Text Products for FWS Issued by TSA

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS74 KTSA 101245
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Hubbard Burn...Arkansas Department of Agriculture Forestry
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
745 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A strong storm system will be approaching Monday, resulting in
gusty south winds along with warm and humid conditions during the
day. A chance of thunderstorms will arrive some time during the
latter part of Monday into early Tuesday. Timing of storms remains
very much in question at this time.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Dewpoint............60.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 11 to 14 mph with gusts to around
                    21 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (56393 knot-ft).
Stability class.....MISSING.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  57  58  60  61  63  64
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............71  74  75  77  77  77  76
Dewpoint........60  60  60  60  60  60  60
RH..............68  62  60  56  56  56  58
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..11  12  13  14  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.17  18  19  20  21  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  17  17  17  17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..56  56  56  56  56  56  56
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
1700FT Mix T(F).60  60  60  60  60  60  60

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Dewpoint............59.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 13 to 15 mph with gusts to around
22 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (56393 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to fair (17704 knot-ft) late in the night.
Stability class.....MISSING.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64  65  64  64  63  64  66  67  66  65  64  62
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............75  74  73  73  72  71  70  69  68  68  67  65
Dewpoint........60  60  60  59  59  59  59  59  59  59  59  58
RH..............60  62  63  62  64  66  68  70  73  73  75  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.19  19  20  21  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.17  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..56  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
                    through the day.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Dewpoint............56.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 15 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 18 mph increasing to around 28
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (17704 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (102950 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....MISSING.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  58  56  55  53  51  49  47  45  42  40  41
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............64  64  65  67  68  70  71  73  74  75  76  75
Dewpoint........58  57  57  57  57  56  55  54  54  55  55  55
RH..............80  78  75  70  68  61  57  51  50  49  48  50
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  16  16  16  17  17  17  17  17  16
20 FT wind gust.23  23  23  24  24  24  25  25  26  26  26  24
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.18  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28
Vrate kt-ft/1K..18  103 103 103 103 103 103 103 103 103 103 103
Ventrate Cat....PR  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
1700FT Mix T(F).60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60

$$
Forecaster...SULLIVAN
Requested by...Jerald McBride
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410240.0/TSA
.DELDT 04/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jerald.McBride@agriculture.arkansas.gov
National Weather Service National Headquarters
