Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KEPZ 092146
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
246 PM MST TUE FEB 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
SUNNY...DRY...AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST THE
FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RUN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL WITH LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S COMMON IN THE DESERT LOWLANDS...
WITH 50S IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS. WIND WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHARP UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO IDAHO WITH A BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH CARVED
OUT OVER THE MIDWEST AND NORTHEASTERN STATES. THIS RIDGE WILL
DE-AMPLIFY AS IT SLOWLY SHIFTS TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THE RESULT FOR US...CONTINUED SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER WITH
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO SLOWLY CLIMB ABOVE NORMAL. THE 70S WILL
BE A COMMON THEME (HOPEFULLY JUST WITH MAX TEMPS) THROUGH THIS
WEEK AND INTO THE NEXT. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND 70 FOR EL
PASO TOMORROW...THEN SLOWLY CLIMBING INTO THE MID-70S BY THE
WEEKEND.

NORMALS (ELP) ARE AROUND 62-63...AND WHILE WE WILL BE WELL ABOVE
THAT...RECORDS ARE NOT LIKELY TO FALL. MOST OF THE DAYS AHEAD HAVE
RECORDS IN THE LOWER-80S...WITH 79 ON BOTH FEB 12 AND 13TH.

A VERY WEAK TROUGH SLIDING DOWN THE RIDGE WILL BRING SOME PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME THICKER HIGH CLOUDS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND RATHER VARIABLE THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 10/00Z-11/00Z...
P6SM SKC THRU PD WITH LT E TO SE WINDS UNDER 10KTS.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. DRY AND WARMER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND BUT WETTING PRECIP WILL NOT
BE AN ISSUE. WHILE MIN RH VALUES WILL FALL TO CRITICAL LEVELS EACH
AFTERNOON WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. VENT RATES
WILL CONTINUE TO SUFFER DUE TO LOW AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS AND
WEAK TRANSPORT WIND SPEEDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 32  70  37  72 /   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           31  69  33  69 /   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              28  68  29  72 /   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              30  69  32  70 /   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              25  50  30  52 /   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   32  69  35  71 /   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             30  67  33  68 /   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  28  69  26  73 /   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               27  70  29  72 /   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      35  70  38  72 /   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               27  71  28  70 /   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            32  71  33  71 /   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              35  68  36  69 /   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  29  70  31  71 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            29  69  31  72 /   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          35  70  36  72 /   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           23  69  25  72 /   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   27  70  29  73 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                30  68  28  71 /   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               36  69  36  71 /   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 33  65  37  65 /   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               27  60  30  63 /   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                33  60  37  62 /   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 30  66  34  69 /   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               31  70  34  72 /   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               29  70  29  72 /   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            18  67  22  70 /   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  29  67  28  70 /   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   21  69  21  71 /   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              17  71  21  73 /   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 31  68  32  72 /   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  27  72  31  75 /   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 26  71  28  74 /   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          26  69  30  73 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              28  70  34  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25-HARDIMAN / 27-JLA


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