Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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AXUS74 KBMX 121650 CCA
DGTBMX
ALC001-005>011-015>021-027-029-037-047-051-055-057-
063-065-073-075-081-085>093-101-105>127-071430-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1050 AM CDT THU JAN 12 2016

... DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA ...

SYNOPSIS...THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATES THAT DROUGHT
CONDITIONS PERIST ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS
PERSIST OVER AN AREA ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM NEAR
LAFAYETTE TO COLUMBIANA TO CLINTON TO PICKENSVILLE TO KENNEDY TO
MANCHESTER. SEVERE DROUGHT COVERS REMAINING AREAS NORTH OF A LINE
FROM BLEECKER TO CLANTON TO COATOPA TO GEIGER. MOST REMAINING AREAS
IN CENTRAL ALABAMA ARE STILL INDICATED TO BE IN MODERATE DROUGHT OR
ABNORMALLY DRY.

THE DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIES DROUGHT WITHIN ONE OF THESE FIVE
CATEGORIES:

D0...ABNORMALLY DRY
D1...MODERATE DROUGHT
D2...SEVERE DROUGHT
D3...EXTREME DROUGHT
D4...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

PRECIPITATION TOTALS VARIED GREATLY AS A WINTER STORM SYSTEM
AFFECTED THE AREA LATE LAST WEEK. WATER EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION
TOTALS RANGED FROM LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH OVER SOME NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA TO AN INCH AND A HALF OR MORE IN THE
SOUTHERN SECTIONS. THIS PRECIPITATION RESULTED IN LITTLE CHANGE IN
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.

SOME PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (INCHES) FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA JANUARY 1ST
THROUGH JANUARY 11TH...

BIRMINGHAM    2.56
MONTGOMERY    7.64
ANNISTON      3.81
TUSCALOOSA    3.41
CALERA        3.67
TROY         10.80

NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED (INCHES) AND DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL
(INCHES) JANUARY 1ST THROUGH JANUARY 11TH...

BIRMINGHAM    1.59  +0.97
MONTGOMERY    1.49  +6.15
ANNISTON      1.43  +2.38
TUSCALOOSA    1.76  +1.65
CALERA        1.65  +2.02
TROY          1.61  +9.19

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

THE LAST UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (USDA) REPORT
ISSUED NOVEMBER 28TH INDICATED THAT AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS HAD BEEN
SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY THE DROUGHT WITH SOME PONDS AND STREAMS
REPORTED TO BE DRYING UP. CATTLE PRODUCERS WERE SAID TO BE
SUPPLEMENTING LIVESTOCK WITH HAY, FEED SUPPLEMENTS AND WATER HAULED
FROM ELSEWHERE. MANY FARMERS HAVE BEEN UNABLE TO PLANT WINTER CROPS
DUE TO THE DROUGHT. RECENTLY...RAINFALL HAS FILLED MANY SMALL
STREAMS AND PONDS THAT HAD DRIED UP DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE DROUGHT.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

THE FIRE DANGER RISK HAS DECREASED ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE DUE TO
RECENT RAINFALL. KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES (KBDI) CURRENTLY RANGE
FROM LESS THAN 100 TO AROUND 300 ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.
VALUES ABOVE 500 INDICATE A SEVERE FIRE DANGER.

WHILE THE STATEWIDE BURN BAN HAS BEEN RESCINDED...THERE REMAINS
CONCERN THAT MANY PINE TREES COULD STILL DIE DUE TO THE DROUGHT THAT
HAS PLAGUED THE STATE. THE STATE FORESTER CONTINUES TO URGE PEOPLE
THAT ARE DOING ANY OUTSIDE BURNING TO FOLLOW SAFETY PRECAUTIONS SUCH
AS NOT LEAVING ANY FIRE UNATTENDED AND HAVING THE PROPER EQUIPMENT
AND PERSONNEL TO CONTROL THE FIRE.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

USGS STREAM GAGE DATA INDICATES THAT STREAM FLOWS HAVE RETURNED TO
BELOW OR MUCH BELOW NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. PERIODIC RAINFALL WILL NEED TO OCCUR FOR STREAM FLOWS
TO RETURN TO NORMAL OR BETTER LEVELS.

MOST MAJOR RESERVOIR POOL LEVELS HAVE REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY OR
RETURNED TO NEAR THEIR NORMAL WINTER LEVELS DURING THE PAST WEEK.
LISTED BELOW ARE CURRENT LEVELS FOR SOME OF THE MAJOR RESERVOIRS
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THOSE FROM JANUARY 5TH:

RESERVOIR             LEVEL FOR 01/12/17     LEVEL FOR 01/05/17

WEISS                       558.6                   558.2
NEELY HENRY                 506.7                   506.8
LOGAN MARTIN                459.9                   459.8
LAY                         396.0                   395.7
MITCHELL                    312.0                   311.7
JORDAN                      251.6                   251.6
R.L.HARRIS                  784.9                   784.9
MARTIN                      483.0                   484.7
SMITH                       498.2                   498.1
BANKHEAD                    255.0                   254.9
HOLT                        186.9                   186.6

SOCIAL IMPACTS...

POOLS HAVE BEEN NEAR THEIR NORMAL WINTER LEVELS AT MOST MAJOR
RESERVOIRS DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS. VOLUNTARY AND MANDATORY WATER
RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN IMPLEMENTED BY SOME WATER BOARDS ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ARE STILL IN EFFECT IN SOME AREAS...WHILE MANY
OTHER AREAS HAVE IMPLEMENTED VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS.

PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE AREA BY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK AND WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO THE AREA.  CUMULATIVE RAINFALL TOTALS
THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND AN INCH.

THE TWO WEEK OUTLOOK...FROM JANUARY 17TH THROUGH JANUARY
25TH...CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION.

THE LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK FOR THE REMAINDER OF JANUARY THROUGH MARCH
IS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION.

THE LATEST SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK THROUGH MARCH INDICATES THAT
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

UPDATE STATEMENT...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND THURSDAY JANUARY 19TH.


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