Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 220809
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
309 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PATCHY FOG CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. THERE ARE A FEW LOCATIONS APPROACHING
1/4 MILE VISIBILITY. DON`T ANTICIPATE A DENSE FOG ADVISORY AT THIS
TIME WITH THE FOG MORE PATCHY IN NATURE THIS MORNING WHEN COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY. OTHERWISE...ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY IS ON TAP WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO TOP OUT IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80S DEGREES.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ON THURSDAY DUE TO THE INCREASED
CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE MID-LEVELS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT
IN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES THAT ARE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS SHOVED OFF TO THE EAST BY
AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. TRENDED THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST
TOWARD THE MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF WHICH PUSHES THE ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   78  57  75  56 /  10  40  40  10
FSM   78  50  72  52 /   0  10  20  10
MLC   78  53  72  54 /   0  20  30  10
BVO   79  55  76  52 /  10  50  30  10
FYV   72  46  71  48 /   0  10  20  10
BYV   69  47  71  51 /   0  10  20  10
MKO   77  53  73  52 /   0  20  30  10
MIO   76  53  74  52 /   0  30  40  10
F10   77  54  74  55 /  10  30  30  10
HHW   78  52  74  52 /   0  10  20   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....10





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