Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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FGUS71 KILN 041820
ESFILN
INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-
135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-
045-047-049-057-061-065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-
135-141-145-149-159-165-061830-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
120 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH FEBRUARY 18 IS NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE
REGION.

NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A RIVER OR
TWO TO RISE TO OR NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

THIS OUTLOOK IS PART OF A BIWEEKLY SERIES OF OUTLOOKS ISSUED BY
LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN
CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS
ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE
CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR
THE PERIOD...WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK...SOIL MOISTURE
AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.

...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
THERE IS NO SNOW PACK OVER THE AREA.

...STREAMFLOW...
STREAMFLOW VALUES WERE NEAR NORMAL FOR EARLY FEBRUARY ACROSS THE
REGION.

...ICE...
RIVER ICE IS NOT A CONCERN.

...SOIL MOISTURE...
SOIL MOISTURE WAS GENERALLY NEAR NORMAL ACROSS THE MIDDLE OHIO
VALLEY.

...RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
AREA RESERVOIRS WERE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THEIR WINTER POOL
LEVELS.

...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
PERIODIC LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS MAY INITIALLY BE RAIN BUT THEN COLDER AIR WILL
RESULT IN PRECIPITATION FALLING AS SNOW. LIQUID EQUIVALENT AMOUNTS
WILL BE LESS THAN 1 INCH. IN THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED.

REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY
AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE):
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=ILN

$$



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