Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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AXUS71 KALY 031840
DGTALY
CTC005-MAC003-NYC001-021-027-035-039-041-043-057-083-091-093-095-
111-113-115-VTC003-025-051845-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
140 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2017

...ISOLATED EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE IN NORTHWEST
CONNECTICUT AND FAR SOUTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS...LESS SEVERE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS CONTINUE ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN
NEW YORK...WITH SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

SYNOPSIS...
WITH PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR JANUARY 2017 NUDGING CLOSER TO
NORMAL...ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...LONG TERM PRECIPITATION
TRENDS ARE REBOUNDING SLOWLY TOWARDS NORMAL. SIX MONTH
PRECIPITATION DEFICITS OF UP TO EIGHT INCHES REMAIN ACROSS THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE SERVICE AREA. SOMEWHAT IMPROVED
CONDITIONS HAVE LED TO A REMOVAL OF /D1/ MODERATE DROUGHT IN THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...THOUGH ISOLATED EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS
REMAIN IN WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. ACCORDING TO THE JANUARY 31, 2017
RELEASE OF THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...A PORTION OF BERKSHIRE
COUNTY IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND MOST OF LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN
CONNECTICUT WERE CLASSIFIED AS EXPERIENCING /D3/ OR EXTREME
DROUGHT. SEVERE /D2/ DROUGHT WAS PRESENT IN BERKSHIRE COUNTY
MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS IN ULSTER...DUTCHESS AND COLUMBIA
COUNTIES IN NEW YORK. ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND... ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ TO MODERATE /D1/ DROUGHT
CONDITIONS WERE NOTED. NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY WAS REMOVED FROM
ANY DROUGHT DESIGNATION WITH THE JANUARY 10, 2017 DROUGHT MONITOR
ISSUANCE.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.

SINCE DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND WATER SYSTEMS VARY BY LOCATION...
MOST WATER MANAGEMENT DECISIONS ARE MADE BY STATE AND LOCAL
GOVERNING OFFICIALS.

ON NOVEMBER 1ST THE MASSACHUSETTS OFFICE OF ENERGY AND
ENVIRONMENTAL AFFAIRS WORSENED THE DROUGHT DECLARATION FROM A
DROUGHT WATCH TO A DROUGHT WARNING FOR BERKSHIRE COUNTY. THE
WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT.

ON OCTOBER 26TH THE CONNECTICUT DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC HEALTH
WORSENED THEIR DROUGHT DECLARATION TO A DROUGHT WATCH FOR MUCH OF
THE STATE OF CONNECTICUT...INCLUDING LITCHFIELD COUNTY. THE WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

ON JULY 15TH THE NEW YORK STATE DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL
CONSERVATION ISSUED A DROUGHT WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE STATE OF NEW
YORK. A WARNING WAS SUBSEQUENTLY ISSUED FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE STATE...NOT INCLUDING ANY COUNTIES IN THIS EASTERN NEW YORK
SERVICE AREA. ON NOVEMBER 3RD THE ENTIRE STATE WAS REDUCED BACK
TO A DROUGHT WATCH. THE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT. FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN NEW YORK PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.DEC.NY.GOV/LANDS/5017.HTML

VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN DECLARED BY SOME LOCAL
MUNICIPALITIES ACROSS WESTERN NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN NEW YORK.
CONSULT YOUR LOCAL OFFICIALS FOR MORE INFORMATION.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST 90 DAYS HAS RANGED FROM FOUR INCHES
BELOW NORMAL TO FOUR INCHES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAST 90 DAYS WERE UP TO SIX INCHES ABOVE
NORMAL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH EVERY CLIMATE SITE
REPORTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE FEBRUARY OUTLOOK ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
/CPC/...CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL...BELOW
NORMAL...AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES. THE CPC
MONTHLY DROUGHT OUTLOOK HIGHLIGHTS THE ALBANY SERVICE AREA WITH
AREAS OF DROUGHT REMOVAL IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND UPPER TO
MID HUDSON VALLEY. THE CATSKILLS AS WELL AS WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT WERE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE...DROUGHT
REMAINS BUT IMPROVES...CATEGORY.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

28 DAY STREAMFLOW AVERAGES IN WESTERN NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN NEW
YORK ARE NEAR NORMAL ACCORDING TO U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY /USGS/
STREAMGAGES.

NEW YORK CITY DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION /NYCDEP/
WATER SUPPLY RESERVOIRS ARE AT 77 PERCENT OF CAPACITY...WHICH IS
11 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL STORAGE CAPACITY. THIS IS ELEVEN PERCENT
HIGHER THAN AT THE TIME OF THE LAST DROUGHT STATEMENT...ONE MONTH
AGO.

HUDSON RIVER BLACK RIVER REGULATING DISTRICT RESERVOIRS IN THE
BLACK RIVER WATERSHED...AS WELL AS INDIAN LAKE IN THE UPPER HUDSON
WATERSHED...ARE ALL WITHIN A FOOT OF TARGET ELEVATIONS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. GREAT SACANDAGA LAKE IS ABOUT A FOOT AND A HALF
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

SUMMARY...

WHILE THERE HAS BEEN INCREMENTAL PROGRESS IN IMPROVING LONG TERM
DRYNESS...THE WINTER SNOW PACK...OR LACK THEREOF...BEARS WATCHING.
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS...BELOW NORMAL SNOW THUS FAR MEANS WE ARE RELYING ON A
CONSTANT FEED OF PRECIPITATION EVENTS TO IMPROVE SOIL
MOISTURE...BRING GROUNDWATER LEVELS BACK TO NORMAL IN MANY
LOCATIONS...KEEP STREAM FLOWS NEAR NORMAL...AND FILL RESERVOIRS.
TO CONTINUE SEEING DROUGHT CONDITION IMPROVEMENTS...THESE
PRECIPITATION EVENTS WOULD NEED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME REGULARITY
THROUGH THE SPRING MONTHS AS WE MOVE THROUGH GREENUP AND INTO
PEAK WATER DEMAND.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON OR ABOUT MARCH 2ND OR SOONER IF
NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES...

US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
NORTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.NRCC.CORNELL.EDU
VERMONT STATE CLIMATE OFFICE...HTTP://WWW.UVM.EDU/~LDUPIGNY/SC
NEW YORK STATE CLIMATE OFFICE...HTTP://NYSC.EAS.CORNELL.EDU

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV
US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS...HTTP://WWW.USACE.ARMY.MIL

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS
BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
251 FULLER RD SUITE B-300
ALBANY NY 12203
PHONE...518-435-9580
ALYWEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

BEW


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