORT RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME
REDEVELOPMENT CLOSE TO THIS FEATURE DURING THE AFTERNOON MAINLY
NORTH OF U.S. 412. OVERALL THREAT OF ADDITIONAL STORMS SHOULD BE
MINIMAL ELSEWHERE. HAVE UPDATED TO REFLECT THIS AND TO INCORPORATE
MORNING RADAR TRENDS...FORECAST HIGHS OKAY FOR NOW AS ENOUGH
BREAKS IN CLODS EXPECTED FOR THEM TO BE REACHED.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14

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