Extended Streamflow Guidance
Issued by NWS Lower Mississippi RFC

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Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service
Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center, Slidell LA
1230 PM CDT Wednesday March 15 2017

East Tennessee Valley - Spring Flood Potential Outlook
              National Weather Service
Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center - Slidell, LA
          valid for Thursday March 16 2017


Streamflow data provided by the U.S. Geological Survey and
the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

...For Eastern Region...WFOs GSP and RNK only...

During the past two weeks, one to three inches of precipitation occurred over
southwest Virginia and west Tennessee.  Cooler temperatures has allowed some
winter precipitation to occur over the higher elevations.  Reported snow depths
ranged from 1 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts.

...French Broad/Upper Pigeon...Little Tennessee...Tuckasegee
...and Hiwassee Basins (WFO GSP)...

Streamflows continue to run below normal along all rivers in the outlook area.
Soil moisture content is also below normal. No flooding is occurring or forecast
at this time. Observed daily streamflows as a percent of median are given below.

          1/4 1/18  2/1  2/15  3/1  3/15
French Broad River          Asheville NC     78%  42%  47%   42%  33%   35%
Pigeon River                    Hepco NC     74%  39%  52%   50%  40%   40%
Tuckasegee River          Bryson City NC     61%  67%  54%   47%  45%   41%
Little Tennessee River       Needmore NC     76%  34%  38%   33%  57%   42%

Based on existing soil moisture content, streamflows, and Climate Prediction
Center outlooks; a Below Average Flood Potential is expected for the French
Broad, Upper Little Tennessee, Tuckasegee, and Pigeon River Basins.

...Upper Clinch and Upper Holston Basins (WFO RNK)...

Long term soil moisture content continues to run below normal. Streamflows have
receded to below normal. No flooding is occurring or expected during the next
several days. Observed daily streamflows as a percent of median are given below.

   1/4  1/18  2/1 2/15  3/1  3/15
N Fork Holston River        Saltville VA   217% 151%  95%  75%  111%  72%


Based on existing soil moisture content, streamflows, and Climate Prediction
Center Outlooks; a Below Average Flood Potential is expected for the East
Tennessee River Valley.

...Extended Temperature and Precipitation Outlook...

The 8-14 Day Outlook issued by the NWS Climate Prediction Center indicates
chances of above normal temperatures and precipitation.

The 30 Day Outlook indicates chances of above normal temperatures across the
area. Equal chances of above/below normal precipitation is indicated over the
lower Mississippi Valley.

The 90 Day Outlook issued by the NWS Climate Prediction Center indicates
chances of above normal temperatures over the lower Mississippi Valley. Equal
chances of above/below normal precipitation is indicated over the lower
Mississippi Valley.

This will be the last scheduled springflood outlook for 2017.





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