Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
FGUS71 KRLX 161322
Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
922 AM EDT Thu Mar 16 2017
...The flood potential is expected to be normal during the next
The flood potential for the next two weeks will be considered
normal for the streams in the Charleston Hydrologic Service Area
(HSA). Normal flood potential means occasional flooding could
occur with water levels having minor impacts.
Flood Outlooks are issued biweekly by the National Weather
Service in the winter and early spring to summarize basin hydro
meteorological conditions and to assess the potential for spring
flooding. The outlooks are based on current and expected
conditions...realizing that actual conditions may change during
the outlook period.
Factors to consider when assessing flood potential are:
Water content of the snowpack...the wetness of the
soils...widespread heavy rainfall...high streamflows...and
reservoir levels and ice coverage on the rivers.
Precipitation was near normal for the past 30 days over much of
Soils are moist to wet. This can cause efficient runoff from any
Snow Cover and Snow Water Equivalent...
Snow was mainly confined to the WV and SW VA mountains of the HSA,
with an average of 2 to 8 inches. Snow water equivalents (SWE)
averaged from a 0.15 to 0.40 inches in the snowpack. Elsewhere,
snow averaged from none to less than an inch.
Reservoir levels are normal for this time of year.
River Ice Conditions...
No river ice was reported.
River flows on all rivers are expected to be normal through the
rest of this month.
The Hydrologic Outlook through the next two weeks...
An active weather pattern is expected to set up over the next
week or two with systems quickly moving through the area.
Temperatures are expected to average near normal for this time of
Real time river information and forecasts for specific locations
along rivers across Eastern Kentucky...Southeast Ohio...Buchanan
and Dickenson counties in Southwest Virginia and much of West
Virginia can be found at:
and click on the 90-day river outlook on the left hand side of
the page. Click on FLOOD CHC VS NORMAL to view the risk of
flooding with respect to normal.
Rainfall is the primary factor leading to flooding. Heavy or
excessive rainfall can cause flooding any time of the year even
where the flood potential is below normal.