Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
115 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND PARTS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
NEXT WORK WEEK...

WEATHER MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A PERIOD OF ACTIVE WEATHER ACROSS
THE REGION STARTING SUNDAY THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. A
SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION ON SUNDAY THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING ISSUES GIVEN THE WET SOIL
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE
AREA FOR LATE IN THE WORK WEEK WITH SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL. A TOTAL
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE
NEXT SEVEN DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
BOUNDARIES SET UP ACROSS THE AREA ALLOWING TRAINING OF HEAVY
RAINFALL.

CURRENTLY...THE PEARL AND PASCAGOULA RIVER SYSTEMS ARE RUNNING AT OR
BELOW HALF FLOOD STAGE. THE YAZOO RIVER SYSTEM AND NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA BAYOUS AND RIVER ARE RUNNING AT OR JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING COULD OCCUR NEXT WEEK ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THOSE AREAS WHERE RIVERS ARE RUNNING HIGHEST. THE REMAINING
RIVER SYSTEMS COULD BE THREATENED IF HEAVY RAINFALL FALLS ACROSS THE
BASINS IN A SHORT TIME PERIOD. SPORADIC FLASH FLOODING COULD BECOME
AN ISSUE DURING SOME OF THE HEAVIER PERIODS OF RAINFALL. THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS EXPERIENCING ANOTHER RISE. CAIRO,IL IS EXPECTED
TO REACH 44.5 FEET ON APRIL 13TH. THE RIVER FROM ARKANSAS CITY TO
NATCHEZ SHOULD CREST A LITTLE BELOW THE MARCH RISE AROUND THE 3RD
WEEK IN APRIL.

THERE IS STILL QUITE A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WHERE THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR. FRONTAL BOUNDARY POSITIONS WILL DETERMINE WHERE
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURS. KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION DURING THE NEXT WEEK.


$$

MVP/MRM



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