Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

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000
AXCA72 TJSJ 260927 CCA
DGTSJU
PRC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-033-035-037-039-041-043-045-047-049-051-053>055-057-059-061-
063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-
095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-
127-129-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-VIC010-
020-030-262130-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
527 AM AST SAT MAR 26 2016


...LONG TERM DEFICITS CONTINUE AND STREAMFLOWS ARE STILL RUNNING
BELOW NORMAL ACROSS SECTIONS OF THE EASTERN INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO...

&&

CLIMATE SUMMARY...A SEASONABLE WEATHER PATTERN PREVAILED ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS MOST OF MARCH. ENOUGH RAIN HAS FALLEN TO
PREVENT DETERIORATION BUT NOT ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY IMPROVEMENT.

&&

EXTENDED FORECAST...MOST MODELS SUGGEST A STRONG EL NINO LASTING
INTO THE SPRING...BUT QUICKLY WEAKENING AND FADING AWAY BY JJA.
IN ADDITION...SSTS HAVE BEEN AND ARE STILL ABOVE AVERAGE NORTH
OF THE CARIBBEAN ISLANDS. WARM SSTS NORTH AND EAST OF THE
ISLANDS MAY LEAD TO ABOVE-AVERAGE AIR MOISTURE. THEREFORE THERE
IS A HIGHER CHANCE FOR NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT MONTHS.

&&

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...THE 28-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW MEASURED BY
THE USGS GAGING NETWORK SHOWS MOST LOCATIONS RUNNING IN THE 25 TO
90 PERCENT OF NORMAL RANGE. HOWEVER...ACROSS THE EASTERN INTERIOR
OF PUERTO RICO...LOCATIONS ARE STILL RUNNING BELOW NORMAL...LESS
THAN 25 PERCENT. THERE ARE NO STREAMFLOW DATA AVAILABLE FOR
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

&&

NEXT ISSUANCE...NEXT UPDATE WILL BE BY MID APRIL...UNLESS
CONDITIONS CHANGE BEFORE THAT TIME. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

RELATED WEB SITES...

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...

HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML NOAA

NWS...

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/AHPS

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
4000 CARRETERA 190
CAROLINA, PR 00979
PHONE: 787-253-4586
EMAIL: SR-SJU.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$


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