Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1207 AM CST THU MAR 3 2016

...Spring Flood Outlook...
...Flood risk is near normal for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles...

Soil moisture conditions...
Precipitation was near to below normal across the panhandles from
December through February.  Soil moisture conditions are
running above normal across the panhandles.

River and stream conditions...
Rivers across the panhandles are running near normal levels for this
time of year. Reservoirs are well below capacity.

Drought areas...
The latest U.S. Drought Monitor shows a couple of abnormally
dry (D0) areas in the Texas Panhandle.  Otherwise, the remainder of
the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles are experiencing no drought. The
forecast calls for no development or intensification of
drought conditions during the next three months.

Long term outlook...
The precipitation outlook for March, April, and May from the
Climate Prediction Center calls for increased chances of above
normal precipitation.  The increased chances for above normal
precipitation are higher toward the western panhandles.

Spring flood potential...
Flash flooding and short term flooding in the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles usually occur in response to specific precipitation
events and are not usually tied to soil moisture, reservoir
storage, or other precursor factors. The three month outlook for
precipitation is above normal. Therefore, the overall spring
flood potential is near normal.

Information used to compile this flood potential outlook
was provided courtesy of the Arkansas Red Basin River
Forecast Center, Climate Prediction Center, U.S. Army Corps of
Engineers, and the United States Geological Survey.

For more specific web information concerning river stages and
forecasts for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles, go to:

                  www.srh.noaa.gov/ama
                  www.srh.noaa.gov/abrfc

$$

Goehring





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