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Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
000 AXUS73 KEAX 102149 DGTEAX KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-043 >046-053-054-112149- DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 448 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 ...THE COOL WET SPRING HAS NEARLY WIPED OUT DROUGHT IN THE REGION... .SYNOPSIS... THE COOL AND WET SPRING HAS CONTINUED IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS WITH MANY AREAS FROM CENTRAL THROUGH WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS SEEING ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. IN SOME CASES THIS HAS BEEN CLOSE TO 200 PERCENT OF THE NORMAL AMOUNT FOR THIS PERIOD OF TIME. THE EXCEPTIONS WERE A STRIP FROM EXTREME NORTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO FAR NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OR TWO OF COUNTIES IN MISSOURI. THE PERSISTENTLY COOL AND WET CONDITIONS HAVE ELIMINATED DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF MISSOURI... WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FAR NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE... WHICH REMAINS IN A MODERATE DROUGHT (D1). EASTERN KANSAS HAS ALSO IMPROVED BUT STILL REMAINS IN ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) OR MODERATE DROUGHT LEVELS. * THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON A WEEKLY BASIS...AS LONG THE REGION REMAINS IN MODERATE DROUGHT OR WORSE. HOWEVER... THIS STATEMENT MAY BE DELAYED DUE TO CURRENT WEATHER CONCERNS AND/OR STAFFING AVAILABILITY. THE NEXT SCHEDULED UPDATE IS AROUND MAY 16TH. .LOCAL AREAS AFFECTED... ONLY PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS REMAIN IN MODERATE DROUGHT (D1). OTHERWISE... CONDITIONS IMPROVE DRAMATICALLY TO THE EAST. ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) - PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS. COUNTIES INCLUDED IN THE ABNORMALLY DRY AREA... IN MISSOURI: A PART OF OR ALL OF ATCHISON... NODAWAY... WORTH... HOLT... ANDREW... GENTRY... DEKALB... BUCHANAN... CLINTON... AND PLATTE. IN KANSAS: A PART OF OR ALL OF LEAVENWORTH... WYANDOTTE... JOHNSON... LINN... AND MIAMI. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) - PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND PARTS OF EASTERN KANSAS. COUNTIES INCLUDED IN THE SEVERE DROUGHT AREA... IN MISSOURI: A PART OF OR ALL OF NODAWAY... WORTH... HOLT... ANDREW... GENTRY... PLATTE AND BUCHANAN. IN KANSAS: A PART OF OR ALL OF DONIPHAN... ATCHISON... LEAVENWORTH... WYANDOTTE... JOHNSON... AND MIAMI. FOR THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR INFORMATION GO TO: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ .STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS...MUCH OF NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI HAS BEEN DECLARED A DISASTER DUE TO THE DROUGHT. SITE AT: HTTP://WWW.DNR.MO.GOV/ENV/WRC/DROUGHTUPDATE.HTM ALL OF KANSAS HAS BEEN DECLARED A DISASTER DUE TO THE DROUGHT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CONCERNING KANSAS CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE KANSAS WATER OFFICE WEB SITE AT: HTTP://WWW.KWO.ORG/ ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT FEDERAL DISASTER DECLARATIONS DUE TO THE DROUGHT AND DROUGHT ASSISTANCE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT THE FARM SERVICE AGENCY HOMEPAGE AT: WWW.FSA.USDA.GOV .CLIMATE SUMMARY...BELOW ARE SOME PRECIPITATION TOTALS FROM SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS MISSOURI AND KANSAS FOR THE APRIL 1ST 2012 TO MAY 8TH 2013 PERIOD OF TIME. LOCATION PRECIP NORMAL DEPARTURE % NORMAL -------- -------- ------ --------- -------- KANSAS CITY (MCI) 25.09 43.89 -18.80 57 KANSAS CITY (MKC) 23.94 44.09 -20.15 54 OLATHE (IXD) 31.01 45.98 -14.97 67 ST. JOSEPH 24.05 40.87 -16.82 59 LEE`S SUMMIT 32.23 47.73 -15.50 68 OLATHE(OJC) 30.92 45.53 -14.61 68 KIRKSVILLE 39.17 44.60 -5.43 88 SEDALIA 37.02 46.69 -9.67 79 CHILLICOTHE 37.62 43.40 -5.78 87 YEAR TO DATE TOTALS THROUGH MAY 8TH 2013. LOCATION PRECIP NORMAL DEPARTURE % NORMAL -------- -------- ------ --------- -------- KANSAS CITY (MCI) 10.56 9.93 0.63 106 KANSAS CITY (MKC) 7.68 9.80 -2.12 78 OLATHE (IXD) 11.37 10.41 0.96 109 ST. JOSEPH 7.57 9.01 -1.44 84 LEE`S SUMMIT 11.34 10.75 0.59 105 OLATHE(OJC) 10.59 10.81 -0.22 98 KIRKSVILLE 17.08 10.64 6.44 161 SEDALIA 14.65 11.79 3.16 127 CHILLICOTHE 15.54 10.06 5.48 154 PRECIPITATION DEFICIT AND PERCENT OR NORMAL GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE FROM THE FOLLOWING WEBSITE: WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/ .SURFACE MOISTURE CONDITIONS... FOR THE STATE OF MISSOURI... TOPSOIL CONDITIONS WERE RATED 2% SHORT WITH SUBSOIL CONDITIONS RATED AS 10% SHORT OR VERY SHORT. FOR THE STATE OF KANSAS... TOP SOIL CONDITIONS WERE RATED AS 33% SHORT OR VERY SHORT AND SUBSOIL CONDITIONS WERE RATED AS 57% SHORT OR VERY SHORT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SOIL MOISTURE CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER(CPC) WEB SITE AT: HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/SOILMST_MONITORING .RIVER AND STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS...DUE TO A COOL AND WET SPRING... MANY OF THE RIVERS IN MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS ARE RUNNING AT NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON RIVER AND STREAM FLOW CAN BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING WEB SITE: HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV/ .AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS... FOR THE STATE OF MISSOURI... THROUGH MAY 5TH... HAY AND OTHER FORAGES WAS RATED AS 67% SHORT OR VERY SHORT... STOCK WATER WAS RATED AS 2% SHORT... RANGE AND PASTURES WERE RATES AS 20% POOR OR VERY POOR. 22% OF THE CORN CROP HAD BEEN PLANTED... 27 DAYS BEHIND LAST YEAR AND 18 DAYS BEHIND NORMAL. WINTER WHEAT WAS RATED AS 5% POOR OR VERY POOR. FOR THE STATE OF KANSAS... THROUGH MAY 5TH... THE WINTER WHEAT CROP WAS RATED AS 40% POOR TO VERY POOR. 62% OF RANGE AND PASTURES WERE RATED AS POOR TO VERY POOR. 48% OF STOCK WATER SUPPLY WAS IN SHORT TO VERY SHORT SUPPLY. HAY AND OTHER FORAGES SUPPLY WAS 71% SHORT OR VERY SHORT. 17% OF THE CORN CROP WAS PLANTED WHICH IS WELL BEHIND LAST YEAR AND THE NORMAL VALUE. ADDITIONAL AGRICULTURAL INFORMATION CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR DROUGHT REPORTER WEB SITES AT: WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV/PUBLICATIONS/ HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU .FIRE DANGER IMPACTS... THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI) IS A DROUGHT INDEX THAT IS SPECIFICALLY RELATED TO FIRE POTENTIAL. THE KBDI IS BROKEN INTO 4 CATEGORIES WHICH INDICATE THE SUSCEPTIBILITY OF GROUND FUELS TO FIRE DANGER. BELOW ARE THE 4 CATEGORIES AND A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF EACH. KDBI 0 TO 200 - LOW.......WET WITH LITTLE DANGER OF FIRE INITIATION KDBI 201 TO 400 - MODERATE..DRYING OCCURRING WITH SOME FIRE DANGER KDBI 401 TO 600 - HIGH......GROUND COVER DRY AND WILL BURN READILY KDBI 601 TO 800 - EXTREME...DEAD AND LIVE FUELS WILL BURN READILY THE CURRENT KBDI: EASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI: LOW PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX: PDSI IS A LONG TERM DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX. THE LATEST WEEKLY PDSI INDICATES NORMAL CONDITIONS IN NORTHEAST KANSAS AND UNUSUALLY TO VERY MOIST CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI. 1000-HOUR DEAD FUEL MOISTURE DEPICTS LEVELS GREATER THAN 30%. 100-HOUR DEAD FUEL MOISTURE ALSO DEPICTS LEVELS IN THE 16-20% RANGE. 10-HOUR DEAD FUEL MOISTURE DEPICTS VALUES IN THE 16-20% RANGE. MORE INFORMATION RELATED TO FIRE DANGER IMPACTS CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE WILDLAND FIRE ASSESSMENT SYSTEM (WFAS) WEB SITE AT: HTTP://WWW.WFAS.NET/ .PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...THE 8-14 DAY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS FOR MAY 18TH THROUGH MAY 24TH CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE 30 DAY OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTH OF MAY CALLS FOR SLIGHTLY ELEVATED CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND THE WESTERN HALF OF MISSOURI AND EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE 90 DAY OUTLOOKS... FOR THE MONTHS OF MAY THROUGH JULY... INDICATE A GREATER THAN 40% CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. MORE INFORMATION CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS (CPC) OUTLOOK WEB SITE AT: HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FORECASTS .ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...COOPERATIVE AND VOLUNTEER OBSERVATIONS...USDAFS...THE USDA AND USGS. .RELATED WEB SITES... LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE AND WATER INFORMATION : HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/ ADDITIONAL WATER INFORMATION : USGS - HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/ COE - HTTP://WWW.NWO.USACE.ARMY.MIL/ US DROUGHT MONITOR : HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER : HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/ .QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT: CHRIS BOWMAN DROUGHT FOCAL POINT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL CHRIS.BOWMAN@NOAA.GOV.NEXT ISSUANCE... SCHEDULED AROUND APRIL 25TH. $$ CDB
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