National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 182344
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
644 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH OUT OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
EVENING WITH A FEW MID TO HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING OVER THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. PATCHY AREAS OF FOG COULD BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE
TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...THUS WILL LEAVE TEMPO GROUPS IN FOR BVO/RVS/FYV/XNA.
ANY FOG THAT DEVELOP SHOULD BURN OFF BY MID MORNING WITH MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS INCREASING IN COVERAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT
EAST- SOUTHEAST TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD...WITH POSSIBLE IFR TO LIFR
CONDITIONS WITHIN ANY FOG DEVELOPMENT EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 306 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013/

DISCUSSION...
OVERALL FORECAST HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH FROM THE PREVIOUS ISSUANCE.
MOST OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY...AND WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW
CHANCES FOR STORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS THE NORTHERN
ZONES WILL REMAIN AT RISK FOR BEING CLIPPED BY A STORM COMPLEX
THAT TRAVERSES THOSE AREAS ON THE PERIPHERY OF A BUILDING RIDGE.
BEYOND THURSDAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
INTO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. MODELS DECENT AGREEMENT THAT THE
RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OUT SOME...WITH MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN
THAT WILL STAY ACROSS THE NRN CONUS. JUST BEYOND THE SCOPE OF THIS
FORECAST...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS TO STRENGTHEN...WITH THE
CENTER OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION. ANY IMPROVED FLOW THAT
WOULD INCREASE STORM CHANCES LOOKS TO BE WELL REMOVED FROM THE
FORECAST AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  88  71  91 /  10  10  10  20
FSM   67  89  69  92 /  10  10  10  20
MLC   67  88  71  92 /  10  10  10  10
BVO   65  87  69  90 /  10  20  20  20
FYV   62  85  65  87 /  10  10  10  20
BYV   63  85  65  87 /  10  10  10  20
MKO   66  88  69  92 /  10  10  10  10
MIO   66  86  68  88 /  10  10  20  20
F10   66  88  70  92 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   68  90  70  92 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20

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