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000
FXUS64 KTSA 192328
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
628 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE NEAR KBVO TOWARD DAYBREAK. MAY
ALSO SEE ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOP
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND HAVE CARRIED VCTS FOR ALL TAF
SITES AFTER 19-20Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 327 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013/

DISCUSSION...
RIDGING ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN TONIGHT WITH BUILDING
HEIGHTS THROUGH FRIDAY. DURING THIS TRANSITION FLOW AROUND THE
DEPARTING SFC HIGH WILL YIELD A ZONE OF ENHANCED UPGLIDE LATE
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW SCATTERED CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE EDGE OF THE WARMER MID LEVEL TEMPS. THIS ALONG
WITH CORRESPONDING CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPS IN CHECK TOMORROW.

BEYOND THURSDAY...UPPER RIDGING DOMINATES WITH WARMING MID LEVEL
TEMPS LIMITING PRECIP POTENTIAL. A FEW TERRAIN AIDED STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE MOST ANY DAY HOWEVER COVERAGE LOOKS TO REMAIN VERY
LOW. OTHERWISE...THE TREND WILL BE FOR WARMER TEMPS FROM THE
WEEKEND THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH HOT AND HUMID
AFTERNOONS AND WARM OVERNIGHT LOWS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   72  89  74  93 /  10  40  10  10
FSM   69  90  70  92 /  10  30  10  10
MLC   71  90  72  93 /  10  30   0  10
BVO   70  88  72  93 /  20  40  10  10
FYV   65  86  68  89 /  10  30  10  10
BYV   66  86  68  90 /  10  20   0  10
MKO   70  89  71  92 /  10  30   0  10
MIO   69  87  71  92 /  10  30  10  10
F10   71  89  72  92 /  10  30  10  10
HHW   71  91  73  94 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...18