Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
141 PM EST THU FEB 2 2017

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE DRAMATICALLY IMPROVED DURING THE
MONTH OF JANUARY ACROSS THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER
AREA...

                        ...SYNOPSIS...

RAINFALL FOR THE PAST 30 DAYS ENDING ON JANUARY 31ST RANGED FROM
3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIDLANDS UP TO 6 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA. THERE WERE A FEW ISOLATED
AMOUNTS FROM 10 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS AIKEN AND BURKE COUNTIES.

SEE WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/ FOR MORE DETAILS.

                     ...SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

ON FEBRUARY 02 2017...THE SOUTH CAROLINA FORESTRY COMMISSION
SHOWED SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE KDBI INDEX ACROSS THE STATE.
MOST OF THE STATE HAD VALUES LESS THAN 200.

THE UNITED STATES CORPS OF ENGINEERS WILL CONTINUE TO RELEASE
APPROXIMATELY 4000 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND...CFS...FROM LAKE
THURMOND FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING PERIOD.

CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 30 TO 45 DAYS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA. THE DROUGHT HAS
DIMINISHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER
AREA. ONLY THE EXTREME WESTERN MIDLANDS AND NORTHERN CENTRAL
SAVANNAH RIVER AREA REMAIN IN D0...ABNORMALLY DRY TO
D1...MODERATE DROUGHT. THE DRIEST COUNTIES CONTINUE TO BE FROM
WESTERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY SOUTHWARD ACROSS NEWBERRY COUNTY INTO
EDGEFIELD...MCCORMICK...LINCOLN AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES.

GO TO WWW.DROUGHT.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE DROUGHT ACROSS
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

                 ...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...

THE CROP MOISTURE INDEX HAS SHOWN SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE
SHORT TERM CONDITIONS...UP TO 4 WEEKS...ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
GEORGIA AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA. ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CAROLINA
THE SOIL IS ABNORMALLY MOIST AND SOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER THE
SOIL IS WET.

                          ...DETAILS...

HERE IS A BREAKDOWN OF THE CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA.

D1...MODERATE DROUGHT COVERED JUST THE EXTREME NORTHERN CSRA AND
WESTERN MIDLANDS. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF
LINCOLN...MCCORMICK...NEWBERRY AND THE FAR WESTERN AREA OF
FAIRFIELD COUNTY.

D0...ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS COVERED PARTS OF THE CSRA AND
WESTERN MIDLANDS. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF
MCDUFFIE...COLUMBIA...EDGEFIELD AND FAIRFIELD COUNTIES.

THE REMAINDER OF THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA
SHOWED NO DROUGHT CONDITIONS. CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED
SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST MONTH WITH THE INCREASED FREQUENCY OF
RAINFALL EVENTS.

GO TO WWW.DROUGHT.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

              ...SOUTH CAROLINA DROUGHT COMMITTEE...

THE SOUTH CAROLINA DROUGHT RESPONSE COMMITTEE MET ON FEBRUARY 02
2017. MUCH OF THE UPSTATE AND PIEDMONT REMAINED IN SEVERE TO
MODERATE DROUGHT. THE AREAS THAT SAW IMPROVEMENT WERE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MIDLANDS...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA AND
THE LOWCOUNTRY. THE COUNTIES THAT REMAINED IN THE SEVERE CATEGORY
WERE OCONEE...PICKENS AND ANDERSON COUNTIES. THE COMMITTEE IS
EXPECTED TO MEET AGAIN IN LATE MARCH OR EARLY APRIL.

                    ...GROUND WATER CONDITIONS...

THE GROUND WATER NETWORK MAINTAINED BY THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY WAS USED IN THIS REPORT. GROUND WATER LEVELS
REPORTED ON FEBRUARY 2ND SHOW MANY OF THE WELLS CONTINUING TO
FALL. HOWEVER, SOME IMPROVEMENT WAS SEEN IN THE WELLS IN
LANCASTER...SUMTER AND RICHMOND COUNTIES.

A HIGHER NUMBER MEANS A LOWER WATER TABLE AND THEREFORE LESS
GROUNDWATER. A MINUS DIFFERENCE INDICATES LESS GROUND WATER.

AIKEN COUNTY - 430 WELL NEAR JACKSON
JANUARY     04 2017 163.76 FEET
FEBRUARY    02 2017 164.64 FEET
DIFFERENCE      MINUS 0.88 FEET

MCCORMICK COUNTY - 52 BAKER CREEK STATE PARK WELL
JANUARY     04 2017  39.70 FEET
FEBRUARY    02 2017  39.93 FEET
DIFFERENCE      MINUS 0.23 FEET

SUMTER COUNTY - 355 WELL NEAR DALZELL
JANUARY     04 2017  13.76 FEET
FEBRUARY    02 2017  13.74 FEET
DIFFERENCE      PLUS  0.02 FEET

KERSHAW COUNTY - 433 NEAR LIBERTY HILL
JANUARY     04 2017   54.36 FEET
FEBRUARY    02 2017   54.42 FEET
DIFFERENCE      MINUS  0.06 FEET

LANCASTER COUNTY - 498 WELL LANCASTER COUNTY AIRPORT
JANUARY     04 2017   34.37 FEET
FEBRUARY    02 2017   32.68 FEET
DIFFERENCE       PLUS  1.69 FEET

RICHMOND COUNTY - 30AA04 WELL NEAR MCBEAN
JANUARY     04 2017  134.11 FEET
FEBRUARY    02 2017  133.08 FEET
DIFFERENCE       PLUS  1.03 FEET

               ...RIVER AND STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS...

LOOKING AT THE 14 DAY STREAM FLOW AVERAGE COMPARED TO
HISTORICAL STREAMFLOWS FOR FEBRUARY 02 2017 SHOWS AROUND
AROUND 30 PERCENT REPORTED FLOWS THAT ARE LESS THAN THE
25 PERCENTILE RANGE. THE LOWER SANTEE RIVER BASIN AND
THE EDISTO RIVER BASIN INDICATED CONDITIONS ABOVE NORMAL
TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL.

MANY OF THE RIVERS WHERE STREAM FLOW WAS BELOW NORMAL FOR
THE HISTORICAL PERIOD ARE THOSE WITH RESERVOIRS. THIS
INCLUDES THE MIDDLE SALUDA RIVER BASIN...SAVANNAH RIVER
BASIN AND CATAWBA-WATEREE BASIN.

DATA SOURCE...UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY.

                        ...RESERVOIRS...

MOST OF THE AREA RESERVOIRS SHOWED INCREASES IN POOL ELEVATION
DURING THE PERIOD. THE EXCEPTIONS WERE LAKE GREENWOOD AND
LAKE WATEREE.

LAKE RUSSELL                              LAKE THURMOND
JANUARY  04 2017 471.67 FEET               318.91 FEET
FEBRUARY 02 2017 474.27 FEET               320.67 FEET
DIFFERENCE  PLUS   2.60 FEET           PLUS  1.76 FEET

LAKE GREENWOOD                            LAKE MURRAY
JANUARY  04 2017 435.23 FEET               355.33 FEET
FEBRUARY 02 2017 434.60 FEET               356.80 FEET
DIFFERENCE  MINUS  0.63 FEET           PLUS  1.47 FEET

LAKE MARION NEAR PINEVILLE                LAKE WATEREE
JANUARY  04 2017  73.95 FEET                98.88 FEET
FEBRUARY 02 2017  75.20 FEET                98.13 FEET
DIFFERENCE  PLUS   1.25 FEET           MINUS 0.75 FEET

NOTE...LAKE LEVELS ARE BASED ON RECENT RAINFALL...RELEASES AND
LOCAL POWER DEMANDS.

LAKE RUSSELL AND LAKE THURMOND WERE BELOW OR NEAR THE GUIDE
CURVE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. LAKE WATEREE WAS AROUND 3 FEET
ABOVE THE TARGET POOL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

DATA FOR THIS SEGMENT WAS GATHERED FROM THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE UNITED STATES ARMY CORP OF ENGINEERS AND
DUKE ENERGY.

                    ...CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE PRECIPITATION TOTALS ENDING JANUARY 31 2017

STATION    PRECIPITATION     DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL   PERCENT OF
                                                      NORMAL

COLUMBIA SC  7.04 INCHES       PLUS 3.46 INCHES     197 PERCENT
AUGUSTA GA  10.13 INCHES       PLUS 6.22 INCHES     259 PERCENT

              ...PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

NEAR TERM...THROUGH FEBRUARY 06...A NEARLY ZONAL FLOW WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ACROSS REGION ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN CLOSE TO NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ACROSS THE MIDLANDS AND CSRA ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 0.75
INCHES WESTERN AREAS TO 0.25 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN AREAS.

PLEASE SEE THE GRIDDED FORECASTS FOR THE CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE
NEXT 7 DAYS AT WEATHER.GOV/CAE.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD FEBRUARY 09 TO 15 CALLS
FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW AND NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH
A 33 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE 30-DAY OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY 2017 INDICATES A 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH EQUAL CHANCES OF
ABOVE...BELOW AND NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE 3-MONTH OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY...MARCH AND APRIL CALLS FOR A
33 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH A
A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

GO TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER WEB PAGE AT
WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV IN LOWER CASE LETTERS FOR MORE DETAILS AND
THE LATEST OUTLOOKS.

               ...HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

THE OUTLOOK CALL FOR WARMER TEMPERATURES BUT NOT A SIGNIFICANT
CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL. IF THE RAINFALL CONTINUES CLOSE
TO NORMAL ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE MIDLANDS OF SOUTH
CAROLINA SLOW IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT WILL CONTINUE.

LONGER TERM OUTLOOKS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR NORMAL TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION. A SHIFT TO BELOW
NORMAL RAINFALL WILL SLOW ANY IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT AND
COULD POSSIBLY LEAD TO A SLIGHT WORSENING OF CONDITIONS FROM LATE
WINTER INTO THE LATE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING PERIOD.


THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE THURSDAY
MARCH 2ND 2017 UNLESS THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE
WEEKLY DROUGHT MONITOR.

GO TO WWW.DROUGHT.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.


                      ...RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT DROUGHT MAY BE FOUND AT THE
FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP:WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
COLUMBIA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAE/DROUGHT.HTML
SC FORESTRY COMMISSION...WWW.STATE.SC.US/FOREST/

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND LAKE INFORMATION:
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS
USACE...HTTP:/WATER.SAS.USACE.ARMY.MIL/HOME
USGS...HTTP://WWW.USGS.GOV

                      ...ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT
INVOLVING NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION
SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICE...THE
USDA...USACE...DUKE ENERGY... SANTEE COOPER...SOUTH CAROLINA
ELECTRIC AND GAS AND THE USGS.

                    ...QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
STATEMENT
PLEASE CONTACT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2909 AVIATION WAY
WEST COLUMBIA SC 29170
PHONE: 803-822-8135
CAEWX@NOAA.GOV
LEONARD.VAUGHAN@NOAA.GOV

$$



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