Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
000
FNUS74 KTSA 171545
FWSTSA
Spot Forecast for NRCS Prescribed Burn BG_CSP...USDA-NRCS
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1045 AM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly clear skies prevail this afternoon and evening with minimum
RH values near 30%. South-southeast winds increase during the
afternoon, near 10-15 mph. A warm front lifts into the area this
evening bringing increasing moisture and stronger overnight winds
(gusting to 20-25 mph). There is a low potential for an isolated
thunderstorm to develop this evening/ overnight. A strong cold
front arrives tomorrow morning with winds shifting to NNW,
gusting 20-30 mph. Additional storms may develop along tomorrow`s
front. Rainfall will tend to be spotty this evening and tonight,
with most areas likely receiving little, if any.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Dewpoint............51.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph increasing to around 17 mph
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (28196 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (95081 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).82.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4 3 2 1 1 1 2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............75 79 82 84 85 86 86
Dewpoint........51 51 50 50 51 52 53
RH..............44 37 33 31 31 31 32
20 FT wind dir..SW S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..4 5 6 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.6 6 10 10 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.4 4.2 5.0 5.8 6.3 6.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 9 10 12 14 16 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28 28 95 95 95 95 95
Ventrate Cat....PR PR GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT Mix T(F).79 81 83 84 85 86 86
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............56 increasing to 64.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (95081 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to fair (18360 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).81.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11 25 18 40 52 70 64 57 60 63 66 64
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............85 81 75 71 68 67 67 65 65 65 65 64
Dewpoint........54 57 57 58 60 61 62 63 64 64 65 64
RH..............35 44 54 63 76 81 84 93 97 97 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 8 7 9 10 11 10 11 11 11 11 13
20 FT wind gust.12 12 10 13 14 16 14 16 16 16 16 18
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.16 17 16 18 20 23 23 23 23 24 23 23
Vrate kt-ft/1K..95 18 18 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 20
Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT Mix T(F).86 85 85 84 83 82 81 79 78 77 77 77
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the morning. Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Dewpoint............65 decreasing to 50.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 13 mph shifting to the west
around 12 mph late in the morning, then
shifting to the north 13 to 16 mph in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 29 mph. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 22 to 28 mph shifting to the north 22 to
26 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20327 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (70163 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).74 decreasing to 68 late in the afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............64 65 64 72 77 77 80 76 73 71 70 69
Dewpoint........64 65 64 67 66 65 62 58 56 53 51 49
RH..............100 100 100 84 69 67 54 54 55 53 51 49
20 FT wind dir..S S S S SW SW W N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..14 14 13 12 12 12 13 15 16 17 17 17
20 FT wind gust.19 19 18 17 17 17 18 20 22 23 23 23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.5 2.7 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9
Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW W NW N N N N N
Transp wind spd.23 22 26 28 25 23 20 22 24 25 26 26
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20 56 56 56 56 56 56 70 70 70 70 70
Ventrate Cat....PR FR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT Mix T(F).78 78 78 78 77 77 77 76 74 72 70 68
$$
Forecaster...M.RADA
Requested by...James Dixon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411227.0/TSA
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.dixon@usda.gov
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