Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
636
FGUS71 KILN 311902
ESFILN
INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-
135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-
045-047-049-057-061-065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-
135-141-145-149-159-165-021915-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
302 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016

...SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH APRIL 14 IS NEAR NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL
AND WESTERN OHIO...SOUTHEST INDIANA AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY.

NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A RIVER OR
TWO TO RISE TO OR NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

THIS OUTLOOK IS PART OF A BIWEEKLY SERIES OF OUTLOOKS ISSUED BY
LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN
CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS
ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE
CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR
THE PERIOD...WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK...SOIL MOISTURE
AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.

...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
AT THE TIME OF ISSUANCE...THERE WAS NO SNOW PACK IN THE AREA.

...STREAMFLOW...
STREAMFLOW IS RUNNING NEAR NORMAL...WITH RISES EXPECTED FROM
CURRENT RAINFALL AT THE TIME OF THIS ISSUANCE. A BRIEF ABOVE
NORMAL PERIOD IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF APRIL
BEFORE RECEDING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS.

...ICE...
THERE IS NO ICE ON AREA RIVERS.

...SOIL MOISTURE...
SOIL MOISTURE IS ABOVE NORMAL MAINLY IN THE GREAT/LITTLE MIAMI
BASINS...AS WELL AS THE WHITEWATER BASIN. THROUGH THE REST OF THE
REGION...SOIL MOISTURE WAS NEAR NORMAL FOR EARLY APRIL.

...RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
AREA RESERVOIRS WERE AT NORMAL WINTER POOL LEVELS...SO OPTIMUM
FLOOD STORAGE CAPACITY IS IN EFFECT.

...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL BRING MINOR WITHIN BANK
RIVER RISES THROUGH THE INITIAL WEEKEND OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. NO
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT LIQUID PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE
FIRST 7 DAYS OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. THERE IS A PATTERN SHIFT IN
THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...WITH A WEAK SIGNAL OF ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...COMBINED WITH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. SO FLOOD POTENTIAL COULD RISE NEAR AND AFTER
THE APRIL 7 TIMEFRAME.

REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY
AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE):
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=ILN


$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.