Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Tiyan, Guam

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AXGM70 PGUM 260313
DGTGUM

GUZ001>004-090200
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
PMZ161-PMZ171>174-PMZ181-090200
KOROR PALAU-YAP-CHUUK-POHNPEI-KOSRAE-MAJURO-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
100 PM CHST THU MAY 26 2016

...BENEFICIAL RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER SOUTHERN MICRONESIA BUT
EXTREME DROUGHT PERSISTS FOR NORTHERN AREAS...

IN PARTICULAR...DROUGHT DEEPENED FOR THE FAR NORTHERN MARSHALL
ISLANDS ALONG WITH THE MARIANA ISLANDS AND PARTS OF YAP STATE.

SYNOPSIS...
THE FAR NORTHERN MARSHALL ISLANDS REMAIN IN A VERY DRY WEATHER
PATTERN AND RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER PERSISTS ACROSS THE MARIANA
ISLANDS AND PARTS OF YAP STATE. THE EXPERIMENTAL DROUGHT ASSESSMENT
OF THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATES SLIGHT IMPROVEMENTS FOR SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS MICRONESIA BUT MORE RECOVERY TIME IS NEEDED EVEN
WHERE SUBSTANTIAL RAINS HAVE FALLEN. OVERALL...DROUGHT CONDITIONS
HAVE IMPROVED FOR MANY ISLANDS OF MICRONESIA WHILE THEY HAVE DEEPEND
FOR THE MORE NORTHERN AREAS.

THE UPPER-LEVEL WIND FLOW ABOVE 20 THOUSAND FEET IS NOT QUITE AS
CONDUCIVE FOR SHOWERS THIS WEEK AS LAST WEEK. HIGH-ALTITUDE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NORMAL BY THE SUMMER SEASON AND HELP
PRODUCE SHOWERS AT TIMES ACROSS MICRONESIA AS THIS YEAR PROGRESSES.

ONE OF THE STRONGEST EL NINO EVENTS IN RECORDED HISTORY IS FINALLY
WEAKENING ACROSS THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN. THE EL NINO ADVISORY
ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) DOES REMAIN IN EFFECT
WHILE A LA NINA WATCH ALSO IS IN EFFECT. THIS EL NINO EVENT HAS
PEAKED AND IS WEAKENING...BUT THE ASSOCIATED DROUGHT WILL CONTINUE
TO AFFECT SOME MICRONESIAN ISLANDS THROUGH LATE SPRING AND EARLY
SUMMER. LATEST CLIMATE MODEL PROJECTIONS INDICATE THIS EL NINO WILL
TRANSITION TO ENSO-NEUTRAL BY SUMMER MONTHS AND LIKELY TO LA NINA
STATUS BY THIS FALL THROUGH THE WINTER MONTHS.

DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO WORSEN ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF
MICRONESIA. BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE FOR AREAS ALONG AND
NORTH OF 10 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE. THIS INCLUDES GUAM AND THE
COMMONWEALTH OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS...NORTHERN ATOLLS OF
THE MARSHALL ISLANDS AND PARTS OF YAP STATE. BENEFICIAL RAINS HAVE
RECENTLY FALLEN ON THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU ALONG WITH YAP...CHUUK...
POHNPEI...AND KOSRAE STATES AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MARSHALL
ISLANDS. BUT...THERE WILL STILL BE SOME PERIODS OF DRY WEATHER
ACROSS ALL OF MICRONESIA FROM NOW THROUGH THE SUMMER MONTHS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS....

THE MARIANA ISLANDS...

THE COMMONWEALTH OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS...
RAINFALL SO FAR IN MAY HAS BEEN LOW AND SPOTTY. COMPUTER MODELS
INDICATE BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT FEW WEEKS...
EXCEPT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL COULD RETURN TO FARTHER NORTH ISLANDS
EARLY IN JUNE. WATER SUPPLIES NEED TO BE MONITORED VERY CLOSELY AND
WATER CONSERVATION IS STILL HIGHLY ENCOURAGED. DRYING AND YELLOWING
OF FOOD CROPS AND VEGETATION WILL BECOME WORSE AND GRASS FIRES WILL
INCREASE. LIVESTOCK ON TINIAN MAY BECOME STRESSED AS FOOD SOURCES
DRY UP. WATER WELLS ON SAIPAN COULD SEE AN INCREASE IN SALINITY AS
THE DROUGHT PROGRESSES.

GUAM...
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL WEEKS.
ONLY 1.08 INCHES HAS FALLEN AT THE AIRPORT SO FAR IN MAY...WHICH IS
ABOUT ONE THIRD OF NORMAL. WATER SUPPLIES SHOULD BE MONITORED AND
SOME WATER CONSERVATION IS ENCOURAGED. SURFACE WATER SUPPLIES ACROSS
SOUTHERN GUAM WILL CONTINUE TO DWINDLE AND DRINKING WATER PRODUCTION
IN THE SOUTH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT. THE DRYING AND
YELLOWING OF FOOD CROPS AND VEGETATION WILL BECOME WORSE AND THE
NUMBER OF GRASS FIRES WILL INCREASE IN THE COMING WEEKS. SURFACE
CRACKS HAVE EMERGED ACROSS TERRAIN MADE OF CLAY AND THIS INDICATES
THE DEPLETION OF SOIL MOISTURE SO THAT PLANTS WILL SEE INCREASED
STRESS.

FOR THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU...

THE PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU HAS DECLARED A STATE OF
EMERGENCY DUE TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

KOROR AND BABELDAOB...
KOROR WAS IN EXTREME DROUGHT (DROUGHT LEVEL 3 OF 4)...BUT THE MAIN
ISLANDS HAVE RECEIVED GOOD RAINFALL RECENTLY. RAINFALL FOR THE KOROR
WEATHER OFFICE THUS FAR FOR MAY IS 12.53 INCHES WHICH IS 3.96 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL. FOR THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO...RAINFALL WILL BE SPOTTY AND
VARIABLE. WATER CONSERVATION IS STILL RECOMMENDED AND SOME WATER
RATIONING MAY STILL BE NEEDED. THE NGERIMEL RESERVOIR HAS LIKELY
RECOVERED FROM ITS VERY LOW LEVELS AND FLOW FROM THE NGERIKIIL RIVER
SHOULD BE MUCH IMPROVED. RECENT RAINS HAVE REDUCED THE THREAT OF
GRASS FIRES AND STRESS ON VEGETATION. ANOTHER PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER
IS STILL POSSIBLE BEFORE THE NORMAL RAINS RETURN.

OUTLYING ISLANDS OF PALAU INCLUDING KAYANGEL...
SUBSTANTIAL RAIN HAS FALLEN ON ANGAUR...SONSOROL AND THE SOUTHERN
ISLANDS. BUT...RAINFALL WILL BE SPOTTY AND VARIABLE OVER THE NEXT
FEW WEEKS AND DROUGHT RECOVERY WILL TAKE MORE TIME. WATER SUPPLIES
ARE STILL AT RISK AND CONSERVATION MEASURES SHOULD CONTINUE TO AVOID
DEPLETION OF WELLS AND CATCHMENTS. WELLS SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR
EXCESSIVE SALINITY.

DAMAGE TO FOOD CROPS IS LIKELY ON THE SMALLER ISLANDS AND ATOLLS OF
PALAU. THE HEALTH OF FOOD CROPS SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED...AND
FOOD ASSISTANCE COULD BECOME AN ISSUE IF DAMAGES TO PLANTS AND
FRUITS ARE IRREVERSIBLE. WATER CATCHMENTS SHOULD BE MONITORED VERY
CLOSELY IN THE COMING WEEKS. DRINKING WATER FROM CATCHMENTS AND
WELLS MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR THE LESS POPULATED ISLANDS AND ATOLLS.

FOR THE FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA (FSM)...

THE PRESIDENT OF THE FSM HAS DECLARED A STATE OF EMERGENCY DUE TO
THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

YAP STATE....

THE GOVERNOR OF YAP STATE HAS DECLARED A STATE OF EMERGENCY DUE TO
THE ONGOING DROUGHT.

YAP...
RECENT RAINFALL HAS PROVIDED RELIEF ACROSS MOST OF YAP STATE...BUT
DROUGHT IMPACTS CONTINUE ACROSS YAP STATE. YAP REMAINS IN EXTREME
DROUGHT (DROUGHT LEVEL 3 OF 4) BECAUSE LONG-TERM IMPACTS WILL TAKE
MORE TIME TO IMPROVE...AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. WATER SUPPLIES STILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AND
WATER CONSERVATION IS RECOMMENDED. THE SITUATION FOR GRASS FIRES AND
THE GROWTH OF VEGETATION SHOULD BE IMPROVING AND WATER LEVELS IN THE
THE YAP ISLAND RESERVOIR HAS LIKELY INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY.

OUTLYING ISLANDS OF YAP STATE...
RECENT RAINFALL HAS PROVIDED RELIEF FOR THE OUTER ISLANDS AND ATOLLS
OF YAP STATE INCLUDING ULITHI...FAIS...FARAULEP...EAURIPIK...WOLEAI
AND SATAWAL. EXTREME DROUGHT (DROUGHT LEVEL 3 OF 4) PERSISTS BECAUSE
LONG-TERM IMPACTS WILL TAKE MORE TIME TO IMPROVE...AND BELOW NORMAL
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. WATER SUPPLIES ARE
STILL AT RISK AND CONSERVATION MEASURES MAY BE NEEDED TO AVOID THE
DEPLETION OF WELLS AND CATCHMENTS. ALSO...WELLS SHOULD BE MONITORED
FOR EXCESSIVE SALINITY AND EMERGENCY DRINKING WATER MAY STILL BE
NEEDED FOR SOME OF THE OUTER ISLANDS OF YAP STATE.

LAND AND SOIL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY IMPROVING...BUT DAMAGE
TO FOOD CROPS HAS LIKELY OCCURRED ON MOST ISLANDS AND ATOLLS OF YAP
STATE. THE HEALTH OF FOOD CROPS SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED AND FOOD
ASSISTANCE COULD BECOME A REQUIREMENT IF DAMAGE TO PLANTS AND FRUITS
ARE IRREVERSIBLE.

CHUUK STATE...

THE GOVERNOR OF CHUUK STATE HAS DECLARED A DISASTER EMERGENCY DUE TO
THE ONGOING DROUGHT IMPACTS.

THE CHUUK WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE HAS RECEIVED 11.54 INCHES OF RAIN
THUS FAR IN MAY WHICH IS 2.18 INCHES ABVE NORMAL. CONDITIONS HAVE
IMPROVED FOR CHUUK STATE BUT MORE RAINFALL AND MORE TIME IS NEEDED
FOR COMPLETE RECOVERY FROM DROUGHT CONDITIONS. WATER CONSERVATION
MAY STILL BE NEEDED FOR WENO ISLAND AND TOL DUE TO THEIR LARGE
POPULATIONS AND SMALL COASTAL PLAINS AND AQUIFERS.

AS A CAUTION...RESIDENTS MAY STILL NEED TO BOIL WATER TO PREVENT
GASTRO-INTESTINAL DISEASES. ALSO...EMERGENCY TRANSPORT OF DRINKING
WATER MAY STILL BE NEEDED FOR THE NORTHERN ATOLLS IF EXTENDED DRY
WEATHER RETURNS AND SINCE DROUGHT MAY PERSIST ACROSS NORTHERN CHUUK
STATE DURING THE COMING WEEKS. CONDITIONS SHOULD BE IMPROVING BUT
DROUGHT IMPACTS TO FOOD CROPS AND VEGETATION WILL LINGER AND THE
HEALTH OF FOOD CROPS SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED.

POHNPEI STATE...

THE GOVERNOR OF POHNPEI STATE HAS DECLARED A STATE OF EMERGENCY
DUE TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT IMPACTS.

RAINFALL DURING THE MONTH OF MAY HAS BEEN BENEFICIAL FOR MOST OF
POHNPEI STATE...BUT ABNORMALLY LONG-TERM DRY WEATHER REMAINS ACROSS
POHNPEI STATE AND COMPLETE DROUGHT RECOVERY WILL TAKE MORE TIME. THE
POHNPEI WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE HAS RECEIVED 15.88 INCHES THUS FAR IN
MAY AND THAT IS 0.88 INCH ABOVE NORMAL. YEARLY RAINFALL REMAINS MUCH
BELOW NORMAL AND PERIODS OF BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL COULD STILL OCCUR
IN THE COMING WEEKS. WATER CONSERVATION IS ENCOURAGED. AGRICULTURAL
CROPS ARE LIKELY BEING GROWN AT HIGHER AND STEEPER ELEVATIONS...SO
CLAY SOIL THAT IS BARE OF VEGETATION COULD BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO DEADLY
MUDSLIDES DURING HEAVY RAIN EVENTS.

THE NUKUORO AND KAPINGAMARANGI AREAS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED IN
CASE DRIER WEATHER DEVELOPS ALONG THE EQUATOR.

KOSRAE STATE....

THE GOVERNOR OF KOSRAE STATE HAS DECLARED A STATE OF EMERGENCY TO
ADDRESS THE DROUGHT IMPACTS.

RAINFALL DURING THE MONTH OF MAY HAS BEEN ADEQUATE...BUT ABNORMALLY
LONG-TERM DRY WEATHER STILL AFFECTS KOSRAE STATE. A COMPLETE RETURN
TO MORE NORMAL RAINFALL CONDITIONS WILL TAKE MORE TIME...AND IT IS
ADVISABLE TO MONITOR AND CONSERVE WATER SUPPLIES AND PREPARE FOR
PERIODS OF DRY WEATHER IN THE NEXT FEW WEEKS.

THE REPUBLIC OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS...

THE PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS DECLARED A
STATE OF DISASTER DUE TO THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS THERE. MANY ATOLLS
HAVE REQUESTED AND OBTAINED ASSISTANCE. THE MARSHALL ISLANDS REMAIN
IN SEVERE OR EXTREME DROUGHT. IT WILL TAKE SIGNIFICANTLY MORE TIME
FOR RECOVERY EVEN THOUGH HELPFUL RAINS HAVE RECENTLY OCCURRED.

NORTHERN MARSHALL ISLANDS...
THE NORTHERN ATOLLS INCLUDING WOTJE...AUR...UTIRIK...KWAJALEIN AND
EBEYE...BIKINI...AND ENEWETAK RECEIVED ONLY A FEW TRADE-WIND SHOWERS.
EXTREME TO EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT PERSISTS WITH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL WEEKS AT LEAST. WATER SUPPLIES ARE
GREATLY AT RISK AND CONSERVATION MEASURES ARE ESSENTIAL TO AVOID
DEPLETION OF WELLS AND CATCHMENTS. WELLS SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR
EXCESSIVE SALINITY. DRINKING WATER AND REVERSE OSMOSIS SYSTEMS HAVE
BEEN TRANSPORTED TO SEVERAL NORTHERN ISLANDS AND ATOLLS IN THE
REPUBLIC OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS.

MAJURO AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MARSHALL ISLANDS...
MAJURO...JALUIT...AILINGALAPLAP AND NEARBY ATOLLS HAVE RECEIVED
BENEFICIAL SHOWERS RECENTLY...BUT WEATHER WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRIER
THAN NORMAL IN THE COMING WEEKS. MAJURO HAS RECEIVED 10.04 INCHES OF
RAINFALL THUS FAR IN MAY WHICH IS 2.10 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. OTHER
ATOLLS HAVE MORE VARIABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WATER SUPPLIES ARE STILL
AT RISK AND CONSERVATION MEASURES ARE ESSENTIAL TO AVOID DEPLETION
OF WELLS AND CATCHMENTS. WELLS SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR EXCESSIVE
SALINITY. WATER RATIONING AND DRINKING WATER ASSISTANCE MAY YET BE
NEEDED ON THE MORE POPULATED ATOLLS.

SEVERE DAMAGE TO FOOD CROPS LIKELY OCCURRED ACROSS THE MARSHALL
ISLANDS. THE HEALTH OF FOOD CROPS SHOULD BE MONITORED...AND FOOD
ASSISTANCE COULD BECOME NECESSARY IF THE DAMAGE TO PLANTS AND FRUITS
IS IRREVERSIBLE. LIMITED FRESH WATER MAY RESULT IN A DETERIORATION
OF PEOPLES HEALTH WITH AN INCREASE IN PINK EYE AND GASTRO-INTESTINAL
PROBLEMS.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE EL NINO PATTERN IS WEAKENING AND SHOULD TRANSITION TO NEUTRAL
CONDITIONS IN THE COMING WEEKS AND LIKELY TO LA NINA CONDITIONS BY
THE FALL MONTHS. PERIODS OF BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE FOR
MICRONESIA THE NEXT ONE OR TWO MONTHS BEFORE THE RAINFALL PATTERNS
GRADUALLY RETURN TO NORMAL. THE SOUTHERN ISLANDS AND ATOLLS WILL SEE
RELIEF BEFORE THE MORE NORTHERN ISLANDS AND ATOLLS.

LATEST AVAIABLE RAINFALL REPORTS IN INCHES ARE AS FOLLOWS...

                FEB    MAR    APR    MAY     MAY TO DATE  MAY TO DATE
                                     (1-25)  NORMAL       % NORMAL

KOROR WSO       2.55   2.68   9.90  12.53     9.13        137
PELELIU         1.93   2.63   6.35   9.62     9.72         99
YAP WSO         1.77   0.70   2.56   7.62     6.60        115
ULITHI          2.61   0.62   3.24   5.25     6.60         80
WOLEAI          0.22   0.58   2.41   7.33     7.96         93
GUAM INTL AP    3.63   1.63   1.31   1.08     3.38         32
ROTA            2.07   4.36   0.91   1.81     5.13         35
TINIAN          1.61   3.00   0.97   0.54     2.20         25
SAIPAN          2.72   3.29   1.78   2.06     2.34         88
CHUUK           2.59   7.08  10.73  11.95     9.14        131
FANANU          1.74   0.61   4.26   8.84     8.23        107
ONUON           2.56   0.36   4.05   8.91      NA          NA
PULUWAT         4.81   1.24   2.71   7.53     7.92         95
LUKUNOR         5.46   7.70  12.83  11.72    11.57        101
POHNPEI         4.64   5.76  11.01  15.88    15.00        106
PINGELAP        2.65   1.52   5.39   6.68    12.46         54
KOSRAE         14.56   5.17   4.05   7.13    14.69         49
KWAJALEIN       0.46   1.05   1.13   2.54     5.33         48
JALUIT          3.69   1.63   4.52   6.86     9.81         70
WOTJE           0.05   0.28   0.16   5.15     4.54        113
UTIRIK          0.94   0.77   1.86   0.37     6.87          5
MAJURO          3.17   1.33   2.05  10.04     7.94        126

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

NORTH OF 10N THE DRY ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE PATTERN AND REDUCED CLOUD
COVER WILL CAUSE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...MAINLY FOR THE MARIANA
ISLANDS AND THE NORTHERN MARSHALL ISLANDS AND PARTS OF YAP STATE.
SOME SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AT TIMES IN THE COMING WEEKS...ESPECIALLY
FOR SOUTHERN PARTS OF MICRONESIA...BUT DROUGHT EFFECTS WILL LINGER
ACROSS MUCH OF MICRONESIA AND RAINFALL PATTERNS WILL BE MONITORED
CAREFULLY IN THE COMING WEEKS.

THE MARIANA ISLANDS...

THE COMMONWEALTH OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS...
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE ONLY A QUARTER INCH TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN
WILL FALL THE NEXT 10 DAYS AT ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS FOR ISLANDS FARTHER NORTH OF SAIPAN SHOULD BE IMPROVING
DURING THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE LOWER THAN
NORMAL THROUGH THE NEXT MONTH OR TWO.

GUAM...
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE ONLY A QUARTER INCH TO A HALF INCH OF
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS. LONGER RANGE
MODELS INDICATE RAINFALL WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN NORMAL THROUGH JUNE.

THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU...

KOROR...
WEATHER WILL BE RELATIVELY DRY IN THE NEAR TERM. COMPUTER MODELS
INDICATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 OR 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT 10 DAYS. CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT SHOULD BE MAINTAINED BECAUSE
HEAVIER SHOWERS AT TIMES WILL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY TO CATCH RAIN
WATER.

OUTLYING ISLANDS AND ATOLLS OF PALAU...
WEATHER WILL BE RELATIVELY DRY IN THE NEAR TERM. COMPUTER MODELS
INDICATE VARIABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 OR 2 INCHES ARE LIKLEY FOR
MOST ISLANDS OF PALAU THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS. CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT
SHOULD BE MAINTAINED BECAUSE HEAVIER SHOWERS AT TIMES WILL PROVIDE
AN OPPORTUNITY TO CATCH RAIN WATER.

FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA...

YAP STATE...
WEATHER WILL BE DRY THROUGH THE NEAR TERM WITH ONLY SPOTTY SHOWERS
EXPECTED OVER YAP STATE IN THE COMING WEEK OR TWO. COMPUTER MODELS
INDICATE VARIABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONLY A HALF INCH TO ONE INCH
THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS. CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT SHOULD BE MAINTAINED
BECAUSE SPOTTY SHOWERS WILL AFFORD THE OPPORTUNITY TO CATCH RAIN
WATER.

CHUUK STATE...
RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEAR TERM. COMPUTER
MODELS INDICATE VARIABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS FOR MOST ISLANDS. CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT
SHOULD BE MAINTAINED IN GOOD WORKING ORDER AND SHOULD HELP PROVIDE
BENEFICIAL WATER SUPPLIES. ALSO...RAINFALL COULD STILL BE LOWER THAN
NORMAL AT TIMES THROUGH THE NEXT MONTH OR TWO.

POHNPEI STATE...
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE RELATIVELY LOW RAINFALL IN THE COMING WEEKS
WITH AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES FOR MOST ISLANDS OF POHNPEI
STATE THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS. CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT SHOULD STILL BE
MAINTAINED IN GOOD WORKING ORDER BECAUSE LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS WILL
PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY TO CATCH RAIN WATER.

KOSRAE STATE...
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE RAINFALL WILL BE JUST ADEQUATE BUT VARIABLE
IN THE COMING WEEKS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
FOR KOSRAE STATE FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS. CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT SHOULD BE
MAINTAINED IN GOOD WORKING ORDER BECAUSE A FEW HEAVY SHOWERS WILL
PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY TO CATCH RAIN WATER.

THE REPUBLIC OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS...

MAJURO...
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE IMPROVED CONDITIONS FOR MAJURO. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT 5 DAYS WITH 2 TO 4
INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS. PEOPLE SHOULD MAINTAIN
CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT BECAUSE SOME HEAVY SHOWERS WILL PROVIDE AN
OPPORTUNITY TO CATCH RAIN WATER.

NORTHERN MARSHALL ISLANDS...
DROUGHT PERSISTS FOR NORTHERN AREAS NEAR AUR...WOTJE...UTIRIK...
KWAJALEIN AND EBEYE...BIKINI AND ENEWETAK ATOLLS. SPOTTY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONLY A QUARTER INCH ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT
THERE IS A CHANCE THAT RAINFALL COULD IMPROVE THIS WEEKEND AND SOME
ISLANDS COULD RECEIVE AROUND ONE INCH OF RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THE
NEXT 10 DAYS.

PEOPLE SHOULD MAINTAIN CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT BECAUSE BRIEF SHOWERS
WILL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY TO CATCH RAIN WATER. EVEN WITH MORE
RAINFALL...THE DROUGHT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE COMING WEEKS AND
RECOVERY WILL TAKE SIGNIFICANTLY MORE RAINFALL AND MORE TIME.

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MARSHALL ISLANDS...
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE RAINFALL WILL BE VARIABLE FOR JALUIT...
AILINGALAPLAP AND ATOLLS SOUTH OF MAJURO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING
FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST ISLANDS THROUGH THE NEXT 10
DAYS. CATCHMENT EQUIPMENT SHOULD BE MAINTAINED BECAUSE SOME SHOWERS
WILL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY TO CATCH RAIN WATER.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT ISSUANCE OF THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE
THURSDAY JUNE 9...2016...OR SOONER IF NECESSARY. REMEMBER TO STAY
TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
AND/OR YOUR LOCAL DISASTER COORDINATING OFFICE FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER AND DROUGHT INFORMATION.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/...

NWS WFO GUAM...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GUAM/ /UNDER MENU ITEM CLIMATE...MORE/
...DROUGHT STATEMENT EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE MARIANA ISLANDS AND
CHUUK STATE...

PACIFIC ENSO APPLICATIONS CLIMATE CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.SOEST.HAWAII.EDU/MET/ENSO/INDEX2.HTML

NOAA CORAL REEF WATCH BLEACHING...
MAY 23TH CORAL REEF BLEACHING WATCH AREA EXTENDS FROM THE EQUATOR
ACROSS THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU INTO YAP STATE AND ACROSS CHUUK AND
POHNPEI STATES...AND HAS EXPANDED IN PATCHY AREAS ACROSS KOSRAE
STATE AND THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. FOR MORE INFORMATION SEE THE NOAA
WEBSITE AT HTTP://CORALREEFWATCH.NOAA.GOV/SATELLITE/BAA/INDEX.HTML

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...WE ACKNOWLEDGE OUR PARTNERS AT THE CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER...THE NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION CENTER IN
ASHEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA...THE PACIFIC ENSO APPLICATIONS CLIMATE
CENTER...INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE AND
SOCIETY...UNIVERSITY OF GUAM...UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII...HONOLULU
FORECAST OFFICE...THE WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES AT
MAJURO...POHNPEI...CHUUK...YAP AND KOROR AND THE USAID SUBREGIONAL
OFFICE MAJURO AND THE INTERNATIONAL OFFICE FOR MIGRATION OFFICES IN
POHNPEI...CHUUK...YAP AND MAJURO.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS MAY BE ADDRESSED TO THE FOLLOWING...

WFO TIYAN GUAM
3232 HUENEME RD
BARRIGADA GU 96913
PHONE: 671-472-0946
W-GUM.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV (LOWER CASE LETTERS)

SIMPSON/GUARD/M.AYDLETT

$$



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