Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
905 AM EST THU JAN 22 2015

...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

THIS WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IS FOR RIVERS AND
TRIBUTARIES OF THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN IN EAST-CENTRAL
GEORGIA AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING:

SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN DOWNSTREAM OF R. B. RUSSELL LAKE AND
UPSTREAM FROM BURTONS FERRY...

THE EDISTO RIVER BASIN UPSTREAM OF THE BAMBERG...ORANGEBURG
COUNTY LINE IN SOUTH CAROLINA...

THE SANTEE RIVER BASIN UPSTREAM OF THE CLARENDON/BERKELEY COUNTY
LINE AND DOWNSTREAM ON THE SALUDA AND BROAD RIVERS AT THE
GREENWOOD/SALUDA...LAURENS/NEWBERRY...UNION/FAIRFIELD AND THE
CHESTER/FAIRFIELD COUNTY LINES IN SOUTH CAROLINA...

THE WATEREE RIVER SYSTEM DOWNSTREAM OF GREAT FALLS
SOUTH CAROLINA...

AND THE PEE DEE RIVER BASIN IN CHESTERFIELD COUNTY IN
SOUTH CAROLINA.

            ...SUMMARY OF RECENT WEATHER EVENTS...

OVER THE LAST 14 DAYS ENDING JANUARY 22 2015...THE HYDROLOGIC AREA
RECEIVED RAINFALL RANGING FROM 0.5 TO 1.0 INCH IN THE SOUTHWEST
SECTION TO 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE NORTHEAST SECTION.

            ...SOIL MOISTURE...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR VALID JANUARY 13 2015 SHOWED NO AREAS IN
DROUGHT BUT A FEW SECTIONS IN THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH AREA WERE
ABNORMALLY DRY. PLEASE SEE DROUGHT.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

             ...RIVER AND STREAM FLOW...

THE 14-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW PROVIDED BY THE USGS AS OF JANUARY 20
INDICATED STREAMFLOWS WERE NEAR NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
AND THE SAVANNAH RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA.

             ...RESERVOIR LEVELS...

MANY RESERVOIRS ARE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THEIR TARGET POOLS.

LAKE THURMOND...
JAN  8 2015    326.2 FEET
JAN 22 2015    326.5 FEET
DIFFERENCE  PLUS 0.3 FEET

LAKE GREENWOOD...
JAN  8 2015    435.6 FEET
JAN 22 2015    434.6 FEET
DIFFERENCE MINUS 1.0 FEET

LAKE MURRAY...
JAN  8 2015    358.0 FEET
JAN 22 2015    357.7 FEET
DIFFERENCE MINUS 0.3 FEET

LAKE MARION...
JAN  8 2015     74.1 FEET
JAN 22 2015     74.1 FEET
DIFFERENCE       0.0 FEET

LAKE WATEREE...
JAN  8 2015     96.1 FEET
JAN 22 2015     95.8 FEET
DIFFERENCE MINUS 0.3 FEET

DATA FOR THIS SEGMENT WAS GATHERED FROM THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE UNITED STATES ARMY CORP OF ENGINEERS
AND DUKE ENERGY.

       ...PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

NEAR TERM...THROUGH MONDAY JANUARY 26 PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 1.5 OF AN INCH ARE FORECAST. PLEASE SEE THE GRIDDED FORECASTS
FOR THE CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS AT WEATHER.GOV/CAE.

THE 6- TO 10-DAY OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY 27 TO JANUARY 31
CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION
TOTALS ACROSS THE AREA.

THE 8- TO 14-DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY 29 TO
FEBRUARY 4 INDICATES BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH EQUAL CHANCES
OF BELOW OR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

THE 30-DAY OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY 2015 DISPLAYS EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW
OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

THE 3-MONTH OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY THROUGH APRIL CALLS FOR EQUAL
CHANCES OF BELOW OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS.

                 ...SUMMARY...

THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL POTENTIAL OF RIVER FLOODING IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND
EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA.

HISTORICALLY...THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY IS TYPICALLY AN ACTIVE PERIOD
FOR RIVER FLOODING. FORECASTING A NEAR NORMAL POTENTIAL OF RIVER
FLOODING MEANS THAT THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A TYPICAL NUMBER OF
RIVER FLOODS WITH TYPICAL MAGNITUDE FOR THIS PERIOD. THE RIVER
FLOOD SEASON BEGINS IN EARLY TO MID JANUARY AND USUALLY ENDS IN
LATE APRIL.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IS FEBRUARY
5 2015.


               ...QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS OUTLOOK PLEASE
CONTACT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2909 AVIATION WAY
WEST COLUMBIA SC 29170
PHONE: 803-822-8135
INTERNET ADDRESS CAEWX@NOAA.GOV

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