Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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AXUS74 KMEG 211828
DGTMEG
ARC021-031-035-037-055-075-077-093-107-111-121-123-MOC069-155-
MSC003-009-013-017-027-033-057-071-081-093-095-107-115-117-119-
135-137-139-141-143-145-161-TNC005-017-023-033-039-045-047-053-
069-071-075-077-079-095-097-109-113-131-157-167-183-221030-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
128 PM CDT THU JUL 21 2016

...ABNORMALLY DRY TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS MOST
OF THE MIDSOUTH...

SYNOPSIS..
CONTINUED ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE RESULTED IN PERSISTENT
MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-
SOUTH. THE LATEST US DROUGHT MONITOR PRODUCT HIGHLIGHTS PORTIONS
OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI IN SEVERE DROUGHT CATEGORIZATION WITH MOST OF
NORTH MISSISSIPPI HIGHLIGHTED IN ABNORMALLY DRY OR MODERATE
DROUGHT CATEGORIZATIONS. MEANWHILE MUCH OF THE REST OF THE REGION
IS HIGHLIGHTED FOR ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS. FURTHER DEGRADATION
OF CONDITIONS REGIONALLY IS NOT LIKELY BASED ON RAIN FORECASTS AND
OUTLOOKS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS...HOWEVER SPORADIC RAINFALL
COULD LEAVE SOME AREAS DRY AND THUS DRY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO
PERSIST LOCALLY.

SHORT TERM RAIN OUTLOOK..
OVER THE WEEKEND THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE
FOR PRECIPITATION WITH MODELS SUGGESTING SEVERAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR
RAIN OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. THE LATEST QUANTITATIVE
PRECIPITATION FORECASTS DEPICT THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO AN INCH AND
A HALF OF RAINFALL FOR MANY AREAS BY NEXT THURSDAY. MOST OF THE
RAIN IS LIKELY TO COME IN THE FORM OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH OFFER LITTLE PREDICTABILITY CONCERNING WHICH
AREAS WILL ACTUALLY SEE RAINFALL AS NOT ALL AREAS WILL.

CLIMATE SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER OUTLOOK FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE
NEXT 6 TO 10 DAYS FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE REGION. THE
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK ALSO FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR MUCH OF
THE REGION WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING THE HARDEST IMPACTED AREAS OF
NORTH MISSISSIPPI WHICH ARE HIGHLIGHTED FOR NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD. THE CURRENT EXPERIMENTAL 3-4
WEEK OUTLOOK SUGGESTS DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL RETURN
WHICH MAKE RAINFALL CRUCIAL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS. HOWEVER
MUCH OF THE RAINFALL EXPECTED TO FALL WILL BE FROM SPORADIC
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND THUS EXACT RAINFALL WILL
VARY GREATLY BETWEEN LOCALES.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURE IMPACTS...
LIMITED SOIL MOISTURE HAS RESULTED IN CROP STRESS ACROSS THE
MIDSOUTH. AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PROVIDED SOME MOISTURE TO
CROPS BUT MORE UNIFORM RAINFALL IS NECESSARY OVER THE MIDSOUTH TO
IMPROVE BOTH DRY TOPSOIL AND SUBSOIL CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY IN
MISSISSIPPI. WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE ENHANCED
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION RATES WHICH FURTHER AID DRY CONDITIONS.
IRRIGATION HAS BEEN NECESSARY TO ENSURE CROP AND PASTURE HEALTH IN
SOME AREAS AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN NECESSARY IN AREAS WHICH DO NOT
RECEIVE RAINFALL FROM AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. PASTURES...CORN...AND
SOYBEANS WHICH ARE NOT IRRIGATED WILL LIKELY SUFFER DROUGHT
STRESS THE IMPACT OF WHICH COULD BE IRREVERSIBLE.

$$

MAYE


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