Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS

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000
FXXX10 KWNP 220030
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2017 Nov 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 22-Nov 24 2017 is 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 22-Nov 24 2017

            Nov 22     Nov 23     Nov 24
00-03UT        4          3          2
03-06UT        4          2          2
06-09UT        3          2          2
09-12UT        3          2          1
12-15UT        2          2          1
15-18UT        3          2          2
18-21UT        4          3          1
21-00UT        3          2          1

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-13 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 22-Nov 24 2017

              Nov 22  Nov 23  Nov 24
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 22-Nov 24 2017

              Nov 22        Nov 23        Nov 24
R1-R2            1%            1%            1%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.


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