Extended Streamflow Prediction
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000
FGUS65 KSTR 161955
ESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
May 16, 2013

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

May Mid-Month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2013
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent.


Rio Blanco nr Pagosa Springs FORECAST     OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr
   Apr-Jul    15.0    21.0    27.0        4.7


Navajo near Chromo FORECAST               OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr
   Apr-Jul    19.0    24.0    31.0        5.0


Vallecito Reservoir FORECAST              OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr
   Apr-Jul    87.0   103.0   129.0       14.7
       May    39.0    45.0    54.0
       Jun    24.0    30.0    40.0
       Jul     9.0    13.0    20.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST                 OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr
   Apr-Jul   245.0   305.0   370.0       71.0
       May   120.0   145.0   160.0
       Jun    52.0    77.0   112.0
       Jul     2.0    12.0    27.0


Animas near Durango FORECAST              OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr
   Apr-Jul   155.0   197.0   240.0       20.0
       May    80.0    94.0   100.0
       Jun    40.0    60.0    85.0
       Jul    15.0    23.0    35.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST                  OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr
   Apr-Jul    18.0    25.0    31.0        3.5
       May    10.0    13.4    15.0
       Jun     3.5     6.0     9.0
       Jul     1.0     2.1     3.5
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