Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 230453
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1153 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue through early tonight,
with coverage gradually decreasing between about 09-12z. Heavier
cells will bring period of MVFR visibility, with KMLC and KFSM
most likely to be impacted. Period of lower MVFR ceilings likely
later tonight as precip moves out, before drier air surges south
with clearing skies Wednesday morning/early afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 820 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Cold front extending from srn Creek County into Benton County will
continue to move southward overnight. Outflow boundary from this
morning`s activity focusing widespread convection at this time across
southeastern Oklahoma. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will
continue to develop along and ahead of the front, and high-
resolution, rapid update models continue to indicate some potential
north of the front overnight. Highest thunderstorm chances will
gradually shift southward overnight. Heaviest rainfall will likely be
across southeastern Oklahoma this evening/overnight and have updated
pop/qpf grids to reflect that idea. If needed, may update again in
the next couple hours for short-term temp/wind trends. Updated
forecast already issued.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  85  62  86 /  50   0   0  10
FSM   71  86  64  85 /  60  10  10   0
MLC   71  86  67  85 /  80  20  10  10
BVO   60  83  58  84 /  20   0   0   0
FYV   64  81  58  81 /  60   0   0   0
BYV   62  81  57  81 /  30   0   0   0
MKO   67  85  63  85 /  60   0  10  10
MIO   60  81  58  83 /  20   0   0   0
F10   68  85  64  85 /  60  10  10  10
HHW   73  87  68  86 /  60  50  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...14


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