Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

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000
AXCA72 TJSJ 180443
DGTSJU
PRC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-033-035-037-039-041-043-045-047-049-051-053>055-057-059-061-
063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-
095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-
127-129-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-VIC010-
020-030-200445-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1243 AM AST MON JUL 18 2016

..MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO AND VIEQUES...

&&

SYNOPSIS...MOST OF THE ISLANDS ARE RECEIVING DECENT AMOUNTS OF
RAIN EXCEPT NEAR THE D0/D1 AREA IN SOUTH-CENTRAL PUERTO RICO AND
VIEQUES... WHERE IT HAS BEEN DRIER.

&&

CLIMATE SUMMARY...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...BUT MAINLY MISSED THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THE LATTER AREA INCLUDED
THE EXISTING D0/D1 AREA...AND OUT TO 90-DAYS...RAINFALL HAS BEEN
ABOUT HALF THAT OF NORMAL. WITH 3-MONTH DEFICITS OF 6-12
INCHES..D1 WAS EXPANDED NORTHWARD INTO CAYEY AND AIBONITO.

&&

EXTENDED FORECAST...SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES IN EL NINO
REGION ARE CURRENTLY NEAR NEUTRAL AND MOST OF THE MODELS ARE
SUGGESTING LA NINA LIKELY TO PEAK BY OND. ALTHOUGH GLOBAL MODELS
SHOW LIMITED SIGNAL DURING JAS...THERE IS A SLIGHT SHIFT IN
PROBABILITIES TO NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR OND.

&&

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...THE 28-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW MEASURED BY
THE USGS GAGING NETWORK SHOWS MOST LOCATIONS RUNNING IN THE 25
TO 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL RANGE...EXCEPT A FEW OUTLIERS ACROSS
CENTRAL PUERTO RICO. LAKE LEVELS AT MOST OF THE WATER SUPPLY
RESERVOIRS CONTINUE AT OPTIMUM LEVELS.

&&

NEXT ISSUANCE...THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY MID AUGUST OR
SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML NOAA

NWS...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/AHPS

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
4000 CARRETERA 190
CAROLINA, PR 00979
PHONE: 787-253-4586
EMAIL: SR-SJU.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV



$$



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