Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FGUS74 KLZK 121936 CCA
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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
200 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...HEAVY RAIN TODAY AND FRIDAY WILL PROLONG RIVER FLOODING...

BOTH FLASH FLOODING AND ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER A LARGE PORTION OF ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS ABUNDANT MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN A SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTH AND EAST
OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. RAINFALL...SOMETIMES HEAVY...WILL
OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE STATE BY THIS EVENING WITH EXPECTED STORM
TOTALS RANGING FROM 1 TO 3+ INCHES BY FRIDAY NIGHT. AREAS OF
GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE IN THE LOWER WHITE AND BLACK RIVER BASINS
WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED THREE INCHES.

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE INITIAL CONCERN...ESPECIALLY NEAR SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND IN AREAS WITH POOR
DRAINAGE. MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL BE SLOWER TO RISE...BUT WITH NEARLY
SATURATED SOILS FROM THE PREVIOUS SNOWMELT COMBINED WITH VERY
LITTLE WATER CONSUMPTION FROM THE DORMANT VEGETATION THERE WILL BE
HIGHER RUNOFF THAN NORMAL.

RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE ALREADY BEEN POSTED FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER
TRIBUTARIES IN THE OUACHITA MOUNTAIN REGION...THE OUACHITA RIVER
FROM CAMDEN DOWN TO FELSENTHAL...AND PORTIONS OF THE
BLACK...CACHE...AND LOWER WHITE RIVERS WHO ARE ALREADY EXPERIENCING
HIGH STREAMFLOWS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. AT THIS TIME...MAINLY MINOR
FLOOD CATEGORIES ARE ANTICIPATED EXCEPT ALONG THE CACHE RIVER IN
PATTERSON WHERE MODERATE FLOODING IS CURRENTLY TAKING PLACE.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS.

THE RIVERS AT GREATEST RISK INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE PETIT
JEAN...FOURCHE LAFAVE...BLACK...CACHE...OUACHITA...AND LOWER WHITE
RIVERS.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS
PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT:

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK

RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE
RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION.

$$

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