Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
000
FXUS64 KEPZ 301025
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
425 AM MDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A STEADY WESTERLY FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. SKIES WILL BE
CLEAR WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY AND QUIET WEATHER WILL OCCUR SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN PART
OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS EXITED THE REGION WITH A DRY
WESTERLY FLOW FILLING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM. DEW POINTS AND
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP CONSIDERABLY THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH
MOISTURE PUSHED OFF TO THE EAST AND SOUTH. DAYS WILL BE SUNNY WITH
LIGHT AFTERNOON BREEZES CHANGING OVER TO CLEAR NIGHTS AND LIGHT
WINDS IN THE EVENING. THE DRY AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN WIDE SWINGS
IN TEMPERATURES BETWEEN EARLY MORNING LOWS IN THE 50S AND
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 80S.


A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP A FEW DEGREES FOR THE WEEKEND. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DURING THE
WEEKEND WITH DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO THE FIRST
PART OF NEXT WEEK. IN THE LONG RANGE OUTLOOK...MODELS ARE
HINTING THAT SOME MOISTURE COULD RETURN TO THE REGION BY NEXT
TUESDAY WITH AN UPTICK IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES POSSIBLE.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 30/12Z- 01/12Z...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE VALID PERIOD. SKY CONDITIONS
MOSTLY SKC-FEW350. WINDS WEST AT 8-15 KNOTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AS PART OF A DRY
WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN ALOFT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK. THE MIN RH FIELD WILL RUN
FROM 35% TO 45% LOWLANDS AND 10% HIGHER ABOVE 7500 FT SACRAMENTOS
MONDAY DROPPING SOME 10% TO 20% OVERALL ON TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 88  66  87  62  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           85  60  85  59  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              84  55  85  56  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              81  56  82  54  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              64  45  67  41  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   83  55  83  56  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             77  48  78  50  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  84  53  85  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               84  53  85  55  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      87  65  87  62  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               88  60  87  58  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            88  62  89  60  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              81  62  82  61  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  87  60  89  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            84  62  86  59  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          82  57  84  56  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           83  53  83  50  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   82  53  82  52  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                83  57  85  57  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               83  59  84  58  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 72  49  74  47  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               72  50  74  48  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                71  50  72  47  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 74  47  76  45  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               76  51  78  50  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               83  54  84  52  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            75  44  76  45  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  79  49  80  51  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   80  47  82  48  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              77  43  79  43  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 78  50  81  51  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  85  56  86  57  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 85  53  87  53  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          85  53  87  56  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              83  53  85  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04 LUNDEEN




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.