Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
926 AM CST THU MAR 2 2017

...Spring Flood Outlook...
...Flood risk is near normal for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles...

Soil moisture conditions...
Precipitation was above normal across the panhandles from
December through February.  Soil moisture conditions are
running above normal across the panhandles.

River and stream conditions...
Rivers across the panhandles are running near to slightly below
normal levels for this time of year. Reservoirs are well below
capacity.

Drought areas...
The latest U.S. Drought Monitor shows that the Oklahoma Panhandle is
experiencing areas of Moderate Drought (D1) and Severe Drought (D2).
The northwest and far eastern Texas Panhandle is experiencing
Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions. Otherwise, the remainder of the Texas
Panhandle is experiencing no drought. The forecast calls for no
change of drought conditions during the next three months.

Long term outlook...
The precipitation outlook for March, April, and May from the
Climate Prediction Center calls for normal precipitation with a
slightly increased chance for below normal precipitation near the
New Mexico state line.

Spring flood potential...
Flash flooding and short term flooding in the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles usually occur in response to specific precipitation
events and are not usually tied to soil moisture, reservoir
storage, or other precursor factors. The three month outlook for
precipitation is near normal. Therefore, the overall spring
flood potential is near normal.

Information used to compile this flood potential outlook
was provided courtesy of the Arkansas Red Basin River
Forecast Center, Climate Prediction Center, U.S. Army Corps of
Engineers, and the United States Geological Survey.

For more specific web information concerning river stages and
forecasts for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles, go to:

                  www.srh.noaa.gov/ama
                  www.srh.noaa.gov/abrfc

$$

Goehring



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