Extended Streamflow Guidance
Issued by NWS

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FGUS65 KSTR 061510
ESGNM
TTAA00 KSLR DDHHMM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
SALT LAKE CITY UT
May 6, 2016

 SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK

The 2016 spring runoff flood potential due to snowmelt runoff in the San
Juan Basin is low at this time. Flooding due solely to snowmelt is unlikely
as the snow accumulation season has basically ended, snowpack conditions are
well below average in many areas for early May, and several lower to mid
elevation areas have already experienced significant snow melt.

The latest snowmelt peak flow forecasts in the San Juan are all
below the historical average peak flows.

While flooding to solely to snowmelt is not likely at this time,
flood related problems can result in any year if heavy rainfall
occurs during the melt period when channel capacities have been
reduced.

The latest peak flow forecasts for sites in the San Juan
Basin can be found on the CBRFC web site:

http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/rmap/peak/peaklist.php


G. Smith/ CBRFC

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